Having spent the past week thinking about how to regulate firms offering “black PR” (as in black ops meant to be deniable, like anti-vax disinfo from Moscow), I found this news of “white PR” to advocate for vaccination to be interesting and inspired. 🧵 nytimes.com/2021/08/01/tec…
Here’s the case that got me concerned about this influence vector last week. An secret funder in Moscow—whose identify was laundered by a PR front—paid YouTube influencers to spread disinfo that Pfizer vaccines kill, not disclosing the sponsorship. bbc.com/news/blogs-tre…
When the good guys start fighting fire with fire by adopting these tactics, it usually doesn’t work out too well for democracy. Take the Philippines, where it hasn’t helped Duterte’s opponents win elections, just normalized disinfo by competing PR firms. buzzfeednews.com/article/craigs…
But in this case, it’s not adoption of the same tactics of disinfo pushed through black PR and marketing firms. The PR firms are transparent about the client and the influencer discloses the sponsorship, if any. nytimes.com/2021/08/01/tec…
I’m inclined to recommend PR and marketing firms be subject to AML rules, but only if they’re providing clients with anonymity and deniability—i.e., black ops, not traditional PR or marketing work. This will be covered in a chapter of my forthcoming report on regulating enablers.
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The US-Germany deal on Nord Stream 2 has solid concessions by Berlin. We can all blame Putin, Schröder, Merkel, and others for this pipeline. By declining to sanction allies now that it's built, Biden leads us to stand together vs Covid, China, and climate.state.gov/joint-statemen…
1⃣ Ukraine gets at least $1 billion for green energy transition on top of other energy support.
2⃣ Germany expands its engagement with Three Seas Initiative with financial support for energy projects.
1️⃣ Germany and the US to invest $50 million in Ukrainian green tech
2️⃣ German support for Three Seas
3️⃣ Ukraine keeps getting $3 billion in annual transit fees from Russia
4️⃣ US can sanction future Russian energy coercion wsj.com/articles/u-s-g…
Woulda also liked a kill switch, reverse gas flows from West, extended Ukr-Rus gas deal past 2024, and German/EU commitment to join the snapback sanctions. But diplomacy is about saying “yes” to getting most of what you wanted, particularly when the issue isn’t your #1 priority.
The single biggest reason why we're stronger than Russia and China may be that we have many friends and allies in the world, not just subjects we try to dominate. And we have that because we treat them like friends & allies, not just pushing and ordering them around all the time.
Here are a half-dozen ways Congress can shore up U.S. defenses against Chinese malign finance. 🧵
1⃣ There's a provision in #S1 to broaden the definition of an in-kind political contribution to cover dirt on opponents or polling data (think Russia-2016), but it would not cover requests for investigations into opponents or trade targeted toward swing stages (think China-2020).
2⃣ 501c3's should have to disclose foreign funders. China has used proxies to set up friendly think tanks (in Australia) or US-based 501c3's (to facilitate bribery schemes and buy influence for the Belt and Road as far West as Czechia and Africa). See @Lancegooden's bill.
Includes the $191 million for FinCEN requested by Biden, a 50% boost.
This is great news—would be Congress’s strongest anti-corruption appropriation this year! 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼 docs.house.gov/meetings/AP/AP…
Credit also goes to @RepSpanberger, @RepAnnWagner, @RepMalinowski, @RepAGonzalez, & 34 others who urged appropriators to "significantly increase funding for FinCEN for FY22 ... to cost-effectively combat the illicit financial transactions that [threaten] U.S. national security."
If anything, the House approps markup and Senate process should push the number even higher. Gary Kalman and I argue in @ForeignPolicy to keep it simple and follow Rep. Charlie Wilson's famous order about funding CIA operations in Afghanistan: "Double it." foreignpolicy.com/2021/04/01/fin…
"FinCEN is tasked with building a massive database that collects and secures beneficial ownership information, but Congress has not yet provided any funding to do it."
Dramatically increasing funding for the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is by far the single most important thing Congress can do this year to fight corruption.
Here's a letter from @RepSpanberger, @RepAnnWagner, @RepMalinowski, @RepAGonzalez, and 34 others urging appropriators to "significantly increase funding for FinCEN for FY22 ... to cost-effectively combat the illicit financial transactions that [threaten] U.S. national security."
Terrific new paper on how foreign powers spend money undermining EU democracy, with a dozen citations of #CovertForeignMoney.
As with my two expert testimonies, this work was requested by @EP_Democracy, which is shoring up EU democracy while the US Senate is gridlocked over #S1.
Here's Tom Morley and my research report on #CovertForeignMoney, which surveys more than 100 cases of malign finance, buckets the activity into the seven most common legal loopholes, and presents policy solutions we developed with almost 100 top experts.⬇️securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/covert-foreign…
Six of our proposed solutions are covered within #S1, and five are included @Sen_JoeManchin's proposed selection of voting rights protections: