Out running an errand now, but the #akleg fiscal working group is underway with today’s hearing with Revenue Commissioner Lucinda Mahoney. Sounds like it’ll be more focus on the constitutional amendment (the one they’re gonna spend $250k on).
Sounds like they’ve got some new fiscal model to debut today.
So far, Mahoney is talking about consistency in the size of the dividend… something that the PFD has never had (and also opposed by some far-right folks who few like it’d turn the PFD into an entitlement)
Sen. Hughes says maybe actually the PFD has been historically steady if you apply inflation.
Surprise. The administration’s forecast is rosy with seemingly no downside and therefore everything works perfectly.
Sen. Kiehl points that out. Mahoney says if he wants to be more pessimistic about the future returns, then he’s welcome to play around with the model.
The updated model sounds like it’s at least no longer assuming $200m in cuts will magically appear.
That leaves a deficit of $700 million next year that grows after that.
The plan also assumes 1.5% inflation. Mahoney says if they think it’ll be higher, then they can try it out on the model on their own.
They’re not proposing any actual solutions to this plan. No more bridge funding, no more magical cuts, no more mystery revenue.
Instead, it’s a $700M+ deficit but you get your 50-50 PFD.
They’re getting into the revenues “ the governor would support if it also has the support of the Legislature” which is a first.
Some are
-Reduce the per barrel credit
-corporate income tax on pass thru oil companies (Hilcorp)
-sales tax
-gambling
-overdraw permanent fund
We’ll I’ll give em some credit for getting creative. A lot of talk right now about monetizing Alaska land as carbon offsets as more carbon taxes come online.
Just got home in time for them to have a technical glitch that has put the meeting on hold. At least there's plenty of time to fiddle around with the smoker (hey, turns out it works a lot better if I'm not constantly open it to peek at the salmon)
Oh weird. I was able to keep listening to the hearing with the app on my phone but it looks like akleg.gov is currently down. Stream has also since died, too.
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Happening now. Oral arguments in AFN's lawsuit challenging the Dunleavy administration's expansion of the Constitutional Budget Reserve sweep to include the Power Cost Equalization program.
The key issue here is what is/isn't subject to the sweep. Previous decision said it has to be in the general fund AND available for appropriation by the #akleg.
Under a 2019 opinion by former AG Clarkson, Gov decided if it was LIKE the general fund, then it was the general fund.
Unsurprisingly, this hasn't been implemented equally across the board with a lot of questions about whether Clarkson's expanded understanding would also mean the Alaska Permanent Fund's earnings reserve account and several others should also be swept.
The #akleg join fiscal plan working group is underway. On today's agenda: ISER Director Ralph Townsend with a presentation about the economic impacts of taxes and PFD cuts.
Townsend says people get fixated on the number whenever an economist is before them. He says the focus should be on managing Alaska's resources:
-Human capital
-Private capital
-Public infrastructure
-Public financial assets (the Perm. Fund)
-Natural resources
He says government is in large part balancing the good things (roads, infrastructure, services, education, etc) against the negative effects (like taxes).
"Good policy does make a difference in the long run. ... But anytime we make a change, it has short-run costs."
In the House and Health and Social Services Committee, Phil Hofstetter of Petersburg Medical Center says they had more covid-19 cases following the expiration of the disaster declaration than they DURING THE REST OF THE PANDEMIC.
He says that travelers started to ignore travel requirements and individuals started to ignore masking mandates, etc. Behavior was changing, he said, because there was no more public health emergency.
He says the hospital is at capacity for covid-19 treatment. #akleg
They've had to close schools after getting through the pandemic without having any significant closures.
The Senate Transportation Committee is currently meeting on the proposed closures of several DMV offices. Sen. Kiehl notes a lot of stuff--driver's tests, senior tests--need to be done in person.
Admin Commissioner Tshibaka suggests they just change the laws.
Sen. Lora Reinbold responds to Gov. Dunleavy's letter calling her a liar and spreader of disinformation about covid-19 and the state's response. So far a lot of hollering about "illegal" this and "illegally" that.
She pats herself on the back for waiting a week to hold her response because Dunleavy got covid. She wishes him a speedy recovery.
She credits herself with the #akleg failing to pass the disaster declaration. (It'd be the House's disorganization, but whatev, since when has she been about facts?)
If you tune into today's House Health and Social Services Committee, you'll find Americans for Prosperity Alaska testifying in support of more government in the form the Department of Health and Social Services split.
Rep. Spohnholz calls 'em out. Notes the reorganization really only calling for additional execs without any actual plan for improvement. Asks if they really support additional bureaucracy without a plan for improvement.
Rep. Fields notes that AFP has historically opposed public employment. Says their support for additional public employees - even if there's not really a plan for them - sounds like a sea change in AFP's policy.
McKee says that AFP has always respected public employees.