Thread by @aseitzwald

NEW: Gavin Newsom trounced the recall, but some Democrats warn the top line obscures a “canary in the coal mine” for their strength witj Latino voters. nbcnews.com/politics/elect…

Latino voters sided with Newsom 60-40%, according to the NBC News exit poll, but that's down slightly from the 64% Newsom had in 2018.

By comparison, Black voters broke 83-17% in favor of Newson while Asian-Americans backed the governor 64-36%, according to the exit poll.

In fact, Latino voters looked more like white voters than other non-white groups in the recall, with an even slightly larger gender gap.

nbcnews.com/politics/elect…

And if you don't trust exit polls (fair), look at the real vote data from Imperial County, the state's most Latino (80%+ Latino) and a reliably blue one (Biden +25%)

The recall did slightly *better* in Imperial than statewide. 38.7% voted "yes" there vs. 36.1% statewide, so far.

“There is a canary in the coal mine and it’s called Imperial County,” said LA-based Dem strategist @mikehtrujillo. "We’re seeing something happen in blue state California where a certain segment of the Latino population is trending in the wrong direction."

@mikehtrujillo If you want to understand why, start by recognizing the diversity of Latinos instead of reducing them to solely their ethnicity.

"We all do such a good job of dissecting the white electorate and for some reason we can't do that with Latinos,” said @christianarana.

@mikehtrujillo @christianarana “The big warning is that you can't relent on the outreach. The outreach needs to happen every single day," he added.

cc: 2022

nbcnews.com/politics/elect…