COVID HOSPITALISATIONS IN THE YOUING
Repeated claims recently suggest more young people are becoming hospitalised with Covid than was the case in Jan 2021. However England's empirical data show otherwise: new hospitalisations in the young reached similar levels in July & Jan.
1/
The BBC, for example, reported recently that, in England, “levels of young adults being admitted to hospital was four times higher than the peak last winter.”
Without additional explanation, this is likely to be misinterpreted by many people.
bbc.co.uk/news/health-58…
2/
ONS Covid Insights, 6 Aug '21, shows charts of new hospital admissions by age, pointing out that "Hospital admission rates in those aged under 25 years were at similar level to rates during the peak in January 2021".
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
3/
Data show that hospital admissions 'with Coronavirus' in the young did reach similar levels in July to those in the January 2021 peak. They remain, however - & especially in children - far lower than in older age groups; so much so that one has to zoom in to see them.
4/
What was different in July was that new hospitalisations in older people were far lower than in January.
Admissions in the young were not higher in absolute terms than they were in January. They were higher only as a % of a far lower total. Important to understand that.
5/
The risk of hospitalisation with Covid varies enormously with age. Charts here show weekly rates per 100,000 people for England. Again, the risk to young people (& especially children) is extremely low; so much so that, as before, one has zoom in to see it.
6/
While no one suggests that the risk of hospitalisation with Covid is zero, England data (as at w/e 1 Aug 2021) show that:
1) The risk to young people was not higher in July than in the January 2021 peak.
2) The risk to young people - & particularly children - remains very low.
7/
[Analysis, opinions & errors my own.]
8/

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More from @RuminatorDan

10 Aug
COVID DEATHS BY AGE, ENGLAND,
w/e 8 Mar 2020 - 1 Aug 2021

The risk of death with/of Covid varies enormously with age. England data show this clearly.
1/ ImageImage
The difference is so great that one cannot usefully plot all ages together (without resorting to log or other methods). At this scale, only the top (oldest) few age bands are clearly visible. The younger ages are also shown - but they are too small to see.
2/ Image
Here we zoom in 10 x on the vertical (y) axis. The older groups, now off the top of the chart, have been faded for clarity. The age bands shown, 0-64, together account for ~11% of total deaths in the period. That is to say, 89% of deaths occurred in people of aged 65 & older.
3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
8 Aug
"We can't afford to wait two years, five years, 10 years - this is the moment"
Whatever you view on the topic, please consider how improbable it is that:
1) Of all the 2.25 billion or so 2-year periods since the Earth formed, today just happens to be *the* critical moment.
1/
2) Having each witnessed around 0.000001% of the Earths's history by the time we are middle aged (& 0.0000004% if you happen to be 18) we, of all generations, are uniquely special, not only to live at this most momentous point in the Earths's history but also to know...
2/
... exactly what is going on & exactly what everyone else must do. Not only do we know how others must live their lives, we even know how the Earth itself must live.

Some think we are suffering from a civilisational loss of direction, narcissism & hubris. But we know better.
3/
Read 5 tweets
7 Aug
"Lockdowns unlikely to be needed again, Professor Neil F says"
We continue to treat the idea that lockdowns are effective & reasonable as a self evident truth. It is not. Apparent since last spring that many of the main covid "pillars of faith" are highly questionable.
1/ Image
This, for example, comparing UK and Sweden a year ago:

2/
& this, earlier last year, re claim made then & repeated now that "if Prime Minister had locked down a week earlier in March 2020, "that first wave would have been v substantially reduced -halved in size at least, maybe even reduced by three quarters"

3/
Read 5 tweets
10 Jul
1. Eerie restraint among MSM ahead of Monday’s UK decision (why no Armageddon?).
2. Out of character positive(!) words from SAGE.
3. Sting in the tail domestic passport story.
(links to all 3 below)
Which country is this again?
Enough BBB BS.
Restore freedom & get out of the way.
1. Eerie restraint among MSM ahead of Monday’s UK decision (why no Armageddon?).
2. Out of character positive(!) words from SAGE.
Read 4 tweets
10 Jun
Ridiculous to hear the pathetic attempts at justifying lack of quarantine requirements for G7. Are our leaders and their messianic advisers now such living gods that they are immune from diseases of the flesh?
1/
If I may make a suggestion:
Stop digging!

The reason this looks like a hypocritical, elites vs plebs, "Rules for thee but not for me" situation is because that is what it is.
2/
The masses must follow rules because they have been forced, nudged & terrified into doing so. Their lives and affairs are deemed less important than those of the elites, who, far from leading from the front, avoid the inconvenience of their own rules.
3/
Read 7 tweets
30 May
"PM [Boris J] says he wants G7 to sign on to plan to vaccinate entire world by end of 2022"

"We need to have agreements on issues such as vaccine passports, COVID status certification and the rest,"

"Nobody is safe until everybody is safe," Boris (really) said.
1/ Image
"Johnson said that he sees a vaccine certification regime, or vaccine passport, as just one part of an international pandemic preparedness treaty that would set down approaches to deal with the next pandemic"

Hardly a temporary measure then.
2/
"[UK] government has put some $1 billion into COVAX... a global vaccine-sharing initiative jointly coordinated by the World Health Organization, the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations and Gavi, The Vaccine Alliance."
3/ Image
Read 6 tweets

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