9/11 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:
THREAD:
1) Hospitalizations with a strong decline today
2) Cases decline Week over week
3) Saw some Labor Day catch up on tests & positives. A bunch of older tests from end of Aug
4) Fatality breakdown on 357 reported
1/n
.
THREAD:
1) Hospitalizations with a strong decline today
2) Cases decline Week over week
3) Saw some Labor Day catch up on tests & positives. A bunch of older tests from end of Aug
4) Fatality breakdown on 357 reported
1/n
.
https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1436437129207422983
9/11 Indicators
* Total positivity rate as of 9/3 at 13.51%. Thousands of tests between 8/29 and 9/2, a ton of positives. Should shake itself out by Monday
* Maybe 8 days back isnt far enough
* Rate of growth still all near 0 or decline
* Covidestim Rt holds at 0.72
2/n
.
* Total positivity rate as of 9/3 at 13.51%. Thousands of tests between 8/29 and 9/2, a ton of positives. Should shake itself out by Monday
* Maybe 8 days back isnt far enough
* Rate of growth still all near 0 or decline
* Covidestim Rt holds at 0.72
2/n
.
9/11 Cases
* New record 7DMA of 151.3K tests per day on 9/2.
* That's 1.06 Million tests a week. #nuts
* 10.1K Cases reported, vs 13.9K last Sat
* Case 7DMA WoW down 7%
* Peak is 9/5
* Can't guarantee we don't have a new peak on Mon or Tues with low comps of Labor Day
3/n
.
* New record 7DMA of 151.3K tests per day on 9/2.
* That's 1.06 Million tests a week. #nuts
* 10.1K Cases reported, vs 13.9K last Sat
* Case 7DMA WoW down 7%
* Peak is 9/5
* Can't guarantee we don't have a new peak on Mon or Tues with low comps of Labor Day
3/n
.
9/11 Hospitalizations
* -137 to 13285. Last Fri was -94
* Single Day Peak is 8/25 - 13932
* 7DMA Rate of Decline at -2.1%
* First time below 20% beds in use by C19 since 8/20
* ICU decline vs Yesterday
* Great day today. Should see another good day tomorrow
4/n
.
* -137 to 13285. Last Fri was -94
* Single Day Peak is 8/25 - 13932
* 7DMA Rate of Decline at -2.1%
* First time below 20% beds in use by C19 since 8/20
* ICU decline vs Yesterday
* Great day today. Should see another good day tomorrow
4/n
.
9/11 - Hosp Covid Admits
* Statewide Admits down 188 from last Sat. 7DMA down 205 from peak on 8/23
* 14DMA rate of change for all TSA areas - 16 of 22 are negative
* SETRAC 7DMAs with a big drop today, now down 9.6% WoW in the 7DMA
* Great news all around on hosps
5/n
.
* Statewide Admits down 188 from last Sat. 7DMA down 205 from peak on 8/23
* 14DMA rate of change for all TSA areas - 16 of 22 are negative
* SETRAC 7DMAs with a big drop today, now down 9.6% WoW in the 7DMA
* Great news all around on hosps
5/n
.
9/11 Fatalities Part 1:
* Primer in 8/n
* 2021 thru 8/20, 2020 thru 7/20, waves 13 mo apart
* Fatalities thru above:
* 2020 - 5566, 245 7DMA
* 2021 - 4436, 208 7DMA
* Despite much higher hosps at this point in the wave, fatalities running ~21% lower than 2020.
6/n
.
* Primer in 8/n
* 2021 thru 8/20, 2020 thru 7/20, waves 13 mo apart
* Fatalities thru above:
* 2020 - 5566, 245 7DMA
* 2021 - 4436, 208 7DMA
* Despite much higher hosps at this point in the wave, fatalities running ~21% lower than 2020.
6/n
.
9/11 Fatalities Part 2
* 357 Reported
* +52 from last Sat
* Almost 90% from the past 2 weeks
* Two more big reports coming on Tues and Wed
* By then Hospitalization peak is 2-3 weeks in arrears and the reporting should peak & start declining
* Hosp decline looking strong!
7/n
.
* 357 Reported
* +52 from last Sat
* Almost 90% from the past 2 weeks
* Two more big reports coming on Tues and Wed
* By then Hospitalization peak is 2-3 weeks in arrears and the reporting should peak & start declining
* Hosp decline looking strong!
7/n
.
9/11 Conclusion
* Great drop on Hospitalization census and new Admissions, which means strong declines in census should continue
* Testing setting new all-time highs through 9/3. Its nuts. Nearing 1.1 million tests a week?
* Light at the end of the tunnel on fatalities
9/end
* Great drop on Hospitalization census and new Admissions, which means strong declines in census should continue
* Testing setting new all-time highs through 9/3. Its nuts. Nearing 1.1 million tests a week?
* Light at the end of the tunnel on fatalities
9/end
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