There's been quite a concerning vaccination gap emerging for Canadian men (undervaccinated) compared to women, with about 1 million fewer men fully vaccinated than women.
The good news this week is that first and second shot rates for men are clearly speeding up.
Here's the graph for partial vaccination, from @GovCanHealth .
You can see that more men than women are now getting their first shots, in all age groups except people 70+.
This is good news.
@GovCanHealth The BAD news is that % of people 50+ fully vaccinated is increasing far too slowly.
It's slowed considerably (20%) since the week of Aug 28-Sep 4.
The greatest slowing is among people 80+, as some regions reach 100% vax in this age group but others lag badly (ON, AB, SK, NUV).
@GovCanHealth Unvaccinated people 50+ will account for the large majority of COVID-19 deaths to come over the next 1-2 years, as we're all exposed to SARS-Cov-2.
Since current vaccines reduce but don't eliminate transmission, it's URGENT that we vaccinate 100% of those at greatest risk.
@GovCanHealth Here are the estimated vaccine-preventable #COVID19 deaths that may happen in different Canadian regions over the next year or two.
CAN 37,000
AB 5,300
BC 5,100
MB 400
NB 1,100
NL 480
NWT 20
NS 800
NUV 10
ON 18,800
PEI 70
QC 3,500
SK 1,500
YK 20
Estimated future vaccine-preventable deaths among unvaccinated people in each age group
At the Calgary Stampede, two traditions are going strong
– Pancake Breakfasts and Big Barbecue Lunches.
But … how risky is it to go?
You have to start the day with pancakes, of course.
That means lining up, allotting about a half hour to move up, tantalising aromas of the cooking food entertaining you, till you get to have your own plate full.
After a successful venture obtaining delicious food, could be pancakes or a pile of barbecued ribs, burgers and sides, our second scenario looks at sitting down and enjoying it.
SEVERE: AB, NB, NL, PEI
VERY HIGH: CAN, BC, North, ON, SK
HIGH: MB, NS, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 84 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Please bear with me. It's been nearly a year since I've done this thread myself, since volunteers usually tweet it out on Forecast weekends from my account.
I'm doing a shorter version of what usually goes out, without ALT text (sorry, sorry!).
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : 22 JUIN-5 JUIL, 2024
GRAVE : AB, NB, TNL, ÎPÉ
TRÈS ÉLEVÉ : CAN, CB, Nord, SK
ÉLEVÉ : MB, NÉ, QC
MODÉRÉ : aucun
Environ 1 personne sur 84 au Canada est actuellement infectée
🔵Canadian COVID-19 data reporting
🔵How the Canadian COVID-19 Forecast has been changing in recent months in response to disappearing data
🔵How we're preparing to do a Forecast even if we lose all weekly reporting except waste water from @GovCanHealth
@GovCanHealth This will be a long post, and we have a three hour meeting starting in 20 min, so you might want to bookmark the thread, because I'll be doing that thing where I ramble on and off for hours.
And I'm deeply angry, which means I'll be on a tear for a while.
@GovCanHealth I won't translate this thread to French as I write, but if you want a French translation to share with people who don't read English, please let me know.
I (with help from translation volunteers) can do this, but it might take an extra day if the thread is long.