I wasn’t given time to challenge Harper’s final words, so I will do so here. @markchapman@rachelburden
Harper: Hubbard doesn’t have an ‘overwhelming advantage’, therefore her inclusion is fair.
(Not verbatim)
Hubbard does have an overwhelming advantage.
Using her performances as junior male and Masters/senior female, and accounting for a small loss of strength in transition, estimates from my academic colleagues who study elite weightlifting put her male advantage at 25-50%.
This is the first thing the IOC has got right on this.
IOC admits guidelines for transgender athletes are not fit for purpose | Tokyo Olympic Games 2020 | The Guardian theguardian.com/sport/2021/jul…
As ever, @seaningle reporting in a balanced, reasonable manner.
When your rules permit a medal challenge by a 43 year old male who has taken a career beak of nearly twenty years and is over 15 years older than the competition, the rules are wrong.
“Using an age grading model designed to normalize times for masters/veteran categories, Harper analyzed self-selected and self-reported race times for eight transgender women runners of various age categories…
…who had, over an average 7 year period (range 1–29 years), competed in sub-elite middle and long distance races within both the male and female categories.
@Scienceofsport@njstone9 “Hubbard says she stopped weightlifting in 2001 at the age of 23 "because it just became too much to bear", blaming "the pressure of trying to fit into a world that perhaps wasn't really set up for people like myself".
@Scienceofsport@njstone9 “After transitioning to female aged 35 in 2012, it would be another five years before Hubbard competed at international weightlifting competitions - and she achieved immediate success.”
@Scienceofsport@njstone9 It can’t just be me that realises how utterly insane it is that this is a person who didn’t lift weights for over 15 years - 15 years - and has, in a couple of years of retraining, become competitive at the highest level???