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1 Sep, 5 tweets, 2 min read
1/5 This survey of attitudes to the pandemic is much more upbeat than I would have expected...

ecfr.eu/publication/eu…

First up, a majority of people say the pandemic has had not impacted them at all...
2/ An even bigger majority - 64% - are trustful of the motivations of the politicians who imposed lockdowns....
3/ Bulgarian and Polish respondents are not so trusting of their leaders but that's not altogether surprising ...
4/ When attributing blame, most point to anti-social individuals, with poor national responses coming next... seems fair...
5/ Last, the survey points up a quite a generational divide but its nothing like as stark as I would have guessed...

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More from @PaulNuki

Paul Nuki Profile picture
13 Sep
1/5 The Royal Soc of Paediatrics and Child Health seems lukewarm at best on Covid vax for kids.

It says it could benefit healthy children “irrespective of any direct health benefit" but only if part of a "concerted overall plan" to keep schools open.
2/ I then adds: “It is extremely important that any COVID-19 vaccination programme in schools does not interfere in any way with other school vaccination programmes where the health benefits are more clear-cut".
3/ Also, if vaccinations are offered, children and families must receive "clear and non-judgemental advice about the risks as well as the benefits".
“We would be against any plans to make vaccination mandatory", it notes.
Read 6 tweets
Paul Nuki Profile picture
10 Sep
1/5 Great work by @JamesWard73 but troubling given that over 6,000 PEOPLE have died since the 3rd wave started in mid May and things are clearly not over yet..
2/ I had not realised quite how critical the timing of booster jabs might be, something that is going to be logistically tricky for an overstretched NHS. Also, the winter looks long...
3/ The impact changes in behaviour make are more predictable but vital for policymakers to grasp. Comix is still showing UK contacts at less than half pre pandemic levels...
Read 5 tweets
Paul Nuki Profile picture
8 Sep
Thread on Fauci boosters and kids (1/6)

Anthony Fauci, Director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), believes a third shot of vaccine should be seen, not as a ‘booster’, but part of the standard regimen for Covid-19 vaccination....
2/ Delivering The John Snow Society Annual Pumphandle Lecture, he noted that several other vaccines, including the jab for Hepatitis B, required a third dose as part of their standard regimen and said he thought the evidence suggested Covid-19 vaccines would require the same...
3/“The real question we are struggling with ... is [this]: is the booster shot a boost for a vaccine regimen with waning efficacy or should the booster shot be part of the original vaccine regimen? And I must tell you I favour very strongly the latter”.
Read 7 tweets
Paul Nuki Profile picture
8 Sep
1/ Important briefing from #Covax today on vaccinating the not-so-rich bits of the world (most of it). There is good and bad news....
2/ Because I'm a journo, let's start with the bad: Covax expects to get about 25% LESS vaccine in by the end of the year than initially forecast. That's a shortfall of 440m doses. Image
3/ It should be noted that the main reasons for this are technical rather than nefarious - the devastating 2nd wave in India, production difficulties, regulatory hurdles... Image
Read 6 tweets
Paul Nuki Profile picture
7 Sep
1/ Quick update on those risk/reward numbers from JCVI's statement on children 12-15 that have caused so much Twitter controversy. I've got an answer... of sorts...

2/ The controversy revolves round these two tables from the JCVI statement. Table 4 shows estimated number of myocarditis cases resulting from vax. These are in line with US estimates and not controversial.
3/ It's table 3 that's the problem - the number of nasty outcomes caused by Covid and prevented by vaccination.

Members of iSage say JCVI has got its these wrong by a factor of 6. A simple but fundamental "error" has been made - allegedly
Read 9 tweets
Paul Nuki Profile picture
31 Aug
Are the lack of basic Covid restrictions in the UK being compensated for by widespread home working and empty city centres?

Certainly, we have many more people staying away from the workplace than other comparable nations...

Thread 1/6 ... Image
2/ This is odd as the UK has fewer legal restrictions than all these countries. On paper, we have more freedom, but in the real world not so much... Image
3/ The gov's CoMix survey suggests the situation is even worse. It puts mean daily contacts in the UK at "less than half of pre-pandemic levels".

The gap, say experts, is almost entirely accounted for by empty inner-city offices

cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19…
Read 6 tweets

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