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Sep 14, 2021 25 tweets 13 min read Read on X
📝 A GW5 THREAD

🔎 GW4
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway

🔎 GW5
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
⚖️ Bus Team

A thread built to provoke some initial food for thought ahead of GW5..

#FPL #FPLCommunity #GW5
📸 GW4 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ DEFENCE

Games: 10
Clean Sheets: 9

Shots Conceded
🔺Most: LEE, NOR (30)
🔻Least: CRY (2)

Shots in Box Conceded
🔺Most: LEE (22)
🔻Least: CRY (1)

Big Chances Conceded
🔺Most: WAT (6)
🔻Least: 7 teams (0)

xGC
🔺Most: LEE (3.48)
🔻Least: CRY (0.16)
📸 GW4 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ ATTACK

Games: 10
Goals: 23

Shots
🔺Most: LIV, ARS (30)
🔻Least: TOT (2)

Big Chances
🔺Most: WOL (6)
🔻Least: 7 teams (0)

xG
🔺Most: LIV (3.48)
🔻Least: TOT (0.16)
📸 GW4 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Points
1. Lukaku, Kovacic, Ronaldo, Marcal (13)

xG
1. Mane (1.37)
2. B. Silva (1.13)
3. Ronaldo (1.00)

xA
1. Jota (1.05)
2. Shaw (0.89)
3. Moutinho (0.88)

Big Chances
1. Mane (3)

Big Chances Created
1. Toney, Jota, Shaw, Moutinho (2)
🍕 GW4 TAKEAWAYS

🍟 WOL were great, could easily have had a few more goals vs WAT

🍔 TOT spanked by CRY, despite 3 wins in the opening 3 GWs I think they're a team to avoid right now

🌭 Lukaku, 2 shots 2 goals. Clinical

🌮 Ronaldo as expected, shoot on sight, 2 goals
💡 LOWLY OWNED EYE CATCHERS

▫️Gallagher: Another impressive display from the CHE loanee grabbing 2 assists - 3.4%

▫️Doucoure: 2 assists vs BUR in another impressive performance - 1.8%

▫️Cancelo: 90mins in all 4 games, a 12 pointer in GW4 - 7.8%
📋 WELCOME TO GW5

⏰ DEADLINE
FRI 17th September @ 6.30PM (UK)

🏆 EUROPE
MUN, MCI, CHE, LIV, WHU, LEI, TOT are all playing in Europe this midweek

📆 FIXTURES
NEW vs LEE
WOL vs BRE
BUR vs ARS
LIV vs CRY
MCI vs SOU
NOR vs WAT
AVL vs EVE
BHA vs LEI
WHU vs MUN
TOT vs CHE

TABLE ⤵️
🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ LIV vs CRY

LIV record vs CRY is emphatic, winning the last 8/8 games vs The Eagles scoring 24 goals, conceding just 5 times. LIV have had 99 shots (1st), 70 inside the box (1st), I think they'll still be too strong for a much improved CRY outfit!

LIV 3-0
🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ WOL vs BRE

Despite a frustrating opening 3 GWs to the season WOL finally got a well deserved 3 points vs WAT and should have won by a bigger margin. WOL look particularly strong defensively and can't help feel they are good value for a CS this weekend.
©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ SALAH

7 goals from the previous 8 games vs CRY. 16 shots, 13 inside the box and 3 goals to his name in the opening 4 GWs of the season, he's looking really sharp.

Salah will undoubtedly be the most captained player in GW5, he's your safety in numbers pick!
©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ MANE

His 9 goals in the last 8 games vs CRY cant go unnoticed. A hugely frustrating GW4 saw Mane have 10 shots (1st), 8 of which were inside the box, 3 considered to be big chances. He left with only 1 goal but offers managers a real differential option for GW5!
©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ LUKAKU

2 shots 2 goals against AVL in GW4. Although owners might be a little worried about the lack of shots, they shouldn't be, he was clinical with the 2 chances he had. Goes up against a new look TOT defence GW5 (Romero/Sanchez) but still fancy him to return!
©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ RONALDO

Ronaldo needs no second invitation to take a shot. A dream return to OT vs NEW saw him collect 2 goals. WHU will offer stiffer opposition in GW5 but I still fancy MUN to take 3 points, does Ronaldo provide us with a captaincy option every GW from here on?
🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ GW5 HIGHEST SCORERS

1. Salah - 8.19
2. Mane - 7.04
3. TAA - 6.60
4. Sterling - 6.20
5. Ronaldo - 6.10
6. Bamford - 6.10
7. Grealish - 6.03
8. Jota - 5.87
9. Robertson - 5.68
10. Matip - 5.64

* Taken from @FFH_HQ
🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ CLEAN SHEETS

1. MCI - 58%
2. LIV - 55%
3. WOL - 50%
4. CHE - 44%
5. ARS - 38%
6. NOR - 38%

➡️ OVER 2.5 GOALS

1. MCI - 53%
2. LIV - 49%
3. MUN - 27%
4. WOL - 25%
5. LEE - 23%
6. ARS - 22%

All eyes should be on MCI according to the good guys at @drafthound 🔎
📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

🥇MANE
Price: £11.9m
Fixture: CRY (H)
TSB: 2.7%

🥈SARR
Price: £6.0m
Fixture: NOR (A)
TSB: 5.3%

🥉JIMENEZ
Price: £7.4m
Fixture: BRE (H)
TSB: 3.9%

🏅TIERNEY
Price: £4.9m
Fixture: BUR (A)
TSB: 6.0%
🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most bought IN ahead of GW5 so far:

1. Ronaldo - 785k
2. Lukaku - 395k
3. Pogba - 243k
4. Gallagher - 220k
5. Marcal - 211k
6. Gray - 204k

The premium duo of Ronaldo and Lukaku continue to be in demand. There'll be a lot more on the double up from GW5!
🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW5 so far:

1. Antonio - 890k
2. Bruno - 305k
3. Son - 289k
4. Ings - 235k
5. DCL - 214k
6. Tsimikas - 163k

Antonio's early form goes out the window, his suspension for GW5 is likely to result in 1mill+ sales. Crazy turnaround
⚒️ WHAT TO DO WITH ANTONIO?

The urge will be to sell Antonio for Bamford or Jimenez, but he misses one game before going up against a depleted LEE defence GW6 & BRE in GW7.

If your squad allows for it, I'd suggest trying to hold on to Antonio! 😬
🔄DCL/ANTONIO REPLACEMENTS

Those looking to replace DCL or don't fancy holding Antonio; my go to replacement if you can afford it would probably be Lukaku. CHE run of games from GW7 is simply dazzling.

Alternatively Jimenez or Bamford seem the obvious affordable alternatives.
⚪ LEEDS FIXTURE SWING

They've been disappointing so far this season but it's worth noting that Leeds fixtures turn for the better from GW5 to GW15.

Raphinha, Bamford & Meslier seem the go to options whilst the arrival of Dan James casts some doubt around Harrison's minutes.
🦅 CONOR GALLAGHER

Mins: 270
Goals: 2
Assists: 2

Shots: 10
Big Chances: 5
xG: 2.27
xA: 1.30
FPL Points: 26

He's on corners, free kicks and just wants to get involved in everything good that CRY do.

£5.6M and just 3.7% TSB, he's a seriously good budget option moving forward!
🔮 GW5-GW10 PREDICTIONS

1. Ronaldo - 41.1
2. Bruno - 34.7
3. Salah - 33.8
4. Lukaku - 31.9
5. Mane - 31.3
6. Torres - 30.3
7. Dias - 29.8
8. Kane - 29.4
9. Vardy - 29.1
10. KDB - 29.0
11. Jota - 28.8
12. TAA - 28.8

* From @FantasyFootyFix
📝 GW5 TIPS

▫️IMO you should try holding on to Antonio, but sell DCL who looks set to miss a few weeks

▫️7 teams play in Europe this midweek. Hold off making moves until you know players have made it through unscathed. Patience pays
⚖️ GW5 BUS TEAM

🔄 FT: Benrahma to Raphinha
©️ Captain: Salah
🌍 OR: 15k

🟥 Benrahma

🟧 Ronaldo, Jota, Greenwood

🟨 White, Ayling, Traore, Antonio

🟩 Salah, TAA, Shaw, Sanchez, Steele, Liveramento, Scarlett

➡️ Operation target Chelsea GW7/GW8 is firmly on the cards for me

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More from @CORF_FPL

Oct 20, 2023
🏟️ GAMEWEEK 9: A THREAD

Including:
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🚀 Anytime Scorer/Assist %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
🎰 Differentials
🔄 In'd & Binned
🏗️ GW9 Plan

Sorry it's late, I've been right up against it this week! 🥵

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
🗓️ WELCOME TO GW9

⏰ Deadline:
Saturday 21st October @ 11.00am (UK)

🎯 GW9 Win %:
1️⃣ Liverpool (77%) vs EVE
2️⃣ Man City (73%) vs BHA
3️⃣ Man Utd (71%) vs SHU
4️⃣ Newcastle (69%) vs CRY
5️⃣ Spurs (67%) vs FUL

🍟 Top 1m Chip Use so far..
WC1: 42% BB: 6.4% FH: 8.8% TC: 8.9% Image
🥅 GW9 CLEAN SHEET %

1️⃣ NEW 50%
2️⃣ NFO 48%
3️⃣ MUN 44%
4️⃣ LIV 42%
5️⃣ BRE 40%
6️⃣ TOT 38%
7️⃣ MCI 36%
8️⃣ ARS 31%

🧤 FUL keeper Leno leads the way for GK bonus points so far this season with 8, behind him are Neto & Johnstone, both tied on 5.

📱Full List:
drafthound.com/?utm_medium=fp…
Image
Read 24 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
📝 GAMEWEEK 6: A THREAD

Including:
✍🏻 GW5 Notes
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differentials
⁉️ Dilemmas
🔄 In & Out's
🃏 WILDCARD ACTIVE

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
✍🏻 GW5 Notes..

Another very impressive display from ALVAREZ with 2x assists. Remains on most City set pieces.

HAALAND with 6 big chances & 2.69 xG but only 1 goal. Non cappers (Me) can count themselves very, very lucky.

KABORE created 2 big chances for LUT with 0.86 xA. Image
✍🏻 GW5 Notes..

KULUSEVSKI with 7 shots, all inside the box. Scored a late, late goal to secure 2-1 win. Possible GW8 differential?

RASHFORD with 9 shots vs BHA, 6 inside the box. Remains the best MUN asset IMO.

WATKINS with his 4th assist of the season. Surely due a goal soon? Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 13, 2023
📝 GAMEWEEK 5: A THREAD

Including:
📊 Season Stats so far
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ My GW5 Plan

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
📊 Player Stats GW1-GW4

Points
🥇Haaland 39
🥈Mbuemo 33
🥉Bowen 30

Goals
🥇Haaland 6
🥈 Ferguson/Mbuemo 4

Assists
🥇7x Players on 3

xGI
🥇Mbuemo 4.94
🥈Haaland 4.72
🥉Saka 3.76

Big Chances
🥇Haaland/Jackson 7
🥉Mbuemo 6

Big Chances Created
🥇Bruno/Salah/Onana/Neto 4 Image
📊 Team Stats GW1-GW4

➡️ Attack

Goals
🥇BHA 12
🥈MCI/TOT 11

Shots
🥇BHA 83
🥈TOT 73
🥉 CRY 69

Big Chances
🥇BRE 15
🥈BHA/CHE/EVE 14

➡️ Defensive

Goals Conceded
🥇MCI 2
🥈LIV 4

NPxGA
🥇MCI 2.7
🥈CRY 3.1
🥉ARS 3.3

Clean Sheets
🥇MCI 2
🥈CRY/ARS/CHE/BRE 1 Image
Read 24 tweets
Aug 6, 2023
📝 GW1-GW5: Building the Defence

Using @drafthound's clean sheet probabilities (%) to consider goalkeeper & defence options ahead of the GW1 deadline.

🎯 Teams/Targets
🥅 Clean Sheet %'s
🔄 £4.5 rotations
💸 £4.0 options
📉 Differentials

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
🟥 ARSENAL

🥅 CS%
GW1: NFO (50%) 3rd
GW2: cry (39%) 3rd
GW3 FUL (40%) 3rd
GW4: MUN (36%) 6th
GW5: eve (43%) 2nd

14 clean sheets (2nd) last season but only 4 of those came at home, that said with 3 home matches in that first 5 GWs I'm certainly not put off ARS defence coverage. Image
💭 My initial reaction was to lean towards RAMSDALE, but with RAYA signed he's one to avoid IMO

GABRIEL now the stand out option. 2nd best xG of all DEF's last season, 10 goals in last 3 seasons. A threat from set pieces

📉 SALIBA to be considered if you want away from template Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 5, 2022
🏟️ GAMEWEEK 7: A THREAD

🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2.5 Goals %
🎯 Teams to Target
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differential Central
🏡 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ Current Draft
📡 My Watchlist

A thread built to evoke early food for thought ahead of GW7..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
✍🏻 GW6 Notes

Toney with a hat trick vs LEE including a banging free kick. He's now on 5goals & 2assists for the season

Mitrovic with another goal vs TOT. Back to back goals in each of their last 4games taking him to 6goals for the season.

Both strikers are high on my radar!
✍🏻 GW6 Notes

MUN with another win, whilst ARS dominated large spells MUN were clinical in attack. Antony debut goal & Eriksen was excellent, but Rashford the stand out FPL asset with goal & assist

Finally a LIV clean sheet! But TAA subbed on 59mins & Robbo benched! Frustrating!
Read 23 tweets
Sep 2, 2022
🏟️ A GAMEWEEK 6 MINI THREAD

🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2.5 Goals %
🎯 Teams to Target
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differential Central
🏡 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ Current Draft
📡 My Watchlist

Another super quick turnaround as we head in to GW6..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
📝 GW5 Notes

Haaland with another hat trick vs NFO. Back to back hattys & 9goals already this season. Incredible

Mitrovic on the scoresheet once again, that's 5 in 5 for him. Don't let ties vs TOT & CHE put you off him, he'll cause even the best defences a problem in this form
📝 GW5 Notes

A very encouraging debut from Isak with a well taken goal & unlucky to have a second effort disallowed. At just £7.0 he's definitely worth keeping tabs on.

Back to back CS for MUN & 19pts from last two games for Dalot. At £4.4 he could be worth consideration
Read 24 tweets

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