Marsilio Musing Profile picture
Sep 5, 2021 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Quick Index TA

Can go on about this too, but only so much time

See #MarsiliosTA for ongoing intro to these methods, plus abbreviations in google sheet (link later)

DJI
Stunning steroid rally continues
DJI bull victory above YR1 (arrow) - not near long term level currently
DJI daily
But unlike others no new high last week, and sitting on QR1 (red arrow)

If any trouble this will move below its SepP at 35230 (orange)

hm, DJI more easily bearish but usually the worst short, what to do
SPX
Floated above YR1, then above HR1 (red crosses & arrows respectively)
Testing DeMark YR1 - jeez I'd like for some real institutional pros to take a whack at this
For now level to watch 4540, showing daily as well - they are nibbling on hedges / shorts
NDX
To the Moon? For now on QR2 (arrow) so any higher reduces bear threat
RSI across timesframes 70+
Q RSI 87
M RSI 82 - highest since dotcom has been 85
W RSI 75
D RSI 70

Could keep going though, but momentum should end when Venus loses strength 9/8 last day
RUT
Still below high of year
If sellers come in this will get hit
Fib Yearly R2 on recent highs and no follow through to last week's squeeze
ARKK
Big fan of Cathie & ARKK
having a rest year after massive NDX outperform last several years

May pop from D200 but has moved on Mars a lot
Mars strong to 9/11
If D200 fail this week then watch out below
VIX
Interesting VIX on DeMark pivot while SPX on DeMark YR1
Things that CFAs never say

Anyway, point is that VIX has to put in a big move to actually indicate trouble - close 20+ really

Until then cannot be too bearish despite what I think is pretty good setup - will explain

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More from @MarsilioMusing

Mar 30, 2023
Astro (advanced)

Astro market data is often compelling, but also slippery, and it resists typical quant approaches.

Why?

Because the planets are always kaleidoscopically changing! The planet backdrop changes, & data changes - and this often makes sense from the astro view.
For example, how much data do we have for Moon in Cancer over the last 15 years that does NOT have an opposition to Pluto by sign?

Answer - almost none, this condition just started THIS WEEK!
Similarly, Saturn out of Aquarius also impacts Uranus, because Saturn in Aquarius was square Uranus by sign. And now that is fully out of the way, Uranus aspects might act differently!
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20, 2022
Financial Advisor🧵

US Gov't: trust us, eat lots of carbs & low protein & fat, it is the way to avoid heart disease
Result: Americans fatter & sicker than ever

Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals: trust us, take these pills, they are the only way to treat your condition
Result: ditto
Private Education: trust us, the cost of this degree will be worth the investment
Result: generations saddled with extreme student debt for decades

Financial Advisors: trust us, buy and hold is the only way. We will protect you with a diversified portfolio.
Result: see next
Result of following typical financial advisor advice was missing most gains in last 10 years as US tech was nearly the only thing winning, and FAs don't like to put all in 1 sector. Diversification into Europe, emerging markets, whatever, did not pay.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 14, 2022
Chief Strategist at Schwab saying yesterday's rally driven by "algorithms trading on technical indicators"

She is right! Which ones though? (see next)
NDX YS2 tag first touch since 2008 - green crosses touched yday

2020 Covid crash low NDX YS1
2016 correction low also NDX YS1

YS2s always below YS1s
NDX backing up now to show 2008-2016

major lows 2011 & 2015 on pivots (orange) not below

2008 reached YS3 and below though
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5, 2022
It's funny that after being pounding table bearish from 8/18 all the way to 9/28-30, and calling for a bounce week this week

It seems I did not nail it enough

Look, whether final low is in remains to be seen

I did not say this week would go lower however
9/28 FIRST TIME I started talking about turn

DXY high, VIX high, ZN ZB (bond futures) low remains 9/28

While maintaining that Friday would tank stocks & cryptos with FOMC chatter about inflation - nailed for Indexes
After looking at some other finastro / furu content out of curiosity, I realize that I set an impossibly high bar for myself

other finastros - this aspect up, but that aspect down - nearly always, sadly
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
Saturn sqr Uranus charts

DJI 1900-current

1900-25
squares orange so marking wx for waxing and wn for waning

both of these involved in BOTH rallies & drops Image
1925-1950
waxing square involved in great depression crash so some of the stereotypes are because of this

next one (conjunction) also near a major low!

ps, for great depression I could also say Neptune out of Leo; major events like this have multiple factors Image
1950-1975

if you thought you had it pegged as bearish market was about to fool you

next 2 up

btw - hard aspects only on these charts, 0, 90, 180, 270, 10' applying Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 24, 2022
Who wants to make some $? 🧵

The case for high leverage BTC short play for overnight in charts ahead

Also note Moon is applying to square Mars, exact about 1:50 PM ET - and this really should drop nearby to confirm Mars not being influenced positively by trine to Saturn yet
Moon in Virgo worst by far - here showing 2022 data but can go back further in time as well
Moon through terms
2022 data

Mars worst

This is showing all Moon signs together
Read 6 tweets

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