Joeri Rogelj Profile picture
Aug 18, 2021 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
After the first bang of the @IPCC_CH AR6 report, it's time to look at my favorite part of the report:
visuals in the SPM.

It was a privilege to work with a team of #dataviz and information design experts @angelamorelli @tomhal99 @jordanharold on these visuals
(1/n)
The first visual shows us that human influence has warmed the climate at a rate unprecedented in at least 2000 years.

I really like how it contrasts the climate our societies were used to during their development with the evidence that we are responsible.
(2/n)
The second visual shows how observed warming is driven by emissions from human activities.

It shows that greenhouse gases alone would already have warmed the planet by 1.5°C, but air pollution is currently cooling it. Both need to be tackled.
(4/n)
Climate change is already affecting us our activities contribute to many observed changes in weather and climate extremes.
Each red hexagon represents a world region in which observed hot extremes have increased, with the number of dots representing our confidence.
(6/n)
This visual was actually too large to fully fit in a single tweet. Here is the same visual for heavy precipitation and droughts.

We see it's happening and we know it's us.
(7/n)
Combined again in a single visualisation (8/n)
The fourth visual shows scenarios that help @IPCC_CH describe the implications of our emission reduction choices.

They cover a full range from very high emissions that require a roll-back of climate policies to very low emissions that require deep cuts in the next decade. (9/n)
The final visual for today shows that every increment of warming matters for climate impacts.

That is true for temperatures. (10/n)
As well as for precipitation and soil moisture - important for the impact heatwaves have on society and crops.
(11/n)
Enough for today. Stay tuned for the second part of visual over the next days. (end)

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More from @JoeriRogelj

Oct 24
Another year, another climate gap. 🌍🔥🌡️

It's the 15th time I joined the lead author team of the @UNEP #Emissionsgap report.

How high are global emissions?
What have countries pledged?
And is this all aligned with the Paris Agreement?

Let’s dig in with a 🧵/1 Image
Launched today by @andersen_inger, the @UNEP #emissionsgap report once again looks at the state of play of international climate action. 🌍🔥🌡️🇺🇳

This year's title: No more hot air … please!

Let's have a look at what's inside /2 Image
Global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2023 amounted to 57.1 billion tons of CO2-equivalent emissions (GtCO2e)
A 1.3 percent increase from 2022. /3 Image
Read 25 tweets
Aug 2
We recently saw the 1st year-long period of global temperatures being 1.5C higher than during preindustrial times.

What does this mean for global warming?
What does this mean for the 1.5C goal?

🧵/1
Media have reported extensively on the exceptional global temperatures of the last year.

This is deeply worrying, but how does it relate to global warming, and what does it mean for the Paris Agreement's 1.5C goal?

@MarkPoynting /2bbc.co.uk/news/science-e…
The Paris Agreement sets a global goal of "holding the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels" /3 unfccc.int/files/meetings…
Image
Read 16 tweets
Jun 4
With every year passing global warming progresses. 🌍🔥

@IPCC_CH reports provide the most authoritative climate assessments but only in 5-7 year intervals.

To fill this gap over 50 scientist annually update key indicators of global climate change.

Latest update out now, a🧵
In 2021, the @IPCC_CH climate report assessed the state of the climate system and the “unequivocal” role of humans in changing it.
Since then, CO2 emissions and global warming have continued and up-to-date and trustworthy climate information is more important than ever A graphic showing a map of land, including imagery of boats, a farm, an aeroplane, a factory and a city in the centre with 3 rectangle text boxes below it. White title reads: Why do we need the Indicators of Global Climate Change? The text boxes read: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports on climate system indicators every 5-10 years, Given how rapidly the climate system is changing and the need for governments and policymakers to make decisions informed by the latest science to avoid the worst impacts is more vital than ever, This group of scientists has come togethe...
50 international scientists are filling this gap and have now published their second annual Indicators of Global Climate Change (IGCC) report, providing updates on how human activity is impacting the climate system. A graphic showing a map of land, including imagery of boats, a farm, an aeroplane, a factory and a city in the centre with 4 rectangle text boxes below it. White title reads: What are the Indicators of Global Climate Change? The text boxes read: An annual peer-reviewed update of key climate indicators (with globe icon), developed by an international team of over 50 scientists (3 people icon), built on established Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) methodologies (open book icon), full paper is available at Earth System Science Data (ESSD) (paperwork icon).
Read 11 tweets
Dec 5, 2023
Breaking news on #CO2 📢🔥🌍
The new @gcarbonproject emissions numbers are out with an analysis by @CarbonBrief

What do the numbers tell us?
Spoiler alert: they are quite the party pooper for prospects of global peaking 🥳💩😢 (1)
Global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and the production of cement increased yet another 1.1% since 2022, reaching their highest level yet.
36.8 billion tons of CO2 in 2023!

Total CO2 emissions that include land use increased by ca. 0.5%, a tie with the 2019 record (2) Image
Any positive news here?
Land-use CO2 emissions have been declining slightly, but not at a pace that would be consistent with pathways meeting the Paris Agreement 1.5C ambition.
And their estimates are still accompanied by large scientific uncertainty. (3) Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 4, 2023
Two quotes by two scientists have caused a bit of confusion. 👇

I am one of them.
So let me explain what I'm referring to here. (1) @KarlMathiesen
The latest @IPCC_CH mitigation report shows different ways in which warming can be kept to (close to) 1.5°C.
See the light-blue range in the figure below which shows global GHG emissions. (2) Image
Emissions also decline for carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) individually, but to different levels. Only CO2 reaches net zero and goes net negative. (3)
Image
Image
Read 18 tweets
Nov 14, 2023
Hot off the press - new climate research 🚨🌍🔥
Will warming stop once we reach net zero CO2 emissions?

Open-access publication @FrontiersIn assessing what we know and don't know about whether warming will stop once net zero CO2 emissions are reached. /1
frontiersin.org/journals/scien…
With #NetZero targets established as key components of international and national climate policy, it becomes ever more pertinent to closely understand what reaching net-zero emissions will deliver and what it doesn't. /2

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
That's why we, with an international team of scientists, take a deep look at the 'zero emissions commitment' or ZEC. In other words, how much warming (or cooling) can be expected once global emissions are brought down to zero.

For various reasons, we focus our effort on CO2. /3
Read 18 tweets

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