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Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
@tomiahonen
Aug 22, 2021 • 10 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
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As #Trump2024 is trending, a short thread:

Trump WILL win the 2024 nomination EASILY. But will lose in general election by Mondale level disaster, sinking GOP Senate & House members with his horrid coat-tails

First, why will Trump win the nomination?
The Republican party primary contest is a WINNER-TAKE-ALL system. The guy who has the highest popularity, takes ALL VOTES in each state

Because Trump is FAR ahead of the pack among Maganutters #Cult45 of course Trump wins nomination when he runs in 2024 #Trump2024
Will Trump run in 2024? OF COURSE

Not because it is sane, or because he has or doesn't have a chance. It is because Trump is ADDICTED to the RALLIES. So addicted, his campaign PAID EXTRAS to enlarge his audiences - wasting money this way!

Trump is a sick narcissist #Trump2024
Trump ALSO runs because the maganutters PAY FOR IT. Trump is BROKE. He is drowning in legal fees. He wants to enjoy a luxury lifestyle. Running a campaign with the campaign paying his room and board & travel, gives Trump a luxury lifestyle and pays salary of his staff #Trump2024
It is POSSIBLE that Trump is in PRISON in 2024 yes.

But that is NOT going to stop anyone from running for President. He is legally ALLOWED TO DO SO FROM PRISON. Sorry. That is the law

The GOP would be idiots to nominate a felon, but hey, they are Republicans
#Trump2024
When Trump was not known, he lost popular vote to Hillary by 2% in 2016

When Trump was known, he lost to Biden by 4% in 2020. That was BEFORE January 6th.

If Trump runs again in 2024, he will lose by FAR MORE than 4%. It will be Mondale level loss
#Trump2024
But Trump is forcing the GOP to take mad, suicidal political positions - like now the anti-masking positions & anti-vaccination positions. This not only is the LOSING political position, vast % of Americans want masks & vaccinations, that policy is KILLING REPUBLICANS #Trump2024
So Trump now forces GOP to embrace his lunatic magamadness, into 2022 & 2024. This helps DEMs & damages the GOP, both into midterms 2022 & the general election of 2024. When Joe Biden is re-elected, Biden will get BIG COAT TAILS to bring in DEM Senators & House members #Trump2024
Be HAPPY that Trump will run again in 2024

It will damage the GOP. It helps Joe win in 2024 and it helps bring in more Senators, more House members for a better Congress into Joe's second term. THAT is how we fix America.

Let Trump Be Trump

#Trump2024
PS to all spreading this Thread.

THANK YOU

Thanks to you, this Thread has already been read by over 300,000 people on Twitter. That is more than 3x my own reach. It was because you kindly spread this to people following you.

Thank you very much

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More from @tomiahonen

Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 15, 2023
GAG ORDER THREAD

On Monday Judge Chutkan in DC (Jack Smith 2) case will hold a hearing about putting a gag order on Herr Hezbollah, the nation's Terrorist-In-Chief. Trump was under protective order. He breached it many times. So this is now his 'final warning'

Let's do a Thread Image
GAG ORDER THREAD/2

Don't look at me like that! This is JUSTICE. It is EXACTLY the same legal standard that would apply to you and me. Nothing more, nothing less. Trump is a FIRST TIME OFFENDER; has NEVER been convicted of any crime (yet). He was put on a 'protective order' FIRST Image
GAG ORDER THREAD/3

Then Trump repeatedly broke that protective order. We WITNESSED IT LIVE on TV and on social media, REPEATEDLY

But the Judge CANNOT do anything about it. Until she is FORMALLY told by the prosecution. She CANNOT do anything yet. It would be same for you and me Image
Read 17 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 14, 2023
Justice IS COMING

We certainly feel it was taking too long. In reality this is about par for the course, in some ways FASTER than normal, for such a large criminal conspiracy. Timing is similar to Watergate

FIRST of PLANNERS of Jan 6 go to trial, in Georgia in two weeks !!!
Image
So January 6th, 2021 was two years and 9 months ago. Over 1,000 of the violent mob have been caught, over half prosecuted, and prison sentences for those running up to more than a decade in prison. That is justice

The ORGANIZERS of the Jan 6th plot are Trump, the Seditious Six.. Image
The ORGANIZERS of Jan 6 are
Trump
Seditious Six (Giuliani, Flynn etc)
Evil Eleven of Congress (Gosar, Gym, Gaetz etc)
and a handful others (Roger Stone, Bannon etc)
They are ALL CAUGHT

Jack Smith STARTED to prosecute the organizers. Look who he has as WITNESSES to this crime Image
Read 10 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 12, 2023
Trump calls Hezbollah "very smart" for their terrorist attack? Same Senile Man called Putin smart for invading Ukraine. And called murdering dictators MBS and Kim Jong Un smart

Meanwhile Trump has called HIS OWN CABINET and HIS OWN GENERALS idiots & stupid

Ok, Trumpo, I'm game
Let's get Trump opinions by HIS OWN Generals:

General Mattis: Trump's not mature, a 5th grader
General McMaster: he's a dope, kindergartner idiot
Colonel Esper: irresponsible
General Milley: crazy
General Hytin: an idiot
General Kelly: Trump's crazy, an unhinged idiot

Next... Image
Then let's ask Trump White House staff, people Trump selected:

VP Pence: Trump is reckless
CoS 1 Priebus: he's an idiot
CoS 2 (Kelly, in above)
CoS 3 Mulvaney: terrible human being, a clown show
CoS 4 Meadows: Trump is worthless
SoS Tillerson: he's a fucking moron

and more... Image
Read 7 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 11, 2023
New York New York Thread /1

Trump was massively embarrassed in New York, and that trial still continues. But this incident (Trump sitting in NY court for 3 days and then bailed) exposes insight into how incredibly stupid, and self-destructive Trump is

Let's do a Thread Image
New York New York Thread /2

So what happened? Trump sat in the civil trial - he is NOT required to be there (he must attend all criminal trials which start in March 2024). He feuded with the judge, got hit with a gag order, then stormed out of New York. Let's see how dumb it was Image
New York New York Thread /3

Donald the Duck McTrump's whole brand is based on the carefully constructed fake illusion, that he is somehow a 'billionaire'. WE know he is not. That Trump is a fake, a con-artist, living on other people's money. But his SUPPORTERS believe that lie Image
Read 16 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 3, 2023
What happens next? The House cannot conduct any other business until it has selected a new House Speaker. The GOP is in civil war. It may be chaos for a while. Most likely they find a suitable Republican Speaker

DEMs do not have votes for DEM Speaker

BUT DEMs could make a deal Image
If a slice of Republicans (as few as 6) ally with DEMs, then that alliance could select (a Republican) speaker

Realistically the most logical such choice is an EX House Republican, like Liz Cheney

Because of GOP civil war, DEMs have leverage now Image
This is the deal I suggest:

DEMs make deal for ANY Republican who they can trust (like Liz Cheney, Kinzinger) where promise is 2 House Votes every week. One vote on legislation provided by GOP, the other vote legislation provided by DEMs. Both will get a floor vote each week Image
Read 4 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Moved to Post, Spoutible & Mastodon Profile picture
Oct 1, 2023
Flipper Thread/1

With Friday's bombshell news in court filing by Jack Smith of 3 more prosecution witnesses - now just about as big as they come - let's do a Thread about the flippers in Trump's life, the rats who all testify under oath, in criminal courts, against Trump Image
Flipper Thread/2

Trump committed an act of insurgency against America. That word is rarely used. The legal EFFECT is the same as 'treason'. Trump committed a crime which is essentially as bad as treason

So who does Jack Smith have as a witness? Trump's OWN Attorney General Barr Image
Flipper Thread/3

Bill Barr was not just the nation's top lawyer, as Attorney General, when this plot was first hatched - Barr learned of the idea - and TOLD TRUMP IT IS ILLEGAL. That is what Barr will testify under oath. That Trump KNEW this plot is illegal

But it gets worse Image
Read 24 tweets

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