Is there a Conservative ‘blue wall’? - Prof Curtice
Both Labour & Lib Dems advanced most strongly in those seats where Remain had been well ahead, while both parties recorded their weakest performances in constituencies that had strong Leave majorities onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ne…
Both Labour & Lib Dems advanced most strongly in those seats where Remain had been well ahead, while both parties recorded their weakest performances in constituencies that had strong Leave majorities onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ne…
In constituencies where over 60% voted Remain support for the Tories was 5 points lower in 2019 than it had been 4 years before, whereas in seats where the Leave vote was over 60%, support for the Tories was up 16 points in 2019
But just 20 Remain seats are held by the Tories
But just 20 Remain seats are held by the Tories
In fact since the 2019 election now more than half (11) of the most pro remain Tory seats are already in opposition hands - 6 Labour, 5 Lib Dems
But Tories held 66 Pro Remain seats in the 2019 election
Of two thirds of them can be captured that would lose the Tories their hold
But Tories held 66 Pro Remain seats in the 2019 election
Of two thirds of them can be captured that would lose the Tories their hold
Some of those seats are held with markedly larger majorities than the 11 marginals.
But the Chesham and Amersham swing is encouraging and suggests some or all of them may be capable of large swings too.
How to make that happen.
But the Chesham and Amersham swing is encouraging and suggests some or all of them may be capable of large swings too.
How to make that happen.
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