[Thread] So, President Biden and President Macron finally talked after days of severe diplomatic tensions between Washington and Paris. A few thoughts on the outcome of this much expected conversation and the next steps.
First, the fact that the White House took the initiative of this call and that President Biden himself recognized that things could have been handled differently is positive in itself and was a first essential step to restore a dialogue with France.
With hindsight, Paris was right to take these strong diplomatic moves, often described as over the top, to make the Biden administration understand the gravity of the crisis (which was not the case at all at first).
As the constructive tone of the joint statements shows, the ultimate goal of France was not to break ties with Washington, nor to enter in a vicious circle of punitive measures toward the United States.
The purpose of France's fierce diplomatic response was to signal with utmost clarity to Washington that #AUKUS and the way it was secretly negotiated were contrary to the very basis of a strong alliance.
Now that the message has been heard, France managed to transform this crisis into an opportunity to have a more balanced and substantive transatlantic dialogue with Washington on defense and security.
Both leaders have agreed to launch "in-depth consultations" and will meet "in Europe" at the end of October to maintain momentum in this process. The French Ambassador will come back to Washington next week to start an "intensive work" with the Biden administration.
The joint statement includes a very strong (and needed) support from President Biden to France *and European* engagement in the Indo-Pacific region, in the Sahel and more broadly in the field of defense and security.
Now, this is *not* the end of the story but the beginning of a process. Rebuilding trust between Washington and Paris will take time, including at the inter-personal level.
Reassuring words from Washington won't be enough (remember the declaration of Biden at the G7 on the EU being a "vibrant entity" ?). France, and Europeans more broadly, will need a tangible demonstration of U.S. commitment to a trusted and more balanced partnership.
Many questions will need to be solved in this process: What does a transatlantic cooperation in the Indo-Pacific mean in operational terms ? How can Washington effectively supports the deepening of a stronger European defense ? What is the future of the cooperation in the Sahel ?
One final point: if this positive outcome is welcomed, we can only regret that a similar process with London and Canberra is not on the agenda. So far, both countries have refused, contrary to the United States, to initiate such dynamic.
This is concerning especially when we see the many challenges we will have to tackle with Australia and the UK. But this is the responsibility of the Australian and British governments to take first steps to restore a deeply eroded trust.
In short, the end of a tense diplomatic crisis (which could have turned worse in so many ways) and hopefully the beginning of a more constructive and balanced chapter in French-US and more largely transatlantic relations. [End]

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More from @morcos_pierre

22 Sep
As outlined in this @POLITICOEurope piece by @RymMomtaz, President Macron expects two things from his call with President Biden.

First, a recognition by Washington that its decision not to consult Paris "raises questions of trust".
politico.eu/article/macron…
Second, the initiation of a "solid process over time and at a high level to create the conditions to restore trust through actions and concrete measures, not just words".
Paris will notably ask the 🇺🇸 to recognize (1) "the strategic importance of 🇫🇷 and 🇪🇺 engagement in the Indo-Pacific", (2) "the necessity of reinforcing European sovereignty"; (3) a "common commitment in the fight against terrorism".
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
"Canberra did not understand the impact of its decision [#AUKUS], either in France or on international efforts to form a united front against the rise of China".

Worth-reading op-ed from former Australian Primer Minister Kevin Rudd for @lemondefr.
lemonde.fr/idees/article/…
"The decision of the Scott Morrison government violates the spirit and the letter of the strategic partnership adopted by France and Australia".
"Australia made the mistake of not giving France the opportunity to submit another offer (in part or in full) for these nuclear devices, even though France has a long experience in their manufacture".
Read 4 tweets
20 Sep
I don't agree with your reading of Le Drian's interview. Over the past few years, France has been very supportive of Australia's strategic interests in the region, both diplomatically and militarily.
Diplomatically, Paris has stood with Canberra when it was under the pressure of China. See for instance this press conference during which Pres. Macron told PM Morrison that France "firmly rejects any coercive economic measure taken against Australia".
Similarly, there has been a growing 🇫🇷🇦🇺 diplomatic convergence to denounce China's aggressive posture, as witnessed in their bilateral declaration of August 30 (with very strong words on Taiwan, the South China Sea, human rights violations).
Read 9 tweets
20 Sep
Worth-reading interview of French foreign minister @JY_LeDrian on #AUKUS. Some highlights bellow 👇
ouest-france.fr/politique/jean…
"The recall of our Ambassadors is a serious act. We want clarifications and explanations. At this stage, no date has been set for their return."
"The subject is not just the termination of an arms contract. Above all, it calls for serious reflection on the very conception we have of alliances, and on the type of strategy we want to develop in the Indo-Pacific. This goes beyond a single industrial relationship."
Read 9 tweets
19 Sep
I saw many comments explaining that the US-Australian-UK deal is the result of France preaching for European strategic autonomy ("You got what you wished for"). This is a complete misconception of France’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific. A 🧵👇
France’s approach to the Indo-Pacific has never been about autonomy but about *inclusivity* and *multilateralism*.
While being clearheaded about the challenges posed by China, France has always been mindful of not fueling the growing rivalry between Washington and Beijing in the region.
Read 17 tweets
18 Sep
🚨 French Foreign minister @JY_LeDrian just gave a public interview with @Francetele on the ongoing diplomatic crisis with Washington, Canberra and London. Very strong words again. A 🧵 on the main takeaways 👇
Recalling our Ambassadors "is a very symbolic [...] heavy political act which signals the gravity of the crisis between our countries".
"There have been lies, contempt and a breach of trust ... An hour before, we knew nothing about these negotiations. You do not deal with an ally like France with such brutality and unpredictability".
Read 7 tweets

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