Thread by @charles_gaba

🚨 NEW: The CDC has updated their COVID Community Profile Report w/Florida's weekly *county-level* death breakout. This allows me to update the bar graph w/the death rate since June by Trump 2020 vote for 99.4% of the U.S. population (50 states + DC only) in two different ways.

🚨 If you go by flat 10-point election increments, the death rate since 6/30/21 in the reddest/Trumpiest counties are over NINE TIMES HIGHER than in the bluest counties.

🚨 However, only 116K people live in the former & just 1.7M live in the latter, so I've also run it a second way.

If you break the population into 10 brackets of ~33.1 million apiece from blue to red, the death rate for the Trumpiest 10% is *still* 5.1x higher:

Bracket sizes in the 2nd chart are as close to 33.14 million apiece as possible given that in some cases the “cut-off” county size is several hundred thousand people and spreads across two brackets.

Aside from the US territories (which don’t vote for President in the general election), the only counties now missing are from NEBRASKA. This is irritating but NE only has 1.9 million residents. On the other hand, it’s also a pretty red state.

Important caveat: This is all about WHERE Americans are dying. It doesn’t necessarily mean that the deaths WITHIN those red counties are heavily Republican, as there are blue areas in red counties and vice-versa.

NOTE: When I wrote this analysis a couple of weeks back, the first version of the graph put the highest bracket just 7.5x higher than the lowest bracket, though it didn't include Florida. It's now up to over 9.0x higher.

acasignups.net/21/09/12/simpl…

I'll probably redo the entire piece (including Florida and including cumulative death rates since the beginning of the pandemic, since the 2020 election, etc.) in another couple of weeks to see how it changes things.

FWIW, if you want to support my work you can do so at ACASignups.net/support.

🚨 UPDATE: By request, here's a completely NONPARTISAN comparison of case and death rates since 6/30/21 based on VACCINATION RATES.

For the most part the trend lines are exactly what you'd expect...except, once again, for MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, which is still a MASSIVE outlier.

(the last bracket also breaks the trend but only 611,000 people live in counties over 75% vaccinated; there's only been 54 deaths total since 6/30 in these counties. With that few people living there, even a single death skews the rate).

The consensus seems to be that Miami-Dade has a MASSIVE amount of "vaccine tourism" from both snowbirds and non-Americans, which would mean their vaccination rate among actual M-D residents is significantly lower than the official number reported:
acasignups.net/21/09/06/covid…