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18 Aug, 2 tweets, 1 min read
People who think Biden is permanently damaged by the execution of the withdrawal are really underestimating the ability of the modern right to help him out with persuadable voters.
Like you can be pretty pissed at Biden and be reminded at least three times a week that the GOP is a lethal combination of fascist and stupid.

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CavsKermit Profile picture
22 Aug
Personally, I think if someone is trotting out the old America's *standing* or *leadership* within the global community trope, that should be viewed as a tacit admission that they don't have good strategic arguments for staying.

But if we're going to place value on precedent...
Then we should look to the otherside of that coin.

1) What does it say if the American people want to end a foreign occupation, elect not one, but three successive Presidents to do that, and it still doesn't happen?
What incentives arise within our own military, IC, and private contractors when none of time, treasure, nor success of the mission are relevant factors because public support has been decoupled from their ability to continue?
Read 7 tweets
CavsKermit Profile picture
17 Aug
Duuuude...
A national security crisis is basically a bad takes Olympics.
I mean...
Read 4 tweets
CavsKermit Profile picture
17 Aug
Our plan was to leave, the Afghan government's plan was to continue to be corrupt, and the Afghan security forces' plan was to surrender rather than fight in the face of that corruption.
And there's just no way around the latter two problems which is why all of these op-eds, every single one of them, simply decide to disappear them.
I want to see the op-ed that offers a solution to the problem of the Afghan security forces preferring to surrender to the Taliban rather than fight for a government as corrupt as the last one.
Read 4 tweets
CavsKermit Profile picture
17 Aug
I'd like to preface what I'm about to say by noting that I'm not unsympathetic to those who fought with us and were left out in the cold by their own countrymen.

I'd like Biden pursue all reasonable measures to rescue as many of those folks as possible.

That said...
The MSM can seriously go fuck itself right now. You want to know how we get stuck in places like Afghanistan for 20 years? You want to know why we never leave? Pick up a newspaper and read how national security conflicts are covered.
And the power to shape how we engage in foreign policy, particularly when the use of military force is on the table, is something emedia institutions cherish.

Three Presidents in a row operating as though they were actually elected to conduct FP has broken these people.
Read 8 tweets
CavsKermit Profile picture
16 Aug
If you're of the opinion that the U.S. should've kept troops in a half a dozen forward positions to stave off collapse, and had half a dozen extraction points, you should say that.

You should also be clear about the risks that would present to our troops.
There are no free rides here, and once the Afghan security forces called it quits, there were no good options.
We should've evacuated our allies ahead of troops? Perhaps, but then you just took out a giant ad saying we have zero faith in the Afghan security forces to protect their countrymen.

We could've been watching this play out in May only our troops would've still been exposed.
Read 5 tweets
CavsKermit Profile picture
15 Aug
The Taliban did not win a bunch of battles. Despite having more troops and better weapons, the Afghan security forces simply abandoned their posts.
And with respect to this, I want to evacuate as man allies as possible, there's a hard limit on how many more U.S. troops I'm willing to risk to do so. In addition to failures that include many agencies through 4 administrations, I'm angry with actors outside the U.S.
Start with blatantly corrupt Afghan officials. Guess what, your actions have consequences for your citizens. The Afghan force who took a paycheck for decades and bolted the moment shit got real, same.
Read 5 tweets

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