If my current project isn't clear, I'm working on understanding and evaluating the hypotheses put forth by @GVDBossche. As things start to go sideways I'm suspecting that he may have been right about a lot, but with a hypothesis that rich, it takes work to make conclusions. 🧵
Like many, I was first exposed to Geert's ideas through his interview with @BretWeinstein:
My most recent reintroduction to Geert's thoughts is this blogpost is putting together a hypothesis that is largely aligned with Geert Vanden Bossche to the degree I understand both..
So I started to try and gather any pushback Geert may have received, and found it surprisingly thin.
@jessems has made a great summary of the early part of Geert's latest video with @RWMaloneMD:
Watching that video, I got inspired to write something longer about the heretical consensus that's forming:
Meditating on that, I started to wonder if Delta is more lethal, when comparing like for like patients. Good data is hard to come by, but every line of evidence I could see goes the same direction: yes.
I tried to understand the reasons why that might be in a follow up thread:
Thinking about this more, I realized the emergence of Delta matters quite a bit, and so I dug more into that, with quite surprising (or not?) results...
What should I dig into next? Are there predictions Geert has made that have been validated? Or falsified? It's been fascinating to investigate so far and I'm learning quite a bit about the immune system...

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More from @alexandrosM

1 Oct
Let's talk about the word "expert".

What does it mean when we call someone an expert? Here's what Google says:

"a person who has a comprehensive and authoritative knowledge of or skill in a particular area".

In this one word I think we will find the root of our troubles: 🧵 Image
So if someone is an expert in virology, that means they have comprehensive & authoritative knowledge of virology.

But what does comprehensive knowledge of an area mean? It means to be complete.

We're expecting our scientists to claim complete knowledge of an area. Image
At the same time, we know that experts in the same area of a decade ago, or 50 years ago, certainly did not have complete knowledge of that area, since we've made large breakthroughs since. Are we assuming no more breakthroughs are possible?
Read 16 tweets
30 Sep
Wow. Talk about a thread that says the exact opposite of the paper it cites. Comments🔥. 📄Quote:
"Transmission reductions declined over time since 2nd vaccination, for Delta reaching similar levels to unvaccinated by 12 weeks for ChAdOx1 & attenuating substantially for BNT162b2"
Let me translate from 🤡ish:

"wane slightly" = completely
"somewhat less" = far less Image
Your daily reminder that I have no idea on biology and if I can find complete and total misrepresentations within seconds of looking at a paper that a supposed public health communicator is touting, things are entirely not OK. This is not what one resorts to when one is winning.
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
🤣 @fiddlebits donated to the FLCCC in honor of @hang_a_shore's constructive comment below, and now I have no choice: I have to follow through with a "donate and block" fundraiser. The people have spoken!
Donating to @Covid19Critical is as easy as always 😁
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
Holy shit, I just noticed the subtitle of this image. OK folks, we have to get to the bottom of the whole "variants emerged due to vaccine trials" claim. Has anyone chased this down, other than the original correlation GISAID images?
@EduEngineer has done fantastic work here, though it would be worth narrowing the claims in time and place further. roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/variant-roul…
Read 22 tweets
28 Sep
The 5 lines of evidence we were able to collect, all point to Delta being more dangerous.

I keep hearing that viruses get milder as they become endemic, so what explains this anomaly?
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
I keep hearing about how delta variant is (more¦less) dangerous.

So, what do we know about its risks? (we need to compare with Alpha, on vaccinated:vaccinated & unvaccinated:unvaccinated for meaningful results).

I'll post what I have, and *please* share what you've come across.
1. The EAVE II study says risk of hospital admission doubled, and vaccine protection still effective but diminished.

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
2. "Hospital admission and emergency care attendance risk for SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) compared with alpha (B.1.1.7) variants of concern: a cohort study" (h/t @JoomiKim1)

Seems to overall agree with the EAVE II study.

thelancet.com/journals/lanin…
Read 8 tweets

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