@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr The outcome you describe — in which ten cities always choose the president — is mathematically impossible.
@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr There are approximately 87.4 million people in the nation's 10 largest metro areas. For the sake of argument, let's say that 22% of residents (the national average) are under the age of 18, so that leaves us with 68.17 million people.
@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr In 2016, 61.4% of the citizen voting-age population reported casting a ballot. Assuming that's true of our sample here, that comes to 41.85 million people.
@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr Approximately 129 million people voted in the 2016 presidential election. If a candidate only won the votes of those metro areas — and here, we're assuming they would win every single vote cast — they would walk away with 41.9 million votes, and lose the election in a landslide.
@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr Tom, I encourage you to do the math here. In a country where the urban and rural populations are nearly even, it is impossible to win a national election by focusing on the ten largest metro areas or even the ten largest states.
@RadioFreeTom @UrbanAchievr Hilariously, it is possible under the current system for tiny numbers of wholly unrepresentative voters in big states to swing an election against the larger public.

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More from @jbouie

16 Sep
you might want to read a little further than that
“Under whatever guise, however a Jefferson Davis may appear, as man, as race, or as nation, his life can only logically mean this: the advance of a part of the world at the expence of the whole: the overweening sense of the I and the consequent forgetting of the Thou.”
“To say that a nation is in the way of civilization is a contradiction in terms, and a system of human culture whose principle is the rise of one race on the ruins of another is a farce and a lie. Yet this is the type of civilization which Jefferson Davis represented.”
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep
ah, charlottesville, where we build a brand new empty parking lot next to an old empty parking lot ImageImage
i like to think about these parking lots — which are down the street from a brand new parking garage with public access — whenever someone says charlottesville is “too full” to build more housing.
(something like a quarter of the land in this town is covered by surface parking)
Read 5 tweets
10 Sep
so we’re watching AFTER HOURS and one thing i like about these smaller Scorsese films is that the camera is still buck wild
you know, if i were ripping off a scorsese film to make an origin story for the joker, i would use AFTER HOURS as my template. a guy has a comically awful night culminating in him losing his mind.
anyway the cast in this movie is absolutely stacked and it is a true delight to see john heard and catherine o’hara in this movie.
Read 4 tweets
6 Sep
for those of you who follow my charlottesville zoning tweets, recently learned that one particularly vocal opponent of building multi-family housing only just moved here last year, having bought one of the most expensive homes in town (think low to mid 7-figures). so that’s fun.
i can’t imagine being that entitled but then i also can’t afford a multi-million dollar home
the group opposing multi-family housing — “citizens for responsible planning” — also high-handedly disparaged input from low-income housing groups as basically spam that should not count as much as their signatures. Image
Read 5 tweets
5 Sep
once again, i’ll say, there’s nothing like watching a movie in an empty theater (about to see shang-chi, more or less by myself)
ate an edible and got a drink so if nothing else i am very relaxed
latecomers so the theater wasn’t completely empty, unfortunately. still! this was pretty good! another entry in the MCU’s Bad Dad, Warlord Dad series
Read 5 tweets
2 Sep
this is a good example of how big numbers can be misleading if they aren’t in context. here, the denominator is around 435 million doses, so 15 mil is 3.5% of the total. typical vaccine waste in a campaign ranges from 5% for a single dose vial to 40% for a 20-dose vial.
source for vaccine waste: who.int/immunization/p…
we don’t want to waste any vaccine, of course, but 3.5% waste is comparatively speaking, pretty good
Read 6 tweets

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