2/ “If people can’t hoard physical money, it becomes much easier to cut interest rates far below zero; otherwise the zero rate on bank notes stuffed under the mattress looks attractive. And if interest rates can go far below 0, monetary policy is suddenly much more powerful”
🥶
3/ “Initially, CBDCs will almost certainly be designed to behave as much like ordinary bank notes as possible, to make their adoption easy and minimize disruption, while use of physical cash will be allowed to wither away. But... monetary caution is unlikely to last.”
🥶
4/ “Central banks are making lots of effort to make sure that CBDC isn’t seen as a possible monetary-policy instrument,” says Benoît Coeuré, head of the BIS innovation hub and a former ECB policy maker.
“My take is that that discussion will come only later”
🥶
5/ “If rates can be taken deeply negative it would shift the long-term outlook for interest rates and inflation. The ECB has a rate of -0.5%, the Bank of Japan -0.1% and the Swiss National Bank -0.75%. But none think they can go below -1%”
Emphasis on “none think”
6/ “The main limit is that deeply negative rates would encourage people to switch to bank notes to “earn” zero on their savings, instead of losing money.”
In other words, physical cash is a last defense against time theft in fiat land.
7/ “The monetary impact of removing, or reducing, this effective lower bound, as economists call it, is profound. Instead of turning to new + still unproven tools like the bond-buying of quantitative easing, central banks would be able to keep cutting rates when a crisis hit”
🥶
8/ “Resistance from the public would make policy makers cautious about such radical policies... But as Mr. Coeuré, who oversaw bond-buying while at the ECB, could tell you, what once seemed to be an impossibly extreme monetary policy can quickly become the norm.”
🥶
9/ The entire article is basically a discussion of how govts and central banks can/will reduce the financial freedom of citizens to prop up ever-devaluing state debt.
Thankfully, individuals worldwide have the option of peacefully protesting this and opting out into Bitcoin ✌️
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2/ It all started in the seaside village of El Zonte. With a population of just a few thousand, dirt roads, tarp and sheet metal roofs, and no supermarket, most residents don't even have bank accounts. Historically, it was a place where residents were caretakers or fishermen.
3/ Twenty years ago, no one would have thought such a place could change the world. But two young men in town received a gift—the ability to dream—from a social worker, who taught them how to hope for a better future. @jorgebitcoinES and @romanmartinezc began to build.
1/ Today @HRF announces 375 million satoshis in Q3 gifts from its Bitcoin Development Fund to 10 projects spanning the globe.
This round focuses on Bitcoin privacy, ⚡, dev education in emerging markets, improving user onboarding experience, and continued core development 🧵 👇
2/ 50 million satoshis to @bernard_parah, @actuallyCarlaKC, Tim Akinbo, and @ihate1999 for the creation of qala.dev, a program to help train and grow new Bitcoin developers in Nigeria and wider Africa. Special thanks to @paxful for making this gift possible.
3/ 50 million satoshis to @diopfode for his efforts with bitcoindevelopers.academy to help individuals in West Africa and especially those living under the colonial CFA franc system to build and use Bitcoin applications. Special thanks to @ManuelStotz for making this gift possible.
“The plan is for Ukraine to make Bitcoin legal tender by the start of 2023 and create a ‘duel-currency country’ where Bitcoin sits alongside the fiat hryvnia before potentially being phased in as the dominant financial structure”
Note: this seems like speculation based on recent public statements and actions of the Ukrainian government, which is pro-EU/NATO. What’s interesting to consider is that Ukraine today is very much a key piece of US foreign policy, and on America’s side vs Putin, etc
As @anilsaidso reminds us, some politicians in Ukraine have disclosed owning hundreds or even thousands of Bitcoin:
1/ As Tuesday's Bitcoin legal tender law looms for more than 6 million Salvadorans, many if not most of them fear a big monetary change.
This is partly because of the dollarization which occurred exactly 20 years ago, in a similarly rushed, top-down way 🧵 🇸🇻
2/ Last week I attended the anti-Bitcoin law protest in San Salvador. This is the secretary of a union for judicial employees.
She was against the law for many reasons, but a big one was that last time the govt changed the money system in 2001, it was bad for the lower classes.
3/ Dollarization was fairly unique in El Salvador's case. The country wasn't experiencing high inflation, or any kind of economic crisis. But policymakers said it would help bring down interest rates and fuel the banking sector. Which it did. But it had unintended consequences.
@joshtpm 1/ Josh, what's remarkable is your arrogance, ignorance, and financial privilege. 1.3 billion live under double or triple digit inflation and 4.3 billion live under authoritarianism. Millions of them have turned to BTC as a way out. That you would mock them is bizarrely cruel.
@joshtpm 2/ To give you an idea of the scale of what's happening here, @paxful is just one BTC p2p marketplace. They have ~ 2M users in Nigeria alone. Exchange operates in India peg Bitcoin users at north of 10M. There are millions more from Argentina to Turkey to the Philippines.
@joshtpm@paxful 3/ Why would they turn to BTC? Unlike you--who lives in a liberal democracy with a reserve currency--they live under weak currencies without proper rule of law and civil liberties. Hence they turn to an open-source money that can't be censored, remotely confiscated, or debased.