The torrent of whining self-pity, conspiracist “anti-globalism” (hmm, who could be meant?) & reality denial, as the chaotic project shreds a once influential, respected country, often distracts from a core Brexiter motivation. Destruction. Of the EU. And much else. A short 🧵./1.
The UK hasn’t yet been totally wrecked. Hooray! Brexit’s a triumph. Straw-men rule the world.

But the evil EUSSR Empire which oppressed the world for so long, must be destroyed. Then, the independent cantons of UK-Slavia will truly be free & sovereign.

Let’s look at that. /2.
Suppose 🇪🇺 contracted to the original six 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇮🇹 🇳🇱 🇧🇪 🇱🇺

The 🌎 would look like this (in GDP order):

GDP $T Def spend Pop M

🇺🇸 22.7 0.7 0.3
🇨🇳 16.6 0.2 1.4
🇪🇺 11.0 0.16 0.24
🇯🇵 5.4 0.05 0.13

And 🇬🇧? /3.
🇪🇺, even contracted to its original core:

🔹is 🌎’s third largest economy: 0.5x 🇺🇸, 0.7x 🇨🇳, 3.5x 🇬🇧

🔹has 🌎’s third largest defence budget: 0.2x 🇺🇸, 0.8x 🇨🇳, 2.7x 🇬🇧

🔹is 3.6x 🇬🇧 population & fifth largest in the 🌎 /4.
Sure, screwing up a good chunk of the US-led alliance on which we all depend for our security, prosperity & well-being - in this case, the EU - would no doubt have a negative impact on … oh, our security, prosperity & well-being. /5.
But, Brexit fever-dreamers, take a bit of advice. Just this once.

Don’t kid yourselves.

The giants aren’t going anywhere. Even your destructive fantasies coming true will leave the “Global Britain” a dwarf on its own continent, let alone the world. /6.
There isn’t an “agile” way out of geography, scale & the assertion of regional & global power by giants.

Nor, for relative minnows, is there a brute force - political, economic or otherwise - escape route. /7.
Yes, power edifices can fall.

But you can’t make it happen.

You can, though, cause great pain & trouble for many millions.

If it did happen, you’d be the first to run to mummy & daddy.

So one more piece of advice.

Please, finally, grow up.

It’s all so unedifying. /8. End

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

27 Sep
.@UKLabour’s making a huge error with its @RachelReevesMP & @Keir_Starmer line on “fiscal responsibility” & “Brexit’s over”.

It won’t win them power. If it did, it’d destroy them in office.

@AngelaRayner’s closer to the mark, but not much, with her attacks. Here’s why. A 🧵 /1.
“Fiscal responsibility” is code for limiting government spending to the amount collected in tax. Perhaps supplemented by a small, strictly limited percentage of government bond sales aka “borrowing”. /2.
The assumption’s that anything else would cause (a) inflation, (b) excessive interest costs/ inter-generational burden to “pay back the debt”. Both assumptions are false. There’s a third assumption among some: they know (a) & (b) are false, but think voters won’t understand. /3.
Read 21 tweets
24 Sep
You know you can’t have world-beating training in businesses, because of “cheap labour” sloshing around the single market. Right?

So to fix that you must leave the EU?

And well-paid, skilled jobs are therefore a Brexit benefit?

You can. You don’t. They aren’t.

A short 🧵 /1.
Since 1969 the Federal Republic of Germany has operated a highly successful system, which brings business & government together to produce top class training, in a major, dynamic, market economy. Since the early 90s, in the EU Single Market, with the four freedoms. /2.
The four freedoms? To recap: the free movement of goods, services, people & capital. /3.
Read 7 tweets
23 Sep
Crisis? What crisis?

⛽️ Petrol stations closing

📈 Inflation up

⬇️ Benefits down

🍽 Food shortages

🔥 Gas costs rising

🔦 Power cuts threat

😱 Panic buying warnings

🎄 Christmas lunch - who knows?

Oven-ready failure. ImageImage
Oh. Image
Ah. Image
Read 11 tweets
22 Sep
Statesmanship - dos & don’ts

Harold Macmillan, 20 when WW1 began, grew up in the most powerful country the world had seen. He was 67, 23 years older than his counterpart, when this photo was taken in 1961. JFK had been 28 when the US took over the world, 16 years before. /1.
Macmillan understood reality. His country, already vastly diminished for decades, was a unquestionably dependent on & a supplicant to the US. He showed respect. Formed a strong relationship with the President. Achieved a beneficial deal. /2.
Boris Johnson, 22 years younger than Joe Biden, & 25 when the Berlin Wall came down, grew up in a medium-sized power dependent, like its neighbours & many others, on the American hyperpower. When he was 9 the UK finally properly joined in the European pillar of the US system. /3.
Read 5 tweets
21 Sep
The World

A short guide

🔴 US domination of the Euro-Atlantic area remains essential, in any foreseeable future, to:

▪️security of the US eastern seaboard

▪️US global dominance /1.
⚪️ For Euro-Atlantic dominance, in any foreseeable future:

▪️the EU needs the US

▪️the US needs a much enhanced contribution from the EU (the UK is useful, but not essential) /2.
🔵 US domination of the Asia-Pacific region, for which it needs a greater contribution from regional allies is, similarly, essential to:

▪️security of the US western seaboard

▪️US global dominance /3.
Read 7 tweets
12 Sep
The three faces of Brexit

🔻Sincere phantasmagorism

🔻Cruel cynicism

🔻Failed rationalism

How they’re affecting the United Kingdom. Why. And what’s to be done.

A short 🧵 /1. Image
🔻Sincere phantasmagorism

To be sincere is neither to be right nor, necessarily, admirable.

So it is with Brexiters seized by a phantasm of 21st C global British ‘greatness’.

A cocktail of supposed unique British virtue, 1870s Empire & 16th C piracy. Purest, toxic fantasy. /2. Image
🔻Cruel cynicism

You’ve got to laugh at the 0.01%, angry a ‘Brexit dividend’ of slashed taxes & regulations could now end up as more of both.

But it’s far from funny. Greedy, cruel, wealthy ‘libertarians’ are attempting to shatter government & society. They’re still at it. /3. Image
Read 13 tweets

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