🧵Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), a member of Senate Armed Services Comm., noted to reporters on a call tonight that the committee held only one hearing on Afghanistan all last year, the year the Trump admin struck the deal with the Taliban to pull all US troops out of Afghanistan
By contrast, they have held 5 hearings on Afghanistan this year (since Ds took control of Senate). He noted a great deal of the hearing today was spent on whether we should have left Afghanistan at all. He thought that was a question we should have been asking a year ago
after the Doha agreement committed all US troops to leave by May 2021. The Armed Serv. comm has had 5 hearings on Afghanistan this year, & 1 last year, King said. Important context. The question of should we have left at all dominated the meeting this morning. But SASC wasn’t
asking last year, even when Trump was rapidly drawing down troops, and even in Jan. apparently said all US troops would be out of Afghanistan by Jan. 15. King said they were told that order was subsequently rescinded.
King also noted that in the closed session later this afternoon, the showboating and table pounding subsided, and it was very calm and informative.
He said the purpose of Milley’s reported Oct 2020 call with his Chinese counterpart was to calm China down; US had reporting that China thought there might be an “october surprise,” thought the US was acting provocatively, and concern was if China thought there
was danger of an imminent attack, China might launch a preemptive attack. miscalculation is how conflicts can start. He wanted to reassure them US had no intention to attack. Milley had another scheduled call w PRC counterpart Jan. 6, then Jan. 6 attack on US Capitol occurred.
Milley wanted to reassure them no plans for any attack, so that there was no need to prepare an attack of their own. King said he thought Milley handled the matter in a straightforward way, to head off what could have been a tragic miscalculation.
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Sen. King: this committee never had a hearing on decision to withdraw from afghanistan made (by trump admin) in Feb. 2020.
and when Republicans controlled the committee
Tillis (I think) establishes Taliban was not living up to deal during the Trump admin when Trump drew down anyhow and pressed for the release of 5000 prisoners, then says it was up to Biden not to stick with the deal
New from me: Diplomats express rising pessimism on prospects for reviving nuclear pact as Iran is coy on when it will return to talks and gives no positive answer on P5+1 position it pick up where talks left off diplomatic.substack.com/p/growing-gloo…
US and European officials seemed more gloomy on Iran at the end of UNGA high level week than earlier in the week. “I believe that increasing pessimism is justified,” a European official involved in the talks told me. diplomatic.substack.com/p/growing-gloo…
“Nothing that’s happened…has made us more optimistic,” a senior US diplomat said. “The absence of a positive answer leads us to be concerned that they intend to come up with a new framework, or new concerns or new demands.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/growing-gloo…
Senior State Dept official, in call w/journalists, says at least 85 US citizens & 79 legal permanent residents have departed Afghanistan with US govt assistance since Aug. 31. An additional number of US citizens & LPRs have departed Afghanistan in last month on private charters
He said they have another group of approximately 100 US citizens and LPRs ready to go in near future.
He said 2 biggest constraints to departures remain: *Taliban unpredictability regarding who is permitted to depart; *Absence of regular air service.
'Here at main state & embassies around region, many people continue to work this problem every day in pretty much every time zone'
🧵Iran FM Amir-Abdollahian, speaking to journalists in NY today, did not rule out sitting with the US: as far as the govt of US is concerned, the standard for us will be to watch the actions of US officials, and judge based on the actions taken by Pres. Biden, that will be the
basis on which we will formwule our decisions. not only based on the paradoxical statements and words we keep receiving.
He raised a few times Iran not able to access its own money to buy covid vaccine.
🧵Quite strong critique from former US UnderSecState for Arms Control & NATO DepSG of how Biden admin handled AUKUS. Sub “deal may be a brilliant stroke, but it was done without strategic imagination. What was needed was a 3-cornered billiard shot — pivot to Asia, yes,…” 1/x
“but keep our European allies on board and continue the fight against nuclear proliferation.
Instead, we have simultaneously enraged the French and blown apart 60 years of U.S. policy to minimize the use of highly enriched uranium….” 2/
“Surely there is a way to keep our European allies with us — they are our rear-guard against Russia — and not lend encouragement to nuclear proliferators.” 3/3
While France FM says he does not plan to meet Blinken in NY, and Iran has not yet agreed to a meeting with the p4+1 or Joint Commission, France FM said he did not think fallout on Australia sub pact would impact negotiations on Iran. diplomatic.substack.com/p/hopeful-sign…
Meantime, Russia’s envoy pressed Iran to pick up where negotiations left off in June when it returns to talks. “It seems that the P5+1 is united on the necessity of resuming the seventh round from where they left off,” @AliVaezdiplomatic.substack.com/p/hopeful-sign…