Climate change didn't cause Hurricane Ida, an "explosively intensifying tropical storm" bearing down on Louisiana on the anniversary of Katrina. But it's virtually certain it made it worse.
It will take some time for the formal attribution studies to be done, and published. @FrediOtto and I explain the emerging field of rapid attribution of extreme events (how much more likely, intense, or stronger climate change made a given event), here: nytimes.com/2021/08/17/opi…
But given that science has already showed that a warmer ocean and other aspects of climate change are leading to much faster intensification of hurricanes and is also making them bigger, slower and with a lot more rainfall... (source: science2017.globalchange.gov)
...the question today is not, to paraphrase climate scientist Kevin Trenberth, how could climate change affect this event--but rather how could it NOT, as it is occurring over the massively altered background conditions of our 1.1C warmer planet.

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More from @KHayhoe

9 Aug
"Feeling despair as I read the new @IPCC_CH report" a friend texted me this am. And no wonder: what's at risk is the future as we know it. If you feel the same, you're not alone. Acknowledging how we feel is essential. Then, turn that fear into action. ted.com/talks/renee_le…
Where can we start? Almost anywhere. Have a conversation about how you're feeling & why it matters. "Worry is the wellspring of action," @ecotone2 says, and "Conversations w friends & family kick off a true positive feedback loop" @MattGoldberg100 finds. ted.com/talks/katharin…
Join an organization that shares your concerns. If you're a mom, @joinsciencemoms @CleanAirMoms. A parent, @parents_action @ap4ca and more. A senior, @eldersclimate. A winter athlete, @uk_protect @ProtectWinters @protectwintersc.
Read 6 tweets
2 Jul
As @DrShepherd2013 pointed out earlier this week, Elsa is the earliest named 5th storm of an Atlantic hurricane season on record. The 5th named storm typically does not form until August 31st. "Whatever "typically" means these days," he added ... twitter.com/i/events/13979…
What does climate change have to do with it? We've got a Global Weirding episode, of course!
Read 4 tweets
1 Jul
Today is #CanadaDay and for many of us it is a day to reflect and mourn, to honour the survivors of the horrifying residential school system and remember the thousands of young Indigenous children who lost their lives due to neglect and abuse.
What else can we do? (short thread)
1/ Talk to our kids about it. Here's some suggestions. todaysparent.com/family/books/b…
2/ Raise awareness. That's what the #WearOrange movement is all about. onwa.ca/post/orange-sh…
Read 7 tweets
29 Jun
Yesterday broke the all-time 🇨🇦 high. What a timely day for @NRCan to release Canada’s National Issues Report that explains what climate change means to us here in the rapidly-thawing north. A brief thread ... #ChangingClimate @Environmentca @CanadaAdapts changingclimate.ca/national-issues
Background: In 2019, Canada’s Changing Climate (part 1) showed that Canada's warming 2x faster than the rest of the world. Weather extremes are intensifying and coastal flooding is increasing as sea level rises. What's new in part 2? 6 key conclusions:
changingclimate.ca/CCCR2019/
1. The infrastructure, health and well-being, cultures and economies of communities of all sizes across the country are already experiencing the impacts of climate change. While local action to reduce climate-related risks is on the rise, many lack the capacity to act.
Read 10 tweets
23 Jun
First, remember this is a synthesis report of the peer-reviewed literature. So these results were already out there: sea level rise accelerating; drought, heavy rain & extreme heat risks soaring, massive wildfires. They just hadn't been pulled together into one overwhelming list.
To those of us immersed in the field, the @IPCC's conclusions are no surprise; but for many, it's not until they see it all together, with the impacts on human life clearly laid out, that the penny drops. That's why these reports are so important and so powerful.
We are conducting an unprecedented experiment with the only home that we have. As far back as we can go in the paleoclimate record, there's no example of this much carbon going into the atmosphere this fast. Source: science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/4
Read 18 tweets
16 Jun
Yes, we get heatwaves in summer. But climate change is loading the dice against us, making them bigger and stronger and longer ... and more deadly. Read more here: cnn.com/2021/06/16/wea…
How much worse is climate change making heatwaves? That depends on where and when: from 3-5F hotter for extreme heatwaves in the Southwest US to 600x more likely for the unprecedented Siberian heatwave from last summer. Sources: crd.lbl.gov/assets/Uploads… & worldweatherattribution.org/siberian-heatw…
Read 4 tweets

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