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😀 Stephen Connolly Profile picture
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26 Jul, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Did I summarise the argument that vaccination during a pandemic may promote “worse (for us) is better (for the virus)” mutations over the normal “more infectious but less deadly” mutations we expect? 1/5 Viruses replicate by infecting your cells Every time the vir
2/5 A virus is successful if it infects new cells and causes the
3/5 No effect (if the mutation is in a “junk” segment) Incre
4/5 A virus will be more successful if it: 1. Keeps its host ali
5/5 Suddenly a large proportion of mutations are eliminated from

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More from @connolly_s

😀 Stephen Connolly Profile picture
24 Jul
What are the bets @rtenews copies BBC and says “a few people protested vaccine apartheid at the customs house quay today” and at that it’ll be well hurried below the fold #NoVaccinePassportsAnywhere
We’re going walking
#NoVaccinePassportsAnywhere
Read 10 tweets
😀 Stephen Connolly Profile picture
23 Jul
I often wonder how many people actually read 1984 and what the “war is peace” slogan means. Before I read the book a few times, I thought it was trying to change the meaning of words and mixed in with the newspeak concept… but read the book carefully you see it’s different (1/)
The book says that governments discovered that while you were at war with an external enemy, internal dissent was quashed, so the (external) war is (internal) peace… and vice versa (2/)
Back to real life and the governments have discovered that the war on Covid is internal peace on a lot of fronts… “why is our healthcare system a shambles?” “Look, Covid, unprecedented times, save the nhs” (3/)
Read 5 tweets
😀 Stephen Connolly Profile picture
1 Jul
A #disbandNphet thread for @MichealMartinTD @LeoVaradkar @EamonRyan @DonnellyStephen @CMOIreland I'm sure @FatEmperor has videos pointing out this, but here's an easy to follow thread using data from worldometers.info/coronavirus/co… and basic primary school mathematics (1/7)
I think everyone can agree that what we want to avoid is deaths. Deaths follow cases, but by how much? Well we can take a look at the UK data and see. This January the cases peaked on Jan 10th and deaths peaked on Jan 25th that's 15 days... is that repeatable? (2/7)
The previous peak was Nov 6th for cases and Nov 25th for deaths... that's 19 days. We cannot do a meaningful comparison for March 2020 as everyone was low on testing can the case numbers are low (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
😀 Stephen Connolly Profile picture
19 Dec 20
@tbroyer If you are wearing a mask you should replace your mask with a clean one after every cough into it. Should you wear a mask is a different question. Masks saturate with water sufficiently to create microdroplets long before they feel wet or damp, perhaps within 5 min.
@tbroyer Now what happens next depends on different factors:
if you are not infected, any viral droplets that your mask catches will now be turned into microdroplets that you are repeatedly inhaling... increasing your risk of infection... but droplets evaporate fast
@tbroyer It’s typically sub-millisecond in dry (ie indoor) air to get down to ~100nm (ie basically just one virus and a mono layer of water) which your mask will likely not catch anyway... so the mask does not protect you
Read 14 tweets

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