'From laggard to leader: How the UK can capitalise on the heat pump opportunity'

My recent @BusinessGreen op-ed is now available open-access on the @RegAssistProj website (mini-thread)

raponline.org/blog/laggard-t…
Fundamentally, heat pumps are expected to be central to the global energy transition (see @IEA, @HeatRoadmapEU, @beisgovuk, @theCCCuk, @UKERCHQ). The UK's large heating appliance manufacturing base could pivot into this strategically important tech.
@KensaHeatPumps and @Ecodanheating already provide heat pumps to the UK market, but the majority are imported. @vaillantuk are currently setting up a manufacturing line for their own air source units in Belper. But more investment is needed to fully realise the opportunity.
This investment in manufacturing and skills, can be driven by policy certainty which goes beyond deployment targets (welcome as they are). The industry is clearly keen with some green shoots visible, but many of these shoots have been made in good faith. To create certainty:
1. The future homes standard legislation for new buildings post-2025 should be bought forward to provide a guarantee to industry and to prevent legislative delay. Fossil fuel heating in new homes should be clearly banned.
2. The heat and buildings strategy should be published immediately to create momentum and provide soft political support for the heat pump sector.
3. As part of the strategy, the details around the clean heat grant, including timing and support levels should be published. The post March 22 heat policy chasm needs to be filled asap.
Just to end, it's worth saying that while heat pumps are likely to be central, a huge amount of work is needed elsewhere across the heat and buildings sector including on energy efficiency and networks policy.
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More from @heatpolicyrich

20 Aug
The UK hydrogen strategy outlined the government's support for a 'twin track' approach which supports both 'green' (from renewable electricity) and 'blue' (from fossil gas) hydrogen. This has caused a bit of stir, so what are the issues? (thread).
So firstly, why blue? Well it appears to be linked to a corporate strategy, and it appears to have stuck!
So what is it? Well 'blue' hydrogen is produced from fossil gas in a process in which the resulting carbon is captured and stored (i.e. it's Carbon Capture and Storage, CCS). The stored carbon is not expected to reach the atmosphere so has no climate impact.
Read 25 tweets
17 Aug
Heating: what does the hydrogen strategy say? In short, it's all about trials for the next decade but delaying action on heat pumps and heat networks 'could prevent us from meeting near term carbon budgets' (thread).
First up, some confusion about how many homes will actually be heated by hydrogen by 2030. The press release says 3 million by 2030, the actual document says something very different: (very odd).
In terms of volumes, by 2030 growth in domestic use is limited to the trial places so quite small. Note huge uncertainty over 2035 range. Basically this is 'we don't know'.
Read 7 tweets
27 Jul
The absolutely criminal thing about heat decarbonisation/heat transition politics is the total ignorance by policy makers of the value it will bring to the UK. Ignoring the carbon reductions, it will save money and pay for itself through the reductions in gas imports (thread).
Currently GB is very reliant on fossil gas, more than almost all countries apart from the Netherlands. This is because we went big for gas in the 60s and 70s after finding North Sea gas. But that time is over. We now import over 50% of gas and that's expected to increase.
So, we import over half of our gas. In 2019 that equated to 518 terawatt hours.
Read 10 tweets
24 Sep 20
I think I've now managed to digest all the Times pieces today (I was featured in one of them) and thought I should set out my stall in a short thread. So, last week The Times featured an 'opinion piece' suggesting No 10 were very interested in hydrogen:
I was interviewed following the submission of a letter to the editor, not from me, but from another academic. csrf.ac.uk/2020/09/letter…. A shortened version of this letter featured today.
The Times also ran a story on the letter and which included a quote from me: thetimes.co.uk/article/fossil…
Read 10 tweets
20 Aug 20
I have a new article in the journal 'Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions' which has been in the making for a number of years.

It wouldn't have been possible without cross-institutional support and wider expertise around the characteristics of 'low carbon gas'.
Focusing on the issue of incumbency, we investigate the emergence of a low carbon gas coalition in the UK. We investigate what the coalition has been doing and the messages it has been promoting primarily through political lobbying and policy engagement.
Converting the gas grid to low carbon gas is presented as *the* option for heat decarbonisation in areas with a gas grid at the expense of other options such as heat networks and heat pumps.
Read 7 tweets
16 Aug 20
Don't know about you, but I've spent the morning creating UK emission trajectories for heat. That shaded bit is the cumulative emissions of not acting. The lower line is an emissions trajectory based on heat pump deployment (1/4). Image
Basically the point is, morally we need to act now, it's not just about net zero but the time taken on the journey to get there. Hence, rapidly deploy energy efficiency, heat pumps and heat networks at scale. Not enough time to wait to see what hydrogen might be able to do (2/4)
We can always change course back to H2 later (if we wanted and after we learn more) but there isn't time for delay for potential options and known technologies reduce emissions now (3/4).
Read 4 tweets

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