This will contain a list of the times you have downplayed Covid. Not actually denied it, but misrepresented the facts to imply it's less serious than it is:

1/n


Except that the false positive rate is far below 0.1%

Australia had literally 100s of ks of consecutive negative test results with no positives except in quarantine. UK can't be higher than min in this chart if all asymptomatic were false. They weren't
4/n

heartless and ignoring multiple cases of reinfection with Delta
5/n

Not exactly downplaying Covid, but utterly misunderstanding the numbers given Israel's fairly low Covid infection rate and high vaccination rate.

6/n again misunderstanding that the false positivity rate is at worst in the tens of ppm level

7/n

No facts but again implying that protections against Covid are needless. So again downplaying Covid
8/n

Again this implies that Covid isn't a problem - because otherwise why would you not want hospitals to test for it, when the most vulnerable would be exposed
9/n

Again downplaying the pandemic, and ignoring the exponential growth in hospitalisations tripling in 4 weeks and with healthcare numbers similar to October 2020
10/n

Again this isn't true. Generally Covid is less severe for those who are younger, but long covid kids are a concern to actual experts. People who don't keep asserting things without checking.

nature.com/articles/d4158…
11/n Now I am blocked and only manged to get to the end of the month. I limited myself to facts.

Still there is this that I have been sent which was way out of date at the time, and partly due to Sweden's way of reporting deaths
12/n

Again, technically true, but misleading as even at the time we were seeing hospitalisations growing
screenshot - I had hoped Melville was big enough to defend his record rather than run away. Maybe he thought he had a point to defend?
Screenshot: 6/n
Screenshot 7/n
screenshot 8/n
Screenshot 9/n
Screenshot 10/n
Screenshot 10/n
13/n

This is implying that public health advertising in a pandemic is presumably pointless, so again downplaying the need for basic information
screenshot for context:
14/n Again - when cases and even hospitalisations had already started to rise.

15/n

The same mistake as before downplaying the severity but at the start of the second wave
17/n

Again, not straight denial of Covid, but wishful thinking at best. And attacking Boris Johnson's government for being too cautious. Which is a bit of a flex.
18/n

Again not denying Covid, simply advocating ignoring the restrictions which were there for a good reason
19/n

Again playing at being an epidemiologist, and a bad one at that.
20/n

This was deleted
Screenshot for context - hope this time it stays at the top
21/n

Now this looks pretty much like downplaying the virus and the new variants to me

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More from @ParkinJim

17 Feb
2/n First claim: the death rate numbers

True but misleading - it includes Jan-Mar 2020 with no Covid, and misses most of the second wave. This is a nightingale plot showing the weekly impact compared to every week from wk31, 1999
3/n Death rates continued:

This bottom right shows how much of the second wave has been due to January and it's not finished yet.

This is also with lockdown
Read 29 tweets
24 Jun 20
If you see the claim that this is no worse than the 1999-2000 winter flu*, with a graph like this, it's rubbish even by its own logic. I've used the same ONS data they claim, and time-shifted the peaks & 2020 is worse. Also note the effect of winter.
*The worst in >40 years ImageImage
And if you look at the difference from the median death rate for those 20 years, so a type of measure of excess deaths you get this Image
Meanwhile this graph is simply plotting the weekly deaths against week number for every year starting wk 31 1999 to wk 24 2020. This shows the seasonal effect and how unusual April-May 2020 was Image
Read 14 tweets

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