I get asked often, who out there do you think can disrupt the new-age online brokers or even exchanges?
Me: I don’t think it will be another stock brokerage firm or a new stock exchange. It will most likely be an outsider, maybe Crypto. Here is why👇 1/6
In broking or exchange business, both on pricing and product, there is not much left to disrupt. Unless of course, someone figures a way to pay people money for trading (-ve brokerage😉not allowed by regulation) or figures a way to help all customers make money (😬very tough) 2/6
Brokers & exchanges depend on a small group of active traders, ~1million traders for revenue. If they start trading something else, that will disrupt everything. Btw, active traders also provide liquidity, reduce impact cost & risk, & help better price discovery. 3/6
Traders want high leverage, volatility, & markets to be open longer. Crypto😬kind of scores over stocks on these. Of course, trading crypto is a lot riskier & there is no fundamental information for price movements. But greed usually gets the better of most people with time. 4/6
Crypto is what has recently disrupted brokers & exchanges in the US. The AUM of Coinbase is $180 billion, and the crypto AUM of Robinhood Crypto is ~$11.5bil. Many incumbents couldn't react quickly, fearing regulatory lash back and mostly missed the bus. 5/6
While Crypto is still small in India, we're in a similar situation as the US, a few years back. The regulatory fear doesn’t allow regulated platforms to offer Crypto. Eventually, if the status quo on regulations continues, traders can move away & disrupt the broking industry 6/6

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More from @Nithin0dha

3 Sep
Our focus at @RainmatterOrg is to help create green jobs, livelihoods & help preserve the environment using sustainable agri practices. In that journey, we're super delighted to join @madhuchandansc & @organicmandya on their mission to change farming & improve lives of farmers1/8 Image
@organicmandya has helped create kitchen gardens with fruit tree saplings in 5,000+ homes. Through Sunday Santhes in Mandya, they're creating direct farmer to consumer relationships. 2/8
grove.rainmatter.org/t/announcement… Image
They are also providing free training at @organicmandya farms to 500-600 people a month to help them create livelihoods from small farms using organic farming methods. 3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
28 Jun
What most traders don't realize is that they pay a good chunk of their capital as costs. If you add impact costs, the minimum return an active trader should generate to break even yearly on their portfolio is usually well above 20%. Yep, that high and that tough.
1/4
Costs include
Statutory costs like STT, Stamp duty, GST
Impact costs or slippages (while this doesn’t even seem like a cost, it adds up quickly. Especially when buying options, will have a post on this soon).
Trading costs like brokerage and exchange charges. 2/4
This breakeven % is a high hurdle as most traders take largest possible positions every trade with their capital without considering costs
The way to reduce the impact of costs & increasing the odds of winning is by reducing the trading size (% of capital deployed per trade) 3/4
Read 4 tweets
1 Jun
We @zerodhaonline are stoked about the new tagging feature on Console. Tagging your trades and maintaining a trading journal can help you become a better trader and also help you track your investment goals. zerodha.com/z-connect/cons… 1/5
You can't become a better trader if you don't learn from your mistakes. But in order to learn, you need a proper journal of all your trades and the reasons you took the trades. You can then look back, review, and do more of what is working & less of what isn't. 2/5
Most traders don't maintain a journal because it takes some effort to tag trades, take notes & track P&L. This was a personal problem for me back when I was trading. So I'm super excited to announce the launch of Console tags which helps you easily journal your trades. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
30 May
I’m surprised by the unwanted noise around this whole salary news of @nikhilkamathcio, Seema (my wife), & me. The headlines are misleading. We are a private company & no obligations to clarify, but we thought maybe we should, as there are folks who are misinterpreting this. 1/7
Firstly the reported figure isn’t the actual salary being drawn. This is an enabling resolution that allows us as working promoters to draw salaries up to the number in case of liquidity requirements. Didn’t anticipate that this would get this much attention. 2/7
Running a business is like trading, you can be up or down very easily. It is important to take liquidity out when you are “up” to de-risk. We have always done this, ~15% of profits. This also helps us in supporting our personal investments in small businesses & social causes 3/7
Read 7 tweets
28 May
Last 2 years have been spectacular for @zerodhaonline. Lucky to be at right place right time, ready with products & initiatives when there was a surge in retail participation. With success, what I say gets valued more 😬Here are a few questions that we get asked frequently 1/11
Why haven’t we raised any external capital, especially at times like these when we could get some crazy valuation?

I had talked about it earlier:
2/11
Why do very few startups bootstrap (not raise funding)?

While the obvious answer might be the easy availability of risk capital today that can help a business grow fast. But there is another reason why startups focus on growth & valuation rather than profits - Taxation. 3/11
Read 11 tweets
25 May
About intraday leverages being further reduced to a Max of 5 times for stocks & minimum SPAN+Exposure for F&O from Sep 1st 2021, ANMI (NSE member association) has created a presentation requesting for this to be reconsidered.
Here are the arguments being made
1/8
Margin calculation logic (SPAN or VAR) doesn’t differentiate between intraday and overnight positions. Margins are collected to cover for risk. Intraday positions carry a much lower risk than overnight, so ideally the margin requirement should also be lesser. 2/8
SPAN calculation methodology changed in 2020. Volatility measure increased to 6 sigma from 3.5, SPAN margin period of risk(MPOR) covers for 2 days. Exposure margins to cover risk beyond 2 days.
Our margin requirement structure now is maybe among the toughest in the world. 3/8
Read 8 tweets

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