This is a chart of urea prices for the past year, from $256/ton to $445/ton. Urea is the main component in DEF, which all new diesel engines need for their emissions systems. This is another reason why transport costs are climbing, & it's related to the natgas prices.
More on urea prices here: ttnews.com/articles/exper…
Not only is DEF expensive, but the DEF sensors in these trucks -- the ones that warn when DEF is low and actually slow the engine down unless it's refilled -- are out of stock thanks to supply chain issues, & this is keeping trucks parked. ttnews.com/articles/diese…
The crazy thing is that both of the above DEF-related problems could be fixed with some legislation & software updates. DEF is an environmental boondoggle that makes diesel engines less efficient & more failure-prone in the name of cutting emissions.

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More from @jonst0kes

29 Sep
Our military has a lot to answer for right now, but there's 1 question that's apparently so nuts that nobody w/ has pressed them about on the record: why were high-lvl Pentagon brass & Podesta secretly talking to a former Blink 182 bandmember about UFOs?

Back in 2011, when Tom Delonge (the aforementioned rock-in-roller) appeared on Art Bell's show raving about gods, demons, UFOs, & his secret conversations w/ top NASA & MIL officials, it was a hoot. Why would the Pentagon be talking to him? Delusional! coasttocoastam.com/show/2011-12-1…
Delonge kept on about this for years, giving one off-the-wall interview after another about secret crashed UFO recovery programs, clandestine meetings with generals & military contractors, etc. It was all very easily (& properly) dismissed. coasttocoastam.com/guest/delonge-…
Read 14 tweets
28 Sep
Basically, scenes from Europe are gonna be nuts this winter. My big worry for us here in the states is food, tho. Natgas is where we get the nitrogen to make fertilizer. hpj.com/crops/natural-…
I dunno about you guys, but if it all goes sideways here over energy Imma blame the anti-nuclear activists. This is in their lap.
Read 5 tweets
27 Sep
This is the level of sophistry that most AI ethics discourse operates at. To unpack this: they argue that basic facial recognition tech of the kind that unlocks your iPhone is an example of "physiognomic AI" because it infers "are these pixels a face or not?" & extrapolates depth
If you're thinking that surely the cannot be arguing that basic iPhone unlocking tech is an example of "physiognomy" that should be banned by law, behold:
The stuff in this paper isn't just farce tho -- it's also tragedy. There are actual, honest-to-God examples of physiognomic AI in the paper -- not the ridiculous FRT stuff, but actual "let us measure the skull to determine criminality" type stuff. But the sophistry...
Read 9 tweets
19 Sep
Lotta good responses here, but also:

- Supply chain is a pipeline, & some of what we're seeing now is just problems that started last year popping out the other end.
- China's manufacturing centers have been hit by heavy flooding & Delta. Also their shipping is hit by Delta.
- Other ports & manufacturing centers have been taken offline by Delta (I think Viet Nam & Indonesia are worst affected, but I may be recalling incorrectly).
- The system was already fragile, & Delta + aforementioned time-delay-based shocks hurt it even worse.
- In general, the system is complex, highly interconnected, & prone to cascade effects & crashes. So failure modes are hard to predict & even reason about in real time.
- Shipping will remain constrained until COVID is over because the cartels don't want to increase capacity...
Read 7 tweets
17 Sep
What I'm struggling with here: "hypocrisy is the tribute vice pays to virtue," but our military can't even hypocritically blame some underling & hang them out to dry over this. We've entered that zone where the mask is off & everyone knows the score. Like the banks after '08.
The military is the last institution that the public largely still trusts. I will be keenly interested to see if the events connected to the AFG withdrawal have affected that polling.
I just get really, viscerally affected by horrors involving kids -- kids in cages (under every president), droning to death of kids with their families, medicalizing healthy kid bodies in various ways... just a whole panoply of kid issues send me into fight-or-flight mode.
Read 4 tweets
17 Sep
Lotta folks I follow dunking on this thread, but not only is Rufo on to something here, but there's even some horseshoe theory in this. Guess who wrote the following:
This is from @PennyRed's recent rant against free speech (lauriepenny.substack.com/p/where-were-g…). Penny & Rufo don't agree on much, but they do agree on this: we are not in a fight over abstractions, & to keep pretending we are is to consign yourself to irrelevance.
Like Rufo & contra Penny, I support free speech to an absolutist degree. I support classic liberal norms re: due process, reasoned debate, civility, etc. But that stuff only works when everyone shares a certain level of moral consensus re: Big Questions. (The founders knew this!)
Read 6 tweets

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