“3 feet of physical distancing recommended by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, which SPS is following “to the extent possible,” is an outdated standard based on less transmissible variants.”
“Infections will still be introduced into the school population through unvaccinated contacts of children, and breakthrough infections are on the rise given waning protection, a concern among school employees who were prioritized for vaccination earlier.”
Early data from other states where schools have started in-person indicate this is a mistake. In Scottsdale, there was more COVID transmission in the first seven days this year than the entire year. Outbreaks have already closed at least four districts in Texas.
These requirements push toward in-person school or toward home schooling. The former is unethical and arguably negligent. The latter is only realistic for a lucky few. Instead of this punitive option, Schools must offer a remote-learning option for all children
Well said @IHME_UW

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More from @OHAinContext

24 Aug
3,036 cumulative deaths, and OHA can't be bothered to close restaurants. "The economy!" the capital owning class cries!
I'll remind them that the 9/11 fund median payout was $1.7M per person for wrongful death
Do Oregon's businesses have $5B laying around for the next 3,000 dead?
At some point these deaths go from accidental, to negligent, to wrongful. Someday a judge will decide that but certainly lifting all restrictions as delta variant bears down is a marker that will be forever remembered in the losing battle against idiocy.
July 1st, negligence day.
Only about 20% of Oregonians have been infected with CoVid, and 3,000 are dead.
The plan from OHA is to let the remaining unvaccinated ~40% get CoVid, including your children under 12.
Certainly each of those lives lost will be a result of a decision made by someone in authority.
Read 5 tweets
21 Aug
New OHA projection came out yesterday and it's a pretty dire prediction, as I'm sure you've seen. I think it's important to remember what went into this, and how it compares to other models that came out yesterday-ish from OHSU and IHME
First things first, a link to all the models I'm going to be talking about:

OHA 8/19:
oregon.gov/oha/covid19/Do…

OHSU 8/18:
ohsu.edu/sites/default/…

IHME 8/19:
healthdata.org/sites/default/…
Using WebPlotDigitizer to extract data from the OHA Re graphic shows a peak Re of 2.01 on 20 July, pretty close to my simple model result of 2.09 on July 25. I've talked at length about the differences in the methods, but close enough for my jazz. (pats self on back)
Read 17 tweets

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