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Kevin Wilson Profile picture
@WilsonKM2
Aug 12, 2021 • 5 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Today in the #AtlanticBubble

18* new cases were reported

11 in New Brunswick: 2 in Saint John (travel), 9 in Moncton (3 close contacts, 6 under investigation)

7* in Nova Scotia: 1 each in Western (travel) and Eastern (contact), and 5 in Halifax (all travel, 3 old/unreported) ImageImageImageImage
Regional Summary

Remains quiet save for the outbreak in the Moncton area.

Things still getting worse in Maine. Image
Zoom in on NB:

1st graph is case timeline for NB

2nd is cases per capita for all health regions with Moncton emphasized.

3rd is hospitalizations

4th is deaths ImageImageImageImage
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics:

1st graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover current usage.

Graphs 2-4 show vaccination speed: percent of the population age 12+ receiving 1st dose (graph 2), 2nd dose (graph 3), or either (total output, graph 4) daily. ImageImageImageImage
These graphs show current 1st and 2nd dose coverage among the eligible population (age 12+) ImageImage

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More from @WilsonKM2

Kevin Wilson Profile picture
Aug 15, 2021
The Great Big Canadian Pandemic Summary Thread (5th edition)

First a summary of the pandemic in Canada.

Bonus analysis on pandemic outcomes in Canadian health regions and US counties
You can find the previous four summaries here:







For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.

So everything will be visible on the same scale.

Examples:
Read 32 tweets
Kevin Wilson Profile picture
Aug 14, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

No one updated their numbers, so I'll just do the full weekend report on yesterday's numbers.

There are currently 126 known, active cases in the region.
The test positivity rate in the region was 0.3%
There are currently 9 known, active cases in PEI, but no known outbreaks/community transmission, and no one is in hospital.
Read 17 tweets
Kevin Wilson Profile picture
Aug 14, 2021
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.

And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.
Read 14 tweets
Kevin Wilson Profile picture
Aug 13, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

27 new cases were reported:

2 in PEI (travel-related)

4 in Newfoundland and Labrador: 1 in Labrador-Grenfell, 3 in the Eastern Health region (all travel)

2 in Nova Scotia: 1 each in the Northern (travel) and Eastern (under investigation) zones ImageImageImageImage
New Brunswick reported 19 new cases:

2 each in Fredericton (under investigation), Campbellton (under investigation), and Bathurst (close contacts).

3 in Saint John (2 travel-related, 1 under investigation)

10 in Moncton (5 contacts, 5 under investigation).
There are now 126 known, active cases in the Atlantic region, of which 84 are in NB (and62 are in the Moncton area).
Read 12 tweets
Kevin Wilson Profile picture
May 31, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

33 new cases were reported: 2 each in PEI, and Newfoundland and Labrador, 12 in New Brunswick, and 17 in Nova Scotia.

There are now 709 known, active cases in the region.
PEI reported 2 new cases today, both related to travel outside the region and both detected during routine testing in isolation.

There are now 14 known, active cases in PEI.
NL also reported 2 new cases today:

1 each in the Central (close contact) and Western (travel-related) health regions.

Neither new cases is connected to each region's respective clusters, both of which remain under investigation.

There are now 101 known, active cases in NL.
Read 23 tweets
Kevin Wilson Profile picture
May 30, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

36 new cases were reported in the region: 7 in Newfoundland and Labrador, 9 in New Brunswick, and 20 in Nova Scotia.

1 new death was reported, bringing the regional total to 134.

There are now 764 known, active cases in the region.
PEI didn't update their numbers today, leaving them with 12 known, active cases.
NL reported 7 new cases today:

1 in the Central health region.

2 in the Eastern region.

4 in the Western region

All new cases are close contacts of existing cases.

There are now 104 known, active cases in NL.
Read 16 tweets

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