1. A thread, responding to a series of complaints about political science by @BrankoMilan which seem to me to be generally quite wrong-headed. Note before beginning - while I've only the most tenuous personal acquaintance with him, I think his work is very good and use it.
2. This round of complaints started with the suggestion that political scientists were caught "totally flat-footed when Piketty produced a slew of cross-country data showing the transformation of labor parties into the parties of an educated elite."
3. That followed a tweet a few months previous, complaining that political scientists did not seem interested in studying "comparative democracy & voting patterns" outside 20 odd developed countries. Both tweets provoked howls of outrage
4. and voluminous threads of replies from political scientists, pointing to the voluminous bodies of research addressing just those questions. So now, Branko has retorted with a different line of attack - that political scientists are hopelessly unambitious.
5. Even if political scientists have written about these questions, it has been for chapters in edited volumes - "see page 867 in the volume no-one has ever read." Whom did they influence? Where are the dozens of op-eds? he asks, rhetorically.
6. The temptation is, of course, to reply in just the same rhetorical mode, pouring scorn on the cultivated ignorance of economists, a longstanding object of unhappiness for political scientists (but also for Branko - more on this later). That would be temporarily satisfying only
7. What is more useful, maybe, is an actual serious reply, that tries to draw out the threads of the relevant arguments - and that is what I am going to try to do. NB that this is not my major area of study, so I am sure I am missing out on lots, which others can correct me on.
8. So why do I think that Branko is wrong? The first reason is - as he now implicitly accepts - that there is in fact an existing literature on the transformation of labor parties. The second is - as he rhetorically denies - that this literature has fed into broader public debate
9. My own acquaintance with this literature began in the early 1990s when Sam Barnes assigned Kitschelt for my Ph.D. intro to comparative politics class. As others have informed Branko, Kitschelt identified the basic structural cleavage back then ...
10. between the issues that engaged middle class professionals to vote for social democratic parties, and the bread and butter issues that more traditional working class voters were assumed to care about. This fed into broader arguments about Inglehart and postmaterialism e.g.
11. Which other political scientists are far better qualified than me to talk about. The more important question though is whether it languished between the dusty covers of edited academic volumes, or got out into the world. The answer is the latter.
12. The most visible path was via another scholar of political parties, Peter Mair. His 2006 essay Ruling the Void, (later a posthumous book), built out a broader argument about how parties (particularly social democratic parties) had become disconnected from traditional voters.
13. He argued that this was the product of two forces - the fragmentation of traditional structures, including class at the bottom, and the increasing identification of party elites with a new transnational class at the top. newleftreview.org/issues/ii42/ar…
14. Peter was Irish, but he was especially concerned with the problems of UK Labour (which furnished many of his examples). And the book was extraordinarily influential in UK political debate, both in itself, and through journalists like @chakrabortty theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
15. Another line of influence was via the sociologist Colin Crouch (who - full disclosure - was my informal second dissertation chair), whose arguments about post-democracy were influenced by and influenced Peter. Again, his major concern was decline of social democratic parties.
16. I talk about this here - aeon.co/essays/the-lef… in an essay which, to my surprise was picked up and translated by a major Italian news magazine - Colin's arguments were widely discussed and read in continental Europe.
17. This broad family of arguments has in turn spurred wide-ranging, vigorous and _public_ discussion of the problems of social democratic parties, long preceding Piketty's work. Three strands come to mind pretty quicly.
18. One is the work of people like Sheri Berman, published in obscure venues such as the New York Times op-ed page nytimes.com/2017/10/02/opi…. Sheri has used her work to push against the socialist left and the current left's focus on cultural issues, favoring more traditional SD.
19. Another is the strand represented by UK thinkers like @cjbickerton theguardian.com/profile/christ… who have built on Mair's and others' arguments to push a left case for Brexit, arguing that the EU hollowed out European social democratic parties and national level democracy.
20. A third is the work of people like @juliaflynch fsi-live.s3.us-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/ly… who invoke left parties' suspicion of class politics and penchant for technocracy as a key factor spurring the rise of populism.
21. Obviously, these people disagree with each other (and may sometimes detest each other). Equally obviously, they are out there in public, using political science arguments about the elite-reorientation of left parties to explain what is happening, in ways that get picked up.
22. So, the evidence shows that Branko is wrong on this question. But equally, it would be wrong to read this thread as an extended "I told you so." Instead, it's an invitation to talking better across disciplines. Branko's critics see him as another parochial economist ...
23. What they fail to appreciate is that in internal debates, he's a harsh critic of his own discipline's parochialism. So how can we get further? Piketty - who Branko's complaints began with - offers one model. He seems to see himself as a social scientist more than an economist
24. (perhaps with a strong flavor of Annaliste historian too). That is not to say that Piketty cites every political scientist who he could and perhaps should have (I've heard some grumbling), but that he clearly aspires to work and think across disciplines.
25. That seems a better model than starting out with the assumption that if you don't know about others' work, it either doesn't exist, or is so obscure it might as well not exist. The latter understandably gets people's backs up. Finis.

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More from @henryfarrell

25 May
1. So this went up yesterday - preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2021/0… - and I'm very happy with it - @seanmcarroll questions and sense of how the various arguments pulled together meant that I sound far more coherent than I usually feel.
2. As noted in the interview, anything genuinely intelligent-sounding that I said should likely be attributed to the co-authors whom I am leaning on heavily throughout. We discussed work with Cosma Shalizi, with @hugoreasoning and Melissa Schwartzberg, and with Marion Fourcade .
3. Also, by sheer coincidence (the interview took place a couple of months ago), we talked about the main themes of a report by @schneierblog and I that @SNFAgoraJHU published yesterday on the current state of American democracy. It's here - snfagora.jhu.edu/publication/re…
Read 11 tweets
19 May
1. Some repercussions from this that may not be obvious to non-academics. This is going to be a very big blow to the University of North Carolina. Universities live in a reputation system - and UNC has just taken a big hit to its credibility.
2. First - the Board has substantially damaged the university's ability to attract good professors. If you are a young professor, and you are lucky enough that you can choose among a couple of tenure track jobs, you are going to be less likely to want to go to to UNC.
3. Why would you want to gamble on the decision of a board of trustees that has to approve your tenure case, and will shoot down candidates because of their politics? It's an additional risk - especially in a country where political controversies can come out of nowhere.
Read 8 tweets
14 May
1. Kim Stanley Robinson has just posted his response - this completes the seminar that we've been running on his new book, The Ministry for the Future. crookedtimber.org/2021/05/14/res… . The contributions to the seminar, in order of publication were:
2. The initial organizing post, introducing the seminar, and with links to all the individual posts is here - crookedtimber.org/2021/05/03/the…
3. @OlufemiOTaiwo on the different trajectories of change depicted in the US and India, and what that says about global power and our collective imagination crookedtimber.org/2021/05/03/wha… .
Read 12 tweets
11 May
1. So an important story I've been waiting to see someone write up properly, and haven't, yet: How Fox News Grandpa Got His Jab. The numbers tell us that older Americans are getting vaccinated in high numbers. But lots of them are conservative Republicans. So what gives?
2. First - the numbers According to the CDC - usafacts.org/visualizations… - approx. 83% of Americans between the ages of 65-75 and 80% between 75-85 have gotten at least one shot. That is a thumping majority of a demographic that has tended Republican and has lots of Fox viewers.
3. There are obvious obvious provisos with trying to extrapolate too far. There may be problems with the CDC data. It's trying to capture the overall population, not the voting/politically-engaged/political-tv-watching population. And you can add your own to your heart's content.
Read 15 tweets
3 May
1. Thread. crookedtimber.org/2021/05/03/the… We’re running a Crooked Timber seminar on Kim Stanley Robinson’s extraordinary book the Ministry for the Future. This book has already gotten lots of attention (see @ezraklein vox.com/2020/11/30/217… and @BarackObama )
2. So what we want to do is to help the book start doing its practical work in the world. It's a novel that both sets out to make the consequences of climate change as viscerally as possible, and to think through what other economic, technological, political and social changes...
3. might help fight it and perhaps, over the longer term, even start to turn it back. It is in short, a book that is intended to be read as a novel, but also to start arguments and get people moving to start doing things. We've brought together a number of different people.
Read 6 tweets
12 Mar
1. @ANewman_forward and I have seen our term #WeaponizedInterdependence become a broadly used shorthand for describing the emerging world (article: direct.mit.edu/isec/article/4… , coedited book with @dandrezner amzn.to/2OnGNLO. Two new examples suggest it's going international:
2. One is @StevenErlanger new NYT piece nytimes.com/2021/03/12/wor… , talking about how the US has "weaponized" the dollar, and Europe wants to respond. In @GuntramWolff words, "To be credible you need reciprocity, and retaliation is the only way to do it." But as Guntram elaborates,
3. the problem is that ""the politics are more difficult,’’ ... given the asymmetrical power of the U.S. Treasury and the global role of the dollar. “The reality is that there is no united European power able to project power on that scale.’’"
Read 20 tweets

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