1/ If you've never seen a departmental risk register, as mentioned by @TomTugendhat in his grilling of the Foreign Secretary, they work like this (at least in Australia)...
https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1433339321688510466
2/ At regular intervals, the executive office of the Department sends out a request to every section, branch and post.
It asks:
1️⃣ What are bad things that could happen?
2⃣ How likely are they?
3️⃣ How bad would they be?
4️⃣ What are we doing to prepare/mitigate?
It asks:
1️⃣ What are bad things that could happen?
2⃣ How likely are they?
3️⃣ How bad would they be?
4️⃣ What are we doing to prepare/mitigate?
3/ Based on the answers, a report is prepared for the departmental executive.
If, even with mitigation/preperation a risk is at the intersection of likely and very bad, it gets colored bright red and goes near the top.
If, even with mitigation/preperation a risk is at the intersection of likely and very bad, it gets colored bright red and goes near the top.
4/ The goal of the exercise is to create a culture of constantly looking ahead to possible risks, from wars to earthquakes to IT failures to damaging media stories so as to be as prepared as possible.
5/ How seriously the staff, departmental executive, and Minister take the register obviously varies wildly.
6/ Last note: The idea that this document isn't important because it's not an intelligence product is a little weak.
The people inputting into it are, ot should be, privy to intelligence and "the Afghan army will collapse instantly" is not some OPSEC HUMINT secret. /end
The people inputting into it are, ot should be, privy to intelligence and "the Afghan army will collapse instantly" is not some OPSEC HUMINT secret. /end
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