Would be good to track the 2000+ individuals (all adults vaccinated) from this cruise who are disembarking in the Bahamas tomorrow and see how many test positive for Covid-19 over the next 2 weeks. usatoday.com/story/travel/c…
There are many things we don’t know *yet* about the delta variants and vaccines:
How much do our vaccines protect against infection, asymptomatic or symptomatic, by delta?
How much do infected vaxed individuals spread the virus compared to infected non-vaxed individuals?
We do know that several top vaccines continue to protect against severe covid-19. So it’s not particularly worrying when vaxed people get delta (although there are exceptions and some breakthrough cases suffer greatly). What’s worrying is the spread of delta to the unvaxed.
So I would say that it’s not super great that up to 2,000 people are disembarking from a cruise, with very recently detected covid cases, into a country where only 11.3% of the population is fully vaccinated.
In light of the delta, I think that the Bahamas should re-implement rapid antigen day 5 testing of ALL travellers regardless of vaccination status.
Knowing what we know, the fully vaxed should not be exempt from testing and tracing. bahamas.com/travelupdates
Messaging about the airborne transmission of the virus should also be strengthened. We know delta is much more transmissible than SARS2 classic, even outdoors, so there should be stronger emphasis on ventilation and social distancing even outdoors.
It’s not that all cruise persons must be airlifted out but there are many effective measures that can be taken to minimize risk of a large outbreak. @VisitTheBahamas@BahamasVisa
Eg reinstate day 5 tests for vaccinated people, mandate taxis/drivers have all windows rolled down.
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NIH explained to Senator Grassley how NIH-funded SARS/MERS-like chimeric CoV work at WIV had not been determined to meet USG criteria for GOFROC covered by federal funding pause or P3CO Framework.
“during the course of the grant, the grantee proposed to place a small portion of the newly identified bat coronaviruses into a larger portion of MERS-CoV to understand the potential origins of MERS-CoV in bats.. conducted at WIV”
Can this proposal pls be shared with the public?
Another question: Did NIH-funded WIV work turn out to be “instrumental to the unprecedented rapid development of vaccines, therapeutics, and diagnostics to address the COVID-19 pandemic”?
Important for this to be substantiated with data since similar work continues to be funded.
Internal CDC document cites "unpublished data from outbreak investigations and outside studies showing that vaccinated individuals infected with delta may be able to transmit the virus as easily as those who are unvaccinated." washingtonpost.com/health/2021/07…
"Even people who are vaccinated should wear masks indoors in communities with substantial viral spread or when in the presence of people who are particularly vulnerable to infection and illness, the CDC said."
"public trust in vaccines may be undermined when people experience or hear about breakthrough cases, especially after public health officials have described them as rare."
Plotting the lineage percentages of new sequences each day over the past 6 months. Visualized using covidcg.org@CovidCg
Red = Alpha variant
Dark blue (outlined) = Delta variant
@CovidCg Under the blue wave of Delta which was first detected in the USA in Feb 2021, there is a green sliver indicating the newer AY.3 sublineage of Delta.
This means that almost all of the most recent USA sequences on the GISAID database are Delta.
Leaders have to come up with a new protocol for emerging diseases: how scientists communicate vital info to the WHO and the public (important!), how peer reviewed confidentiality should be waived in these crises, and how to keep these systems accountable. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
What I’m worried about is that this pandemic will drive leaders and scientists in the opposite direction towards less transparency.
What if more scientists start using Protonmail, Signal, and burner phones for future communications regarding emergencies?
The recent FOIAs revealing highly confidential conversations (or redactions) are likely to cause more people to shift to secure, non-FOI’able channels.
If so, this may be the one of the last pandemics/outbreaks we can shed much light on via FOIA.