1 of 7:

This week I am going for my 2nd dose of the Pfizer vax.

The vaccines are completely safe as there is no evidence of long-term adverse effects regardless of how many doses are given. The absence of evidence is the evidence of absence, one of the key principles of EBM.
2 of 7:

Vaccines are thoroughly tested for safety over many years amongst all risk groups.

For example take this Moderna clinical trial amongst pregnant women which will be completed in 2024.

clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04…
3 of 7:

The public can rest assured that the emergency approval of C-19 vaccines will only be upgraded to full approval once all these trials have successfully been completed.
4 of 7:

Once a vaccine is deemed safe by Science, it will remain safe forever. There are no historic examples of the contrary.

The age old principle of “First try something on everyone to prevent harm” should guide us in our decisions.
5 of 7:

During this time it is difficult to know who to trust and who not to trust. Below find some guidelines:

1) Trust the government as well as the most eminent scientists, but only if they stick to the accepted narrative.

2) To know the accepted narrative watch the media.
6 of 7:

3) Avoid all conspiracy theories. A typical sign of a conspiracy theory is any deviation from the accepted narrative.

4) It is much safer to follow the accepted narrative. If it is wrong, at least you are not alone, and you will not be subject to ridicule.
7 of 7:

If you challenge the accepted narrative, you are more likely to be wrong, and even if you are right, you will be subject to ridicule and you will be the laughing stock of everyone.

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More from @pieterstreicher

16 Sep
1 of 4:

A young and an old man see a lion in the veld. The young starts putting on his running shoes.

Surprised, the old man says "You can't outrun a lion!"

"I don't have to outrun the lion," said the young man, "I just have to outrun you."

@PanData19 Image
2 of 4:

During this pandemic with multiple variants and multiple waves, 10-20% of the population might never be infected. Vaccines are not expected to increase this number by much.

Who ends up in this 10-20% matters. Image
3 of 4:

The mortality risk to the healthy young is 100,000x lower compared to the healthy old, and 500,000x lower compared to the old and sick.

By closing schools and hiding the young, are we not making it increasingly difficult for the old to remain in the 20% never infected? Image
Read 4 tweets
15 Sep
1 of 4:

If there is one unwarranted fear, it is the fear that vaccines introduce a significant mortality risk.

Sweden has 60% of its population vaccinated over the last 9 months with no excess deaths.
2 of 4:

The possibility of net harm from vaccines will most likely be limited to the young, the healthy and the recovered.

This BMJ articles looks at both sides of the argument ito vaccinating the recovered:

bmj.com/content/374/bm…
3 of 4:

This pre-print looks at the risk of cardiac adverse events for boys 12-17, post vaccination.

Further research into the severity and long-term sequelae of post-vaccination CAE is warranted.

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Read 4 tweets
17 Aug
1 of 5:

C-19 vaccines will primarily reduce severe disease and death.

Vaccinating the vulnerable is key.

Vaccination does not prevent infection or transmission.

Can we all please stop putting undue pressure on young and healthy people to get the vax. Image
2 of 5:

This is from The Scientists Collective Thought Police in an article in the Daily Mouthpiece.

They are starting to get some key aspects right which is encouraging. Unfortunately the opening paragraph starts with an error.

dailymaverick.co.za/article/2021-0…
3 of 5:

The "much worse" is not apparent in excess deaths data for SA.

Everyone is fallible. This includes scientists and institutions.

The media should not only express the opinions of one particular group. Image
Read 5 tweets
8 Jul
1 of 6:

In South Africa, the poor will derive a small benefit from vaccines as immunity levels are already at 60%. The rich will derive a major benefit as immunity levels are low at 20%.

@PanData19
2 of 6:

Lockdowns were maintained to maximise the number of people getting immunity via the vaccine as opposed to the virus.

The strategy was sold on the basis that it is the only way out i.e. removing the ethical concerns regarding the costs.
3 of 6:

The costs of lockdowns are disproportionally carried by the poor. For the poor, there are hardly any benefits.

Case isolation is difficult to impossible for shack dwellers. Contacts are traced for the rich, 60% of C-19 fatalities are missed amongst the poor.
Read 6 tweets
25 Mar
1 of 4:

Easter restrictions in SA would be irrational.

There are no signs of a 3rd wave on the horizon and hospital admissions are the lowest in 10 months and declining. Alcohol restrictions were justified ito hospital demand.

data source: sacmcepidemicexplorer.co.za

@PanData19
2 of 4:

Open air church gatherings pose negligible risks. There should be no cap on indoor meetings. 10 people in a venue for 20 is no different to 1000 in a venue for 2000.

Black Friday was allowed when the 2nd wave was in full swing and casinos never closed.
3 of 4:

Warnings of an imminent 3rd wave when there is nothing on the horizon is irresponsible and results in people avoiding hospitals when they should not.

Now is the time to address the backlog in elective procedures and the neglect of all other health concerns.
Read 4 tweets

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