The new census results coming out today will reveal an incomplete picture of race and ethnicity in the United States.

I wrote about why the 2020 census, like every earlier count, is producing flawed data:
npr.org/2021/08/12/101…
2. While the Census Bureau says the new data is "high quality" & "fit to use for redistricting," there are many complications baked into these new race/ethnicity statistics that I've been tracking — including the pandemic and interference by former President Donald Trump's admin.
3. Here's the backstory you need to know about the new race/ethnicity data the Census Bureau's releasing today:

People of color were likely undercounted in the 2020 census In 2010, the Census Bureau estimates it overcounted people w
4. Many households left the race and "Hispanic origin" questions on 2020 census forms unanswered Last November, Jarmin, the bureau's acting director, sent an
5. Data about Latinos may be skewed because many people were confused by how the 2020 census forms asked about race/ethnicity In preparing for the 2020 count, the Census Bureau was plannThat two-question format may have captured race and ethnicit
6. Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) origins will be hidden in the race/ethnicity data the Census Bureau's releasing today According to federal standards, a person with "origins "That is the quintessential lesson of a nonaction is an
7. The racial/ethnic demographics of rural communities and small geographic areas may be obscured by the new privacy protections the Census Bureau's applying to 2020 census redistricting data.

My explainer on differential privacy:
npr.org/2021/05/19/993…
8. A person's racial/ethnic identity can change from census to census & some groups may be "bigger than you would actually see" in one census, @UMNSociology's Carolyn Liebler says (paper by Liebler, Sonya Porter, Leticia Fernandez, James Noon, Sharon Ennis read.dukeupress.edu/demography/art… How a person self-reports their racial and ethnic identity c
@UMNSociology 9. Write-in responses about race and ethnicity in 2020 were categorized differently than in 2010 — and that could increase the number of people recorded in the 2020 results as identifying with more than one racial group Changes to how the bureau sorted through the write-in responData crunchers may uncover "unexpected differences"
@UMNSociology 10. There are a lot of guesses based on estimates/projections about what the 2020 census data will show about changes to the white population in the U.S.

The thing to keep in mind is it depends a lot on how you define "white" Some demographers are expecting the 2020 census results to mBut Richard Alba, a sociologist at the Graduate Center of th
@UMNSociology 11. Why is all of this flawed race/ethnicity data from the 2020 census important?

For better or worse, it's used to redraw voting districts, enforce antidiscrimination laws, and inform research and policymaking for the next decade.
@UMNSociology 12. Census data — like all other data — does not just appear out in the world waiting to be gathered. It's produced through a series of decisions. And it looks like we're going to have to live with the choices baked into this new race/ethnicity data until after the 2030 census.

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More from @hansilowang

5 Aug
BREAKING: Redistricting data from the 2020 census will be released on Aug. 12, the Census Bureau says, after months of delays caused by the pandemic and Trump officials’ interference with the count’s schedule
2. The Aug. 12 release date for 2020 census redistricting data is four days earlier than the previously announced deadline of Aug. 16.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW:
npr.org/2021/08/05/102…
3. The 2020 census redistricting data files are expected to be uploaded to the @uscensusbureau's FTP site at 1 p.m. ET on Aug. 12.

Here's the direct link:
www2.census.gov/programs-surve…
Read 7 tweets
4 Aug
NEW: The Senate's @HSGAC has voted 10-3 to advance the nomination of @_Rob_Santos to be Census Bureau director (the timing of a full Senate vote is TBD)
@HSGAC @_Rob_Santos 2. From President Biden's nominee for Census Bureau director:
@HSGAC @_Rob_Santos 3. There was a bipartisan vote to favorably report Santos' nomination out of the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, despite 3 Republican Senators voting no:

- Sen. Josh Hawley of Missouri
- Sen. James Lankford of Oklahoma
- Sen. Rick Scott of Florida
Read 4 tweets
22 Jun
NEW: 15 GOP governors are calling for the Census Bureau to move up the release of 2020 census redistricting data (still expected by 8/16) to as early as this month, which would cut short the time for applying privacy protections & checking data's accuracy
documentcloud.org/documents/2097…
2. The letter from 15 Republican governors (1st reported by @ZachMontellaro) cites June 24 as the expected completion date for "nearly all of the data processing necessary for the public release" of redistricting data" — while leaving out key details from bureau's court filings.
@ZachMontellaro 3. Applying formal privacy protections is “expected to take three weeks” after June 24 & this step in producing 2020 census redistricting data is “not optional," according pages 19-20 of this April 13 affidavit filed in federal court by the Census Bureau:
documentcloud.org/documents/2061… H. Produce and Review Microdata File (MDF) Scheduled Dates: 72. Application of these protections is not optional.  The C
Read 8 tweets
26 Apr
Today, your state will find out its new share of votes in the Electoral College and Congress when the first set of 2020 census results are out around 3 p.m. ET

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW👇
npr.org/2021/04/26/983…
2. The 1st set of 2020 census results include the state population numbers used to reallocate U.S. House seats & Electoral College votes. Breakdowns by race, ethnicity, age & sex, plus pop numbers for counties, cities, other smaller areas, are part of 2nd set, expected by Aug. 16
3. Why did it take so long to get these 2020 census results? COVID-19 forced the agency to postpone in-person counting fo
Read 11 tweets
26 Apr
BREAKING: The 1st 2020 census results will be released today during a 3 p.m. ET press conference, Census Bureau says, including the state population numbers used to reallocate House seats & Electoral College votes. Redistricting data still expected by 8/16 census.gov/newsroom/press… 3 p.m. EDT
2. Here's a link to the 3 p.m. ET live stream of the @uscensusbureau 's announcement of the first 2020 census results (including state numbers for congressional apportionment):
@uscensusbureau 3. Here's what you need to know about the first set of 2020 census results (including the state population numbers used for reallocating House seats, Electoral College votes):
npr.org/2021/04/26/983…
Read 8 tweets
23 Apr
SCOOP: About 97,000 troops usually stationed in the U.S. were deployed abroad on Census Day, @NPR has learned. Their numbers could give states with military bases or ports the population boost needed to keep or gain House seats and Electoral College votes
npr.org/2021/04/23/989…
2. How troops serving overseas on Census Day (4/1) are included in counts used for reallocating House seats, Electoral College votes is complicated. Starting in 1970 (but not in 1980), they were assigned to states of home addresses troops gave when 1st enlisted ("home of record")
3. I reported back in 2018 that the Census Bureau decided to change how it counts the deployed troops who are usually stationed in the U.S. For the 2020 census, those troops were counted as residents of the areas from which they were assigned away.
npr.org/2018/02/08/584…
Read 7 tweets

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