This week I am going for my 2nd dose of the Pfizer vax.
The vaccines are completely safe as there is no evidence of long-term adverse effects regardless of how many doses are given. The absence of evidence is the evidence of absence, one of the key principles of EBM.
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Vaccines are thoroughly tested for safety over many years amongst all risk groups.
For example take this Moderna clinical trial amongst pregnant women which will be completed in 2024.
The public can rest assured that the emergency approval of C-19 vaccines will only be upgraded to full approval once all these trials have successfully been completed.
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Once a vaccine is deemed safe by Science, it will remain safe forever. There are no historic examples of the contrary.
The age old principle of “First try something on everyone to prevent harm” should guide us in our decisions.
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During this time it is difficult to know who to trust and who not to trust. Below find some guidelines:
1) Trust the government as well as the most eminent scientists, but only if they stick to the accepted narrative.
2) To know the accepted narrative watch the media.
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3) Avoid all conspiracy theories. A typical sign of a conspiracy theory is any deviation from the accepted narrative.
4) It is much safer to follow the accepted narrative. If it is wrong, at least you are not alone, and you will not be subject to ridicule.
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If you challenge the accepted narrative, you are more likely to be wrong, and even if you are right, you will be subject to ridicule and you will be the laughing stock of everyone.
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During this pandemic with multiple variants and multiple waves, 10-20% of the population might never be infected. Vaccines are not expected to increase this number by much.
Who ends up in this 10-20% matters.
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The mortality risk to the healthy young is 100,000x lower compared to the healthy old, and 500,000x lower compared to the old and sick.
By closing schools and hiding the young, are we not making it increasingly difficult for the old to remain in the 20% never infected?
In South Africa, the poor will derive a small benefit from vaccines as immunity levels are already at 60%. The rich will derive a major benefit as immunity levels are low at 20%.
There are no signs of a 3rd wave on the horizon and hospital admissions are the lowest in 10 months and declining. Alcohol restrictions were justified ito hospital demand.
Open air church gatherings pose negligible risks. There should be no cap on indoor meetings. 10 people in a venue for 20 is no different to 1000 in a venue for 2000.
Black Friday was allowed when the 2nd wave was in full swing and casinos never closed.
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Warnings of an imminent 3rd wave when there is nothing on the horizon is irresponsible and results in people avoiding hospitals when they should not.
Now is the time to address the backlog in elective procedures and the neglect of all other health concerns.