Don't underestimate how many state legislators nationwide are terrified of the politics of abortion in a post-Roe world.
Roe and subsequent court rulings have essentially allowed conservative state legislators to escape direct responsibility for abortion legislation, either by ignoring it or taking extreme positions that never become actual implemented law.
Faced with the prospect of actual abortion bans and a conservative base primed by years of position-taking without responsibility, a fair number of legislators are going to feel the squeeze for the first time, as the extreme positions collide with constituent reality.
It won't happen everywhere---plenty of states would have very comprehensive abortion bans if allowed post-Roe---but lots of other states would have allegedly right-wing legislators running for the hills to compromise in the face of actual implementable legislation.
I mean, do you want to run for governor in a swing state promising a comprehensive abortion ban? Do you want to run in the GOP primary without promising it?
There's a reason abortion ended up legal but highly regulated /curtailed in many democracies that adjudicated it by legislative action; it's sort of the natural moderate compromise position. Roe has left many (on both sides) touting much more extreme positions for decades.
Also worth reminding people that this is true on the left as well, though the existence of Roe has made it operate differently. But the prospect of "legislative full Roe" is just as unlikely to be the equilibrium in many swing states as a comprehensive ban.
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