Like many others, I struggled through Keir Starmer's essay/vision statement today (attached). A short thread on what he says - or rather doesn't say - about Brexit, and the UK's relationship with Europe, and the wider world, post-Brexit.

fabians.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
1/7
In relation to Brexit, Starmer refers to it as 'botched', and he says that the govt 'failed to properly manage our departure from the EU'. He also bemoans the Brexit 'gridlock'. 2/7
He goes on to criticise the govt for having 'no plans for how to make Brexit work for Britain, nor how to build new relationships in Europe and beyond'. 3/7
Fair enough. He's right to make those points. But what, I wondered, would Labour do? What plans might it have? 4/7
Hidden away at the bottom of p.22, we are told that Labour 'would fix the holes in the shoddy Brexit deal'.

And, overly generous wordcount notwithstanding... that is all. 5/7
I don't think that amounts to a 'plan'.

Given the significance of Brexit and the need to give meaning to 'global Britain', it is desperately thin gruel. 6/7
For the rest, these assessments (from @davies_will, @rafaelbehr, @AyoCaesar and @carolinejmolloy) are worth a read. 7/7
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

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More from @syrpis

18 Sep
I've long been linking PM Johnson and the pursuit of power. Looking back, it's interesting how some things have changed, and others have not. Short thread. 1/6
Within days of becoming PM, Johnson was manoeuvring for a GE, using Brexit (getting it done!) to build the narrative for a GE victory, with a powerful HoC majority. 2/6
By 2020, he was using his majority to take steps to entrench his power, and using ever stronger popularist language.
blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2020/02… 3/6
Read 6 tweets
16 Sep
I have been reading and listening to a lot of analyses of the reshuffle. Pretty much all of them seem to me to be wide of the mark. THREAD 1/14
Commentators, backbenchers and policy analysts all speak as though the detail of policy matters. In the real world, of course it does.

But, in the mind of the PM and his top advisors, it hardly matters at all. And that explains a lot. 2/
Trying to read the runes, to work out the direction of travel, to put flesh onto the bones of Johnsonism (or whatever), is likely to be an unsatisfactory exercise. 3/
Read 16 tweets
14 Sep
The strategy of this Govt often confuses me. Today, its focus was on the COVID Winter Plan. THREAD. 1/10
gov.uk/government/pub…
What I'm curious about, is the decision to publish not only a Plan A, but also a Plan B.

One plan is often a plan too far for the Govt - so why have we been treated to two today? 2/
The reaction has been predictable, and at first sight at least, not the best for the Govt. It is, in the aftermath of its announcement, finding itself attacked from all sides. 3/
Read 10 tweets
13 Sep
A quick thread on the Chief Medical Officers' Advice to Ministers on Jabs for the Over-12s.

Not about the science, but about the (complex) relationship between decision-makers.

The Advice is here:
huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/chris-wh… 1/10
The Advice shows that there are 4 levels of decision-making involved. The key point is that, at each stage, as more factors are taken into account, the policy recommendations and prescriptions may differ. 2/10
First, the MRHA has the task of determining whether a vaccine is safe and effective, and whether to grant a licence. Their assessment, which is taken as read by the CMOs, was that benefits exceed risks. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
4 Sep
As COVID restrictions are lifted, it is becoming more and more difficult to resist the conclusion that Brexit is having a profound effect on our economy, and its ability to recover. 1/6
In the last weeks, we have seen shortages of the flu vaccine, chicken in Nando's, and milkshakes in McDonald's, and supermarket supply chains. 2/6
These effects of Brexit are not new, but, for seemingly the first time, they are news.

(If you have a spare few hours, make your way through this mega-thread from @rdanielkelemen ) 3/6
Read 6 tweets
30 Aug
This was from the first week of Johnson as PM - back in 2019. Lots of it was - sadly - right. The bit which remains right is that for this Govt, decision-making is deferred (they cross the bridge when they come to it). 1/3
It is not only in relation to Brexit that the inability, or unwillingness, to make decisions has consequences. If you fail to act, there is a risk that - sadly - you get overtaken by events. 2/3
That has been the key feature of the COVID response, the withdrawal from Afghanistan and the climate crisis. In each case, it is too little, too grudging, too late. And in each case, the consequences of a lack of strategy are - sadly - plain to see. 3/3
Read 4 tweets

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