Thread by @connolly_s

Here's the update for Aug 8-14th
@RanIsraeli @MLevitt_NP2013 @prof_shahar @OS51388957 @daridor
I do not think my conclusion that its different reporting rates vs vaccination status is contradicted.
At this point I think this dataset on its own is telling all it can tell 1/n

https://twitter.com/connolly_s/status/1425402670232358915

That doesn't mean there are not useful analysis that can be constructed by pairing other data sets with this data set, but certainly anyone saying this data on its own shows any conclusion about rates across vaccination status is IMHO stretching beyond breakpoint 2/n

Also you can use this data to make statements about individual groups, e.g.:
* The case rate in the vaccinated group is not non-trivial, this supports the assertion that "vaccine does not prevent infection"
3/n

* The case rate in the partially vaccinated group is suspiciously low compared to the other two. Unclear how the IMOH counts the recovered who have had the encouraged 1 shot, though the dataset readme indicates they should be this group. Other data sets say recovered ... 4/n

... have at least a 6 fold reduction in infection rate, so if the recovered with 1 shot are a significant proportion of this category that might explain the low rates. Alternatively it could be dismissal as symptoms (but majority are positive_above_20_days_after_1st_dose`... 5/n

... so that may be less likely.

I doubt I will update the dataset beyond this week, as I would rather focus on dataset that have the potential to tell us more meaningful information or gain new insights. 6/6

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