1. A quick thread on the new book Survival of the City by Ed Glaeser & David Cutler. Just finished it this afternoon. It's terrific. A must, must read. There is a lot to the book, so I'll focus on what it has to say for cities and urbanization.
2. First off, it's an extremely well-crafted book - a GREAT READ.
3. For me the highlight of the book are the chapters which trace the history of pandemics & plagues & their impacts on cities and urbanization. It's clear Glaeser loves this material and that he has a penchant for economic history and it shines as a high point of the book.
4. The narrative arc of the book starts off sort of gloomy. But by the end it is rather optimistic. The book is a paean to the resilience & adaptive capabilities of great cities.
5. For this pandemic & over the course of previous pandemics, it seems that plagues and infections disease may pause but cannot overwhelm the connectivity that stands the heart of cities and urbanization.
6. The book picks up on discusses so many interesting ideas. I'll mention just two ...
7. It makes an intriguing argument about the closing of the "metropolitan frontier" ...
8. And it picks up on and applies Mancur Olson's ideas about insiders, institutional sclerosis & rigidities as applying to cities today.
9. My own sense of this is that what we are seeing today in terms of relocations & migrations associated with or accelerated by COVID can be seen as activated by such Olsonian factors.
10. The book zeroes in on that fact that COVID is simply accelerating many of the key challenges to cities that were in place before it struck. Challenges like rising crime and disorder (& the perception of said) & the challenge of urban schools.
11. Those are big challenges here that were already observable back before the pandemic. I wrote about them for the NYT back in 2017. nytimes.com/2017/09/01/opi…
12. As someone who splits his time between the US & Canada (Toronto), many if not most of the big challenges they identify as facing cities - again, crime, disorder, schools - seem to be much more salient to US cities than to cities in Canada or Europe.
13. Seems to me of the advanced nations, it’s US cities that are likely to be most impacted by the pandemic, largely because of the way they entered it.
14. While the book is generally optimistic about cities, it makes the point that the pandemic is deepening not just socio-economic and racial divisions but spatial & geographic divides - both across & within cities.
15. It reinforced something @iamstevenpedigo & I have been thinking about ... the pandemic may be accelerating a trends toward not just more gated communities, gate suburbs and gated cities but to a more Gated America ...
16. Anyways, it's a great book. Do pick it up and give it a read. I learned a ton.
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2. "Traditional theories of cities emphasize production decisions and the costs of workers commuting between their workplace and residence."
3. "However, much of the travel that occurs within urban areas is related not to commuting but rather to the consumption of nontraded services, such as trips to restaurants, coffee shops and bars, shopping centers,
cultural venues, and other services."
1. Interested in the future of downtowns & central business districts. Let's take a little time machine back to 1958 and see what Jane Jacobs had to say on the subject in her seminal essay, "Downtown Is for People." innovationecosystem.pbworks.com/w/file/fetch/6…
2. "We are accustomed to thinking of downtowns as divided into functional districts – financial, shopping, theatre – and so they are, but only to a degree."
3. "As soon as an area gets too exclusively devoted to one
type of activity and its direct convenience services,
it gets into trouble; it loses its appeal to the users
of downtown and it is in danger of becoming a
has-been."
2. Our basic position: "People are free to make all the bad choices they want when it comes to themselves, but not when they put others in danger and incur costs that we all must pay. "
3. Especially with the uber-contagious Delta variant, the unvaccinated pose direct risks to the health and well-being of the immunocompromised, the frail and the elderly, and especially young kids.
2. Our paper examines the role of 2 kinds of factors in the geography of COVID-19 in Sweden.
3. Place-based factors like density, socio-economic disparity, age levels, versus diffusion factors like proximity to harder hit areas which would be associated with the spread of COVID.
1) These maps from the NYT provide a sense of the scale of the issue - some 270 older condos. These offer some of the last remaining "affordable" housing in the region. Many are likely to need substantial renovation; some may be decommissioned entirely: nytimes.com/2021/07/04/us/…
2) What is not obvious from the maps is how valuable this property is becoming. Due West of Champlain Towers is Indian Creek - one of the most expensive locations in the USA ... Bal Harbour Mall is up the street ... A property near the Bal Harbour Marina just went for $50 mil +
3) Even closer by on the Atlantic Coast are the new Four Seasons and Arte condominiums which have seen among the highest prices per square feet in the region.