Unless u're a scalper, taking profits too early is 1 of the MOST underrated reasons why traders fail. Broker reports have confirmed this. Traders dont have issues finding winning trades.. they have issues staying in the trade long enough for the risk/reward to make fucking sense
Traders will lose let's say $1000 five times in a row then finally nail a $100 winner and close the trade.. because their fucking cognitively impaired "guru" told them "goTTA cLOsE gReEn bRo". Or my most hated one "MoNeY iS mOnEy bRO".
yeah "money is money" but the only problem with that dumb ass Neanderthal logic is that it is mathematically IMPOSSIBLE to be profitable long term with a risk/reward this trash. It's not enough to be green. That "green" has to be big enough to cover both past & future losses.
Traders will find a perfect setup, with a PLANNED realistic target, but then take profits the SECOND the trade starts to work. wtf?? u did the hard work & research, and now that the market is about to reward u, u settle for a fraction of the gains & leave? Make it make sense bro
So conclusion, there is no secret sauce. If the setup is valid, and the target is realistic & reasonable (based on the stock's range etc.), then STAY in the trade until ur target or minimum R/R hits. End of story. Stop selling yourself short on winning trades.
Now before some retard takes this out of context and says "AdF tOLd mE to hOLd fOrEvEr". No, notice I said hold until your PLANNED, realistic target hits. After that, close the trade or put a trailing stop. No reason to get greedy past that point or u'll risk giving it all back.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Like i always say, givin back shouldnt be seen as a sign of kindness. To me it's almost a duty. As much as ppl like to throw that word around, NO ONE is really selfmade. we're all standing on the foundation of those that came before us. Did i outwork everyone i kno? fuck yea, but
But who wrote the free articles I read? who wrote Reminiscences of a stock operator? who made the online vids I used to teach myself excel to track data? who created the FREE scanners I used? all my hardwork would mean NOTHING if those foundations werent first laid out by others
So as much as I pride myself in my work ethic, there are ppl in 3rd world countries who work harder than all of us combined yet make less than a $1 a fucking day due to the shitty environment & lack of opportunities they were be born around. so why did I succeed & not them?
Ive explained this several times, including on monday's post. the call-bagging takes place as we approach thursday/friday, & mon-wed is when they move the stock in the direction retail wants to give them FOMO. Therefore premiums are always the highest/juiciest earlier in the week
If I wait until thursday or friday to start selling, there'll be barely any juice on the calls to swing trade short (unless the stock pops & gives a daytrade opportunity on those days). So how do i maximize premiums without getting steam rolled? I start SMALL early in the week
then I get aggressive as we approach mid week. So if my max loss per credit spread is 1R, and i decide to start early, i would risk maybe 1/4R or 1/8R, leaving room for the stock to go higher. that's why i said on monday "im staying small since we're still EARLY IN THE WEEK"
I dont know how many times I have to repeat this... I do NOT apply the #ThuFriRule on earnings week. most of the Open interest during that week is mainly big dick funds & MMs hedging their asses off. So the whole "bagging dumb money calls" thesis flies out the window.
second, I always combine my #ThuFriRule with my own price action / volume setups. So i dont just blindly trade based off high OI alone. ALL my setups require multiple factors to line up. The more factors that line up, the higher the odds (ADF score).
and third, even if everything lines up, i still trade as if 50% of all my trades will fail (1 of my biggest risk management rules). Now thanks to Odin, they dont, but I trade and size as if they will. This way i'm never caught off guard when a trade goes south.
It took about 2 years to really fix the discipline issue. Dont get me wrong, no one is perfect, and you'll always have relapses from time to time, but the impulsive trades I take these days are not the same as before. Nowadays I use an approach call "planned impulsive trades" lol
With planned impulsive trades, what I do is each time i have a huge week, I set aside a percentage of those profits for "impulsive trades" for the following week. It's almost like a way to reward myself & venture out of my system whenever I get bored, but without causing damage.
so for example after this week, I would set aside maybe 3R for the following week, to gamble with as I please. That means I can either take 3 impulsive trades next week (risking 1R on each) or 1 impulsive trade (risking 3R) etc. if those trades work, good. if not, oh well.
because this industry is full of scumbag gurus who dont know SHIT about trading but fleece beginners left & right by seducing them with pussy PNLs that only look impressive to rookies & with carefully selected charts full of arrows on pussy size that only impress the uninitiated.
To show u how easy it is to seduce the masses, I can literally post my PNLs for just 1 week straight, double my following, open a chatroom as early as next week, charge as low as $200 a month & if even 1% of my current followers join (~300 ppl) that's $60K/month, $720K/year.
And all id have to do is feed them regurgitated basic bullshit, hide some of my losses, show my best wins, post some ads, pose next to a lambo rented or bought with sub money, promise them they'll be rich in notime etc and boom. easy money. u think i dont know how the game works?
Dont quit. Trading is 1 of the few exceptions to the sunk cost fallacy. if u already poured a ton of $ & time into this journey, then u may be closer to the finish line than u think. just identify what u're doing wrong (99% of the time it's probably dumb impulsive shit) & fix it.
Impulse control comes from understanding basic biology & brain neurochemistry. In layman terms, the primal regions of ur brain (amygdala etc) & ur most developed region (frontal cortex) are always at war with each other. They want 2 conflicting things
ur frontal cortex has evolved to do long term planning, self-control, delaying instant gratification in exchange for future gain, holding back primal instincts etc. That's why violent criminals, kids, & ppl with frontal cortex damage have such a hard time with impulse control