There's been quite a concerning vaccination gap emerging for Canadian men (undervaccinated) compared to women, with about 1 million fewer men fully vaccinated than women.
The good news this week is that first and second shot rates for men are clearly speeding up.
Here's the graph for partial vaccination, from @GovCanHealth .
You can see that more men than women are now getting their first shots, in all age groups except people 70+.
This is good news.
@GovCanHealth The BAD news is that % of people 50+ fully vaccinated is increasing far too slowly.
It's slowed considerably (20%) since the week of Aug 28-Sep 4.
The greatest slowing is among people 80+, as some regions reach 100% vax in this age group but others lag badly (ON, AB, SK, NUV).
@GovCanHealth Unvaccinated people 50+ will account for the large majority of COVID-19 deaths to come over the next 1-2 years, as we're all exposed to SARS-Cov-2.
Since current vaccines reduce but don't eliminate transmission, it's URGENT that we vaccinate 100% of those at greatest risk.
@GovCanHealth Here are the estimated vaccine-preventable #COVID19 deaths that may happen in different Canadian regions over the next year or two.
CAN 37,000
AB 5,300
BC 5,100
MB 400
NB 1,100
NL 480
NWT 20
NS 800
NUV 10
ON 18,800
PEI 70
QC 3,500
SK 1,500
YK 20
Estimated future vaccine-preventable deaths among unvaccinated people in each age group
#CovidIsAirborne #CovidIsntOver #MaskUp #YallMasking #CleanTheAir #CovidCautious
Holiday Dance Night
Risk Scenario Estimator Based on Canadian Forecast
The full thread is also available on the C-19 website, starting on page 8, for easier reading.
Note: Forecast data will be posted on the weekend, those pages on the website have not been updated.
Holiday Dance Night
Nanny and her diabetic teen granddaughter are a high risk household. Because they are vulnerable, they have to miss inside family gatherings much more than they’d like in order to protect themselves . They both would love to celebrate with the rest of their friends and family on New Years Eve at the community Holiday Dance Night.
But is there any way to make it safe enough for them?
Many of us know, live with, or are vulnerable. We have a lot of people in our communities who are immune compromised, immune suppressed, or have long COVID. People who have to be extra careful about infections. It’s a lonely journey to keep safe these days, often having to stay away from events with crowds.
So, just how risky are those community gatherings?
There’s a Dance Night at the high school gym coming up. About 60 folks dancing to tunes for a couple hours, it would be so much fun to join in.
The Data Card, “Family Holiday Dinner - Before”, shows how wise it is for everyone to mask while visiting inside.
We looked at a group of 10 people, you’re one of them, gathering for a 3 hour visit. People are chatting, but it’s mostly a quiet group enjoying each other’s company.
The scenario uses an average size dining room, 16 x 32. The airflow is well mixed among this and the other rooms and the outside doors are closed.
What can you do?
What can you do? Open the windows.
What can you do?
You can make your event even more safe by providing rapid tests beforehand and N95 masks as people arrive. This lets everyone know that you care about their health.
What else can you do?
Set up an Outside Food Zone. ™
If the weather is, ahem, wintery, and you have the resources, get a fire pit going.
Explore other ways to warm the space, maybe candles, those amazing patio heaters, or a tether ball to kick to warm everyone up. Don’t forget to provide gloves and blankets too.
Create an inviting space for people to bring their food out, unmask, safely eat at a distance from the crowd. When they’re ready they can join the folks inside again knowing that they are helping to keep everyone safe.
The “Family Holiday Dinner - Before” Card shows the maximum risk people that take on. We’re using the safest estimate for one-off events that often have visitors from away, may include a super spreader, and carry higher potential risks.
Your most vulnerable people will want to use these estimates since, for us, it’s best to assess risk by assuming the worst.