COVID DEATHS BY AGE, ENGLAND,
w/e 8 Mar 2020 - 1 Aug 2021
The risk of death with/of Covid varies enormously with age. England data show this clearly. 1/
The difference is so great that one cannot usefully plot all ages together (without resorting to log or other methods). At this scale, only the top (oldest) few age bands are clearly visible. The younger ages are also shown - but they are too small to see. 2/
Here we zoom in 10 x on the vertical (y) axis. The older groups, now off the top of the chart, have been faded for clarity. The age bands shown, 0-64, together account for ~11% of total deaths in the period. That is to say, 89% of deaths occurred in people of aged 65 & older. 3/
At 100x vertical zoom we show age bands from 0-44 years, which together account for ~1.3% of total deaths. Even at this scale, those under ~20 years of age are hardly visible. 4/
Finally, at 1000x vertical zoom we see the youngest age groups. The noisy, 'jagged' nature of this chart is due to the - thankfully - extremely low numbers. 5/
One can make various observations from these charts. For example, it can be seen that recent weeks (as at w/e 1 Aug 2021) show far lower deaths than in previous peaks. This seems to be the case in all age bands, although the reduction is largest in older people.
6/
The key observation is that the risk of Covid death is hugely age dependent &, while never 0, is v low in the young. This chart shows % of total deaths occurring in "up to age X". E.g. people aged 0-19 constitute only ~0.06% of all Covid deaths.
This is vitally important. 7/
[Analysis, opinions & errors my own.]
8/
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unvaccinated = no vaccination or vaccinated less than 21 days ago.
Oh dear.
As we saw in March'20 & many times since, no matter how impressive a model looks, if the fundamental assumptions & parameters are wrong, then the results will be WRONG - perhaps catastrophically wrong...
"Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination"
Our paper here discusses the issue of miscategorisation, along with other aspects:
This thread discusses the healthy vaccinee effect, a commonly claimed reason for one of the vaccine's more 'magical' properties, in which, put simply, unvaccinated people appear to die more when other people get vaccinated...
Despite living through the greatest lesson in recent history on the dangers of tyranny, centralisation, hubris, technocracy, over-reliance on 'experts',...
...We not only continue the same mistakes but aspire to make far (far) bigger ones!
❓What is really going on here? 3/4
"Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status &uncertain effectiveness of C19 vaccination"
Our paper now includes the 'healthy vaccinee' effect, which we find does not explain the non-Covid mortality anomalies. dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.…
Logically, whether the healthy vaccinee hypothesis is incorrect or correct, the implications are the same: Something is causing significant anomalies in the data. Claims made on the basis of those data are therefore highly questionable.
Dramatic increases in non-Covid mortality are observed in the unvaccinated population following dose 1 rollout & in dose 1 recipients following dose 2 rollout.
In plain English, the mortality of people who are not vaccinated appears to increase when other people are vaccinated.
NSW Australia "Rules for people who are not fully vaccinated" 15 October 2021
"If you are over the age of 16 years and are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit another person’s place of residence, except in limited circumstances." 1/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a gym or indoor recreation facility." 2/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a recreation facility." 3/
__ONS England & Wales Covid Deaths by Age as % of total Covid deaths, from Jan 2020 to 10 September 2021__
Stacked in this way, only older age groups are visible. This is because the vast majority of Covid deaths occurred in older people.
59% were aged 80+
93% were aged 60+ 1/
Zooming in 10x, the chart now shows age groups which, in total, account for ~10% of all Covid deaths. (Older groups have been greyed out for clarity.)
4.3% of deaths were in people aged under 55.
1.3% were in people under 45 years old. 2/
At 100x zoom, the visible age groups, combined, make up only ~1% of total covid deaths.
0.74% of deaths were in people aged under 40.
0.19% were in people under 30 years old. 3/
Israel Minister of Health explains to Minister of the Interior that the green pass in some places is required only so as to put pressure on the unvaccinated to get vaccinated.
(clip: Israel Channel 12)
English translation in thread below. 1/
Translation:
HER: I suspect that for outdoor restaurants you can remove the green pass.
HIM: I'll tell you, in swimming pools and also restaurants. Epidemiologically it's correct.
HER: Correct.
2/
HIM: The issue is - and I'm telling it to you - our problem is people who don't get vaccinated. We need a bit so that they...
HER: To put pressure on them.
HIM: Otherwise... We won't get out of this.
3/