A fundamental lack of understanding of the EU runs through part of UK thought. Rather than tell us anything about @MichelBarnier ’s candidacy or France, this tweet illustrates the problem (thread)
The EU is a multilevel system of governance, a federal system - if you adopt a very broad definition of such a system.
The UK also is a multilevel system, but of a fundamentally different nature. Here’s the key difference…
In the UK system, the centre retains all the power. In federal systems, power is distributed and each level has legally limited powers - enforced through legal processes.
In the UK there are no such limits. Yes, devolution means Wales, Scotland and NI have areas they are in charge of. But the centre can act if it wants to.
In the past, federal systems all had fights about whether they are theoretically possible. Don’t we need an all powerful sovereign?
In federal system reality has passed that question by to some extent. They work. In the UK, though, the idea that they cannot work has a much stronger appeal.
If that is where you are coming from, the idea that if you are pro-strong France you must be anti-EU appeals to you. But that’s not the federal idea. Under that idea you can be both.
To be fair it’s not an unusual idea in European conservative parties. I seem to remember things like a strong Germany in a strong Europe etc.
And of course, a pro European can also criticise overcentralisation. Or EU legislation. Much like a UK patriot can favour more effective devolution.
I am, of course, aware of Guido’s work. But the mere fact that he thinks this is a nice gotcha moment - and indubitably will find people who agree - shows the fundamentally different mindset more than anything else.
Is there a book you can buy on this? Why, of course, this teeny tiny 500-page opus. You won’t be able to put it down… (it weighs too much) mohrsiebeck.com/buch/eigenstae…
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OK. I deleted my original tweet on this, because nobody wants to hear "listen to experts" too often. But yes, the consolidated voice of experts - and an open offer from the EU was: "let's extend the transition, we cannot be ready because of Covid". What happened then? /1
HMG said we would be ready. The result? Instead of trade barriers hitting exports and imports equally, UK exports are now subject to barriers, imports are not (yet). But it's worse than that. /2
The transition extension under the withdrawal agreement contained a rather long period of notice. To enable everyone to plan ahead. Instead, we now punish those who actually DID plan ahead. Will they do so again next time?
I fear it is time for some thoughts on intellectual brilliance and its role (particularly in the UK). It will have references to Musk, the PM… so bear with me… (thread)
It is no secret that pop culture pretty much anywhere is obsessed with the idea of the supersmart. People with abilities ‘normal’ humans cannot fathom. Think Good Will Hunting or look at Einstein or Hawkins in pop culture. /2
There is something comforting in the thought: I cannot solve global warming, but hey - those supergeniuses will. The government seems a mess - but they are so smart, so the mess is part of a plan (the latter has broken down a bit, I fear) /3
The Trump-Taliban agreement is an astonishing document. Trump apparently trusts the Taliban entirely. At the very least, this document disqualifies Republicans from ever criticizing the Iran deal against, which is rocksolid compared to this agreement. 2017-2021.state.gov/wp-content/upl…
A question to @FCDOGovUK and @AuswaertigesAmt : the MoU (my legal term, not Trump's) promises withdrawal of the allies to some extent. Something that factually, of course, was in the power of the US. Were we, as allies, consulted?
Can we stop this? The EU system is similar to the US one (ESTA). The US one started in 2008. It is no coincidence that the EC stated its intention to examine the possibility of introducing an electronic system of travel authorization for the EU in... 2008 /1
And you know what? The UK will launch its own system just like that. So: spite and divisiveness on the part of the UK? No. Similarly following the same models schengenvisainfo.com/news/uk-to-lau…
Some afterthoughts on the flooding in Germany that I think have not been stressed enough - but are important, whether for Germany or the UK or Canada or... anywhere really (short thread)
The debate about the floods have been difficult at times, there's been a lot of criticism of insufficient warnings. And I don't want to debate that away, but it misses an important point. /2
A lot of people in the world have had the privilege of living in locations that were climatically more or less safe. "Warnings" meant: maybe get stuff out of your cellar. Don't drive today. Red alerts often seemed to mean: "today no jogging". /3
Let's start off with some very very very basic facts: treaties are instruments concluded by two or more parties. The Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties actually defines them (I'll spare you details)
Treaties are binding. Art. 26 VCLT. Pacta sunt servanda.