I've been putting off this thread on far-right / conspiracy theory updates because I'm so tired of it, but here we go!

So in terms of the September 18th rally planned at the Capitol to protest the arrest of 1/6 insurrectionists: this doesn't look like a big movement
1/
As has been the case with every proposed event since 1/6, there is major paranoia that it's a false flag run by the FBI / government to get people arrested and that ANTIFA will show up and make them look bad. From my sources, this isn't going to be a massive event
2/
But I'm more worried now than I have been in a long time.
The talk on these platforms has mostly been anti-vaccine/anti-mask AND very focused on the AZ "audit". Since the withdrawal from Afghanistan, that has become the dominant topic.
But there is a uniting thread…
3/
The anger and thirst for violence has been growing over the last few months. In January, these groups were all pro-Trump, anti-everyone else. Now, Trump is a minor character, but the calls for violence to take down the government generally are more and more prevalent
4/
There is a lot of language about being on the precipice of something major happening, and this closely echoes the QAnon attitude from Nov '20 to Jan '21. 5/
The good news is that there's not any specific movement/person/call to action to hook on to right now. The bad news is, imo, we're one charismatic person with a national platform and a call to violence away from something dramatic happening 6/
Trump was that person, but they have turned on him in a lot of ways. He was booed last week. His disappearance from the spotlight has also made his star fade for many of his followers 7/ nbcnews.com/politics/donal…
But they are ready for a new Trump, and if one comes, they are ready to do violence. It would be really easy to start now, and it has me personally very worried 8/

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More from @jengolbeck

20 May
Hello! I am a full professor at the Univ. of Maryland and chair of our college's committee on Appointments, Promotion, and Tenure. Let me give you a primer on how one receives tenure. There are some *very* bad takes out there right now 1/
These processes are very similar across almost all US universities, but you may find a small variation here or there. I'm sharing the way this works in the vast majority of cases 2/
The entry-level rank for a tenure-track faculty job is an Assistant Professor. In your 6th year, you are required to go up for promotion to Associate Professor which comes with tenure (basically, a permanent contract). You either get promoted or get fired 3/
Read 25 tweets
31 Mar
Everyone is really struggling a year into COVID, but I wanted to share some thoughts on the specific struggles of being a professor right now 1/
My students are having such a hard time. Last week, I polled them about how they are holding up. Here are the results from my 2 classes. Scale is 1 (I am utterly drained and exhausted) to 5 (All things considered, I'm doing well)
2/
I am doing everything I can for them. I suspended all late penalties this term because I know from the fall that they can't keep up. It's helped - many have said they would have left UMD without this policy, - but they are still struggling 3/
Read 13 tweets
9 Feb
A few people have asked what's up this week with the pro-Trump and QAnon crowd, so I'm going to consolidate my answers here. The main things we're watching is (1) how worried we should be about March 4th and (1) what happens with the impeachment trial 1/
March 4 was the original Inauguration Day in the constitution. Some QAnon types now believe that will be when Trump resumes the Presidency. They think the US became a corporation in 1871, owned by the City of London, & that the military is working to bring the Corporation down 2/
When the Corporation falls, we'll go back to the old date & Trump will become the 19th president (bc the ones during Corporation didn't count). This borrows from the scary Sovereign Citizens Movement. We want to make sure the QAnons don't turn into SCMs 3/ splcenter.org/fighting-hate/…
Read 10 tweets
20 Jan
Good morning, everyone! There are still no big organized plans for action among the pro-Trump social medias today, 1/20/21. I'll keep monitoring for small threats. But mostly, I'm going to be live tweeting the meltdown of the QAnon conspiracy theory crowd. Join me! 1/
As a reminder, today is the last day that The Plan can be executed/The Storm can come. If you haven't been keeping up, that means it's the day the military steps in and arrests the Satan-worshiping cannibalistic pedovore int'l child sex-trafficking cabal in Congress & the media
Lots of stimulants, medication, and other substances fueling the Q crowd today. Interesting how their conspiracy bits leak in here, too
Read 20 tweets
20 Jan
Evening pro-Trump Social media update (1/19/21):
-Still no organized violence plans (good!)
-Much disappointment/anger for Trump after speech
-Plenty still holding out hope for QAnon Storm/Plan
-Shocking amount of talk about myPillow. Like A LOT

I don't know what's next, but…
If I had to speculate tonight, I see 2 paths:
-Trump gets back on socials, holds rallies, over next few months, inspires them into violent frenzy. Expect attacks on media, prosecutors/states coming for him, "enemies"
OR
-Trump stays mostly quiet, base crumbles into disgruntlement
No matter what, there's a serious domestic terrorism threat to be addressed. This should be a priority of the intelligence community for years to come. Optimist Jen thinks Trump will mostly be deplatformed and fade away. Dystopian Jen worries.
Read 6 tweets
19 Jan
You guys...the MA GAs are maaaaaaaddddd about Trump's speech today 1/
I don't want to harp on it, but maybe you're interested in some of their feelings right now? 2/
The really interesting ones are those "starting" to realize he's not going to remain president 3/
Read 7 tweets

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