I’m a little confused by this. The reference here is to a “top donor”. So I had assumed that Trumps reaction was so swift because the Odoms moved big money. The alleged behavior is more than enough to justify Lewandowskis ouster. But c’mon, this is Trump. I believe Haberman …
2/ said that the issue was that it was a donor this time. But donors the Odoms appear to own a mid-sized local construction company in Idaho. Here’s owner John Odoms bio on the company website. hmh-construction.com/about/
3/ The alleged assault was against Odom’s wife, Trashelle, who you can see in the picture. This is all neither here nor there on the assault allegations, which given Lewandowskis record seem quite plausible. But these don’t seem like another Mercer family.
4/ This is the meet the team page on Odoms site. A successful construction business can be a very lucrative. But this doesn’t look like a major operation that would drive donor money that would make him a top Trump donor.

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More from @joshtpm

2 Oct
Gottheimer clearly feels cut off at the knees. Which makes sense because that’s what it feels like when you get cut off at the knees. He pulled this power play forcing a firm deadline for the BIF to delink the two bills. It was a ballsy move. He reasoned or probably …
2/ more like Mark Penn reasoned that having locked in that date he could then rely on Pelosi to jam the Progressive Caucus and the substantial number of Dems outside the Prog Caucus to force them to pass it. She wasn’t really in a position to do that. But what clearly has JG …
3/ on fire is that she didn’t try that hard. She tried really hard to get a new linkage deal. But she made no effort to force them to vote for the BIF absent some concrete agreement or framework. And why wouldn’t she? Well maybe because linkage was her position in …
Read 9 tweets
1 Oct
also I saw someone point out yesterday that the boat is homeported in Charleston. But to go from the Potomac to Charleston you need to go down to the Gulf of Mexico, up the Mississippi and then I don’t know a 20,000 mile river trip to get to home. I mean …
2/ I kid abt 20k but pretty fucking long, from the Mississippi to the Ohio to the Kanawha. I mean that’s seriously hardcore. Has the Almost Heaven ever been to its home port? I looked up the coast guard records last night and that is the home port, not just what’s painted …
3/ on the hull there. The boat was built in 2002 and had home port in Maryland until Manchin boat it in 2013. So seriously has this slick yacht ever been to West Virginia? Of course you can haul a boat overland. You don’t actually have to go the kabillion mile …
Read 5 tweets
1 Oct
I've been saying this for days. But this morning I wanted to gut check it but checking in with a range of stakeholders in this cross-party discussion. This is definitely true: not only have the WH & House leaders not been whipping the Progs on the BIF. If anything they've ...
2/ been consistently offering at least tacit encouragement to hold tight. It continues to amaze me that places like the Times got confused and saw last night as a prog rebellion they couldn't fight back. Frankly, I find it kind of embarrassing to be presenting any of this ...
3/ as news since it's really pretty clear if you just open your eyes. Yes, I've reported it out now. But again, you can believe either me or your eyes. Either will do. If anything Biden has their back more than Pelosi. Though that's not a dig at Pelosi. She's got a whole ...
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
As I've said before Dems cant afford to lose any Senate seats. The problem is that I think Sinema has likely already made herself unelectable or close to it. There's a narrow path for a Dem in AZ. You need indys, a few GOPs and a totally united Dem party.
2/ The last part of that is just not going to happen. Yeah, three years is a long time. But she has really intense damage to make up for. It's not just that I question she survives a primary. I think it's highly questionable she can win a general even without a primary.
3/ So let's say she gets primaried. The logical place to come at her from is a more resistancy or progressive position. But in Arizona today that's still going to be a tough sell. Not saying that kind of candidate can't win. It's just a risky proposition in Arizona today.
Read 7 tweets
29 Sep
Back in 2004/05 Bush tried to partially abolish social security. GOP controlled the whole govt. they cld do it if they wanted to. Many Dems were saying they had to negotiate, come up with a counter, limit the damage etc. the eventually came round to the right approach …
2/ which was: no. No help, no negotiations, no counter. Nothing. This is what I mean by losing well vs losing badly. Choosing the former often means you don’t lose at all. Bush’s plan collapsed. But you can lose in ways that are devastating beyond the immediate loss.
3/ Getting stiffed on the recon bill and providing the votes for Sinemas vanity project will show a weakness that will be devastating to the Dem coalition. Better to vote the BIF down. Kill it.
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
This seems unsurprising and I think OBVIOUSLY the case. Manchin is an obstacle and is going to force the total number down. But Sinema seems like the one who may actually sink everything. She's never been acting in good faith thru the whole process.
2/ Let's stipulate: Manchin is super annoying, seldom consistent and a real problem for the rest of his party. But back in December it was easy to predict he'd be playing this role. It basically makes sense in the context of his state, etc etc.
3/ You wld not at all have predicted Sinema wld play this role. She's off on this quest to brand herself the bipartisan maverick back home for a number of reasons. Ironically this seems like a total misread of the political moment. She's probably a one termer.
Read 5 tweets

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