In July, we set a deadline for democracy for the senate to pass the For the People Act before August recess. They just blew past it. Here's my read on what that means and what our options are. Three points to pull out: [short thread] indivisibleteam.medium.com/we-blew-past-t…
1) Missing this deadline means that the anti-gerrymandering provision in the bill is more likely to fail an inevitable court challenge. So the GOP is more likely to succeed in rigging maps next year. That is an unavoidable consequence of missing the deadline. This simply sucks.
2) The bill at large and even the gerrymandering provision isn't dead. All Dems voted for it early this morning, and Schumer committed to taking it up as soon as recess is over. If the Senate Dems eliminate the filibuster and pass the bill, there is a ton of good it can still do.
3) Our problem is bigger than Manchin/Sinema. We've heard other Dems like Coons and Carper are delaying filibuster reform behind closed doors. And our star player, President Biden, is sitting on the sidelines. To win, we need to bring them all over to our side, and soon.
Ok I'll add one more: politicians move when push, and it's our job to push them. We have unified Dem support for S.1. They are are here because we pushed them. We haven't won yet, and we missed a key deadline, but this ain't over and we need to stay in the fight. /end
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The President has not given one single speech or held one single event focused on passing the For the People Act. Where the hell is he on saving our democracy?
My hope is that he changes course, but so far that hasn't happened. Some thoughts on the state of things:
Pelosi has prioritized the For the People Act. It passed the House months ago. Schumer says "Failure is not an option" and wrangled 50 votes to move to debate.
There will be a fight on the bill and filibuster reform this month.
Meanwhile, the president is just totally MIA.
Last week, the White House promised more engagement on democracy. Since then...bupkis. Nothing. Nada. Zilch.
While the democracy burns, the President is trying to build bridges with chief arsonist Mitch McConnell.
We hoped for 50 Dem votes & we got 'em. Here's what's next: 1) Congess leaves town Thursday for recess & is out til July 12. 2) When they return, they have 3 weeks to pass a bill before August recess. 3) What they hear now will determine what they do then. deadlinefordemocracy.org
This is an all-hands-on-deck moment. Focus on what you personally can do.
Got a good Dem senator? Your goal is to make sure they are champions on this every damn day.
Got a wobbly Dem? Your goal is to stiffen their spine.
GOP senator? Make them famous for voter suppression.
Your local pressure needs to be persistent and overwhelming. Get creative. Get media attention. Make them listen. We can't give you marching orders - it's up to you to figure out the details. But you're not alone, and we're here to help. Join up and lead. deadlinefordemocracy.org
Ok I have reached my WTF moment with Biden on this. Tomorrow the Senate will try to vote on the For the People Act. McConnell will filibuster it. What happens next will depend on what we all do. Biden, for his part, is...where? Some thoughts:
Is saving democracy a priority for this Administration or not? Rightwing zealots are systematically dismantling our democratic institutions. I don't want to see some tepid public statement. We need to see the President and VP using the full force of their bully pulpit to lead.
This is what legislatively successful presidents do!
Obama did a live debate with House GOP on the ACA.
Clinton gave 18 speeches on NAFTA and deputized Gore to debate Ross Perot on it.
What does Manchin propose to cut from For the People? A lot of stuff that was designed to make elections work better and that is WILDLY popular. Quick thread with some polling:
Same day voter registration. Not in his proposal. Wildly popular among all parties:
Limits on voter roll purging. Not in his proposal. Wildly popular among all parties.
Hi 👋 Nate, author here. The question isn't how Trump performed in WV, but how popular democracy reform is. This is a legislative fight after all. And the For the People Act is wildly popular in WV among Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.
If you're wondering why this bill is so darn popular, you could read what the democracy experts are saying...which is that our republic is at risk of crumbling if we don't pass it. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Back to your point about bully pulpit research - it's a small dataset but there is research! You might check out this old interview with the political scientist who conducted "the most in-depth study of the bully pulpit." theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
The For the People Act is wildly popular...in West Virginia:
-Require disclosure of political funders: 87% favor
-Strengthen lobbying rules: 85% favor
-End gerrymandering: 84% favor
-National voting standards: 79% favor
-Ban electeds from serving on for-profit boards: 76% favor
That's why, if you're in West Virginia, you're probably seeing ads like this (identified by an Indivisible volunteer in the state):
The anti-democracy reactionaries are dropping $$$$$ *because they're scared*. They don't think they've won. They're taking this democracy threat seriously.
As bad as the ad is, it's a good sign! First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.