As I review in the thread below, what Dem voters want most from Washington is defeating COVID (by far and away most imp issue), creating an economy for all, tackling climate and improving health care.
I think people are exaggerating the potential electoral impact of not passing BBB. It is only a small part of how folks will see Dems next year. What matters is what parts of it pass, whether COVID is defeated, and whether the economy is doing better.
Newsom's big win in CA has helped us find a compelling frame - defeat COVID, cheer on the progress of our agenda (incl climate, health care, etc), define them as too extreme to trust with power.
Working backward from next year, Dems will judged on whether we've defeated COVID, made the economy better, led on climate, improved health care and made border/migration better - and as we've learned this year if COVID isn't better nothing else matters.
So, to conclude - by the end of the year we'll have passed a lot of really good stuff and will have plenty to run on next year.
Folks to need back off threats, blackmail and work together. Guidance from those running in competitive races in '22 has to become more important now.
And for every claim that passing BBB is critical to Ds winning next year first explain why Biden's numbers went down after passing ARP, giving direct checks to hundreds of millions, seeing GDP growth at 6.5% and 1m jobs a month.
It is no guarantee - there is more going on here.
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A reminder that Biden's domestic agenda is ARP + infrastructure + reconciliation + annual budget + more to come.
It's about defeating COVID, pivoting from Afghanistan, tackling climate, improving health care, modernizing our immigration system, creating prosperity for all...1/x.
In this recent @NavigatorSurvey poll, Dem voters wanted Biden/Congress to focus on:
COVID - 75%
Jobs/Economy - 51%
Climate/Extreme Weather - 48%
Health Care - 41%
everything else is much lower 2/x
As I show in this analysis of recent polling, Biden's approval rating is heavily dependent on his COVID performance. It is the #1 issue. It is what Democrats should be talking about, incessantly. 3/x
As we’ve been saying it’s important that Democrats learn how to make the GOP’s radicalization a kitchen table issue. Seen a lot of progress in this regard in recent weeks. Important political development here in the US. washingtonpost.com/politics/democ…
Here’s a recent essay where I lay out why leaning into the GOP’s dangerous radicalization has to be central to who Dems are now. It’s part of how we defend our democracy.
And I think it sets up the essential 2022 contrast - Dems taking pragmatic steps to tackle the big challenges we face - COVID, economy for all, climate, health care, immigration - and Rs going bat shit crazy, not doing their part.
Agree with others who trace back the unmooring of the GOP in part to the Court's insane ruling blocking the counting of votes in Florida in 2000, which gave the WH to Bush.
Rs learned they could seize power through the Courts, and a generation of corrupt jurists followed.
Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and Coney Barrett all joined the Court under circumstances which many just men and women would have rejected.
McConnell's corrupt manipulation of the process has, unfortunately, left the US w/questions about this Court's legitimacy, integrity, purpose.
The word I keep coming back to is barbaric. There is something pre-modern about what we are seeing, a reliance on violence, extremism and anti-science thinking that isn't captured by solely by the words authoritarian or fascist.
What I am getting at here is that we have to settle on how to describe the post-GOP/MAGA variant of right wing politics we are seeing now. We can't use many words - we have to settle on just a few to make this work. And people have to understand them, regular people.
Big part of the Ida’s story - emergency response in a full blown pandemic with lots unvaxxed people. Let’s hope for the best, keep first responders, medical community in our thoughts. Tough stuff.
Gulf Coast region has very sophisticated, mature emergency response culture.
It’s why the region’s surrender to COVID is so extraordinary, and could have only happened through dramatic intervention by Republican political leaders. tallahassee.com/story/news/pol…