A few things to ponder when waiting to find out when Texas and OU start in the SEC. The current SEC TV deal with CBS runs out after the 2023 football season. (That deal is a terrible deal for the SEC, excellent for CBS at around $55 million for best games and SEC title game) 1/5
If OU and Texas came to the SEC prior to 2023, assuming they escape grant of rights, CBS would presumably have access to Red River and their home games. CBS has shown in past SEC realignment that they aren’t going to pay more money for these games. 2/5
So there’s no likely financial bump for the rest of the SEC from CBS in short term. There *could* be some legal wrangling over whether CBS owns these games, but that seems unlikely to work. 3/5
The other dynamic here is that Big 12 Commissioner Bob Bowlsby is daring OU/Texas/ESPN to give them a reason get litigious. ESPN doesn’t have full control of SEC TV rights until 2024 season, which would be the final one OU and Texas are in Big 12. 4/5
That’s a long way to say that market and legal forces *could* lead to some patience here. Also, exit fees are giant at more than $150 million combined. The juice may not be worth the squeeze when you judge cost and legal risk with seemingly limited potential return. 5/5

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More from @PeteThamel

7 Aug 20
Sources: MAC presidents meet again tomorrow after not reaching a conclusion on the fate of the season yesterday. All options are open, including cancelling fall sports. Coaches unable to give players answers to their questions about the season has created an undercurrent (Thread)
of uncertainty and increased the chances of opt outs. There’s a hope around the MAC that other leagues cancel first. There’s optics concerns over enrollment and worries their rosters will get raided. 2/4
Coaches are skeptical they’ll be playing this fall, as significant safety concerns and testing concerns remain. “You’ve got to follow the big guys,” said a source. “I don’t know why we’d be first. It’s not smart politically.” 3/4
Read 4 tweets
22 Jul 20
WVU AD Shane Lyons sent a letter to the NCAA Board of Governors on behalf of the Football Oversight Committee. @YahooSports obtained the letter, which essentially asks the BOG to wait to postpone/cancel fall championships, which could be decided on Friday. From the letter:
“We are simply requesting that the Board of Governors not make an immediate decision on the outcome of fall championships so that conferences and schools may have ample latitude to continue to evaluate the viability of playing football this fall.”
"The Committee strongly believes that a patient approach to evaluating that a patient approach to evaluating the possibility of conducting 2020 fall championships will provide the remaining conferences and schools the best opportunity to make deliberate decisions...
Read 4 tweets

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