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Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
@CoppetainPU
Aug 30, 2021 • 12 tweets • 11 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 28.08. 2021—rising, delta variant ≈100%

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—8915 & 399 (up)
● in hospital—359 & 9.7 (up)
● deaths—121 & 0.6 (up)

R(e): down—1.21
Vaccinations: 4.4m (51.3%) fully

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/12
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Case numbers, hospitalisations and deaths are rising again. R(e) is bouncing around. (Delta variant is totally dominant; vaccinations decelerating)

These are for the last fortnight:

2/12
CERTIFICATES ISSUED

The Swiss certificate is now “interoperable” with the EU and EFTA certificates—QR code recognised

• Vaccinated people—5.4m
• Recovered people—148K
• Negatively tested people—1.9m

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov… (graph is last 28 days)

3/12
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

Delta (B.1.617) dominant, causing concern:
• 98.0% from 99.3% (FOPH)
• 100% from 99% (Task Force data)

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

4/12
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED CASES in the past fortnight per 100K population—Overall UP from 328 to 399. Worst in Geneva, north. Dark end of range up from 393 to 636

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/12
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED HOSPITALISATION in the past fortnight per 100K population—Overall up from 6.62 to 9.71, causing concern. No canton reporting zero. Rising in centre, north. Worst Glarus, pushing dark end of range up from 27.1 to 24.64

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/12
BY CANTON: DEATHS (which lag case numbers)—up from 0. 3 to 0.6. Fewer cantons reporting no deaths. Worst in Uri. Dark end of range up from 1.04 to 2.72

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

7/12
INTENSIVE CARE CAPACITY AND OCCUPANCY: all patients and COVID-19

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All patients: up, causing concern

COVID-19 patients: rising, causing concern

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

8/12
R(e) ESTIMATES: national over time, cantons latest.

Fluctuating. >1 in all cantons

Estimate: 1.21 nationally (from 1.44 a week ago).

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Swiss schools reopening

9/12
VACCINATIONS (1) VACCINES & DEMOGRAPHY

Slowing.

Moderna > Pfizer/BioNTech

Ordered: 36m doses: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax (pop 8.6m)

Approved: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, J&J (not ordered)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

10/12
VACCINATIONS (2) OVERALL

Slowing. Supply not prob

PEOPLE:
Fully (2 doses): 4.44m=51.3% (from 4.37m/50.6%)
At least 1 dose = 57%

DOSES
Delivered: 9.0m=104% (from 9.0m/104%)
Administered: 9.6m=110% (from 9.4m/109%)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

11/12
LATEST: New phase started June 26

Numbers rising (incl. older), delta ≈100%, new wave warning

Some controls eg indoors (masks, distancing), travel, COVID-19 certificate for some events

PUBLIC HEALTH OFFICE: bag.admin.ch/bag/en/home/kr…
SWISS INFO: swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

12/12

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
Jun 9, 2022
🧵 On Sunday, the much-postponed 12th WTO Ministerial Conference #MC12 starts.

Here is another curtain-raiser, with @BobWolfeSPS

@wto Director-General @NOIweala believes it will be a success.

But what does “success” mean?

1/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
“Many gaps remain but we are making progress,” @NOIweala told members on Tuesday Jun 7

“The success of this whole endeavour is in our hands. Let us deliver. The people outside are waiting for us and, believe it or not, I really think we will do it.”

2/11 wto.org/english/news_e…
Fingers crossed, there might even be a deal on fisheries subsidies, she and the talks’ chair @WillsSantiago said.

But despite “cautious optimism” WTO spokesperson Dan Pruzin warned journalists to expect ministers to meet late into the night at #MC12

3/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
Read 12 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 29, 2022
Was it worth the time looking at the UK’s big deal with Indiana? The one the government hails as a “milestone” and the minister calls a “US trade deal”?

They wants us to take it seriously. So I did. Let’s say I did it so you don’t have to.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
TL:DR it's not a trade agreement.

It's a memorandum of understanding, a non-binding statement of intent.

The only trade barrier that might get tackled is govt procurement.

Indiana's state-level entities have no commitments on procurement in the WTO

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Indiana “will actively work towards” (not a commitment) treating UK suppliers the same as suppliers from other US states except those neighbouring Indiana.

“That’s the weirdest MFN clause I’ve ever seen,”—@Lorand_Bartels

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 27, 2022
“Agreement with Indiana marks milestone in UK’s trade with the US”—the UK government proclaims

Read on

It's a memorandum of understanding on what the UK and Indiana want to develop in their trade and economic relations. That stretches the meaning of “agreement” quite a lot

1/9
Good question⬇️. Short answer: no

So, all we know is what the UK government press release says.

2/9
This is what it says:

“The MoU creates a framework to remove barriers to trade and investment, paving the way for UK and Indianan businesses to invest, export, expand and create jobs.”

Remember: all major trade barriers are handled in Washington

3/9 gov.uk/government/new…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 22, 2022
It’s been clear for some time that WTO members are unlikely to agree on anything substantial on agriculture—despite declaring it a priority—when their ministers meet in Geneva Jun 12–15

Information from trade sources on a meeting last Thu May 19 reinforce that assessment🧵

1/11
The focus has changed in recent months—the Ukraine war has increased concerns about food security.

But the best binding decision that can be expected is to exempt the World Food Programme’s humanitarian purchases from export restrictions—still opposed by India & Tanzania.

2/11
Expect some non-binding/“best-endeavour” statement on food security, eg, the UK-led proposal⬇️, which draws on familiar themes of keeping supplies flowing, increasing transparency, minimising market disruption.

Even transparency is a problem…

3/11 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 20, 2022
Another day, another WTO topic where members find themselves under pressure to reach agreement within days.

Today: fisheries subsidies, at the end of a “Fish Week” of talks in various formats on curbing harmful subsidies that encourage overfishing.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Chair @WillsSantiago briefed the media after a stock-taking meeting of the membership.

Sandwiched between plenaries Mon and Fri, were sessions in various formats. Wills said 30-40 delegations were involved in each of those sessions, total about 50.

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
@WillsSantiago said the talks were constructive with good signals that need to be turned into agreement.

He announced a “Fish Decision” week from May 30, giving members a fortnight to resolve their differences.

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 19, 2022
WTO members on all sides were urged today to sort out their reservations over the proposed compromise, so that a deal on waiving some intellectual property protection for COVID-19 can be struck by the Jun 12-15 Ministerial Conference, trade sources say.

1/14 #TRIPSwaiver
In an informal meeting of the WTO intellectual property (TRIPS) council, Director-General @NOIweala said WTO members have no option but to produce a result for the #MC12 Ministerial Conference, even if that means negotiating round the clock, the sources said.

2/14
Today's meeting was held to take stock of the first two days of real negotiations on the compromise text⬇️, on Mon&Wed, May 16&18. During those sessions, @NOIweala urged delegates to be prepared to compromise: "the perfect is the enemy of the good"

3/14 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/text-g4-trips-…
Read 15 tweets

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