There's a folk belief on the left that some combination of gerrymandering, Citizen's United and disenfranchisement is all that keeps Republicans in power in the face of majority opposition. To me, the scarier scenario has always been that they'll win fair elections outright.
The Democrats have allowed themselves to become the party of the highly educated, and their plan for staying in power is not to break out of this trap, but to educate the rest of the electorate, who of course don't understand that they're voting against their own interests.
Campaigning by having educated people tell the uneducated that they're either being racist or stupid is a bold strategy, but I'm afraid it maps the former's love of self-flagellation onto the latter, who don't share it.
Back in 2017, what the #resistance really fretted about in private was that some competent Trump minion would game the 2020 census to lock in Republican power. It turned out they were too lazy to really use the opportunity, but are on their way to a lock on power anyway. Yikes.

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More from @Pinboard

1 Oct
This is a very nice op-ed on climate that points out two obvious things on one else talks about: the heating will get worse no matter how much we cut emissions, and geoengineering (messing with the atmosphere to reflect sunlight) will become more appealing nytimes.com/2021/10/01/opi…
You can mess with the atmosphere to achieve temporary cooling the old-fashioned way (try to blow up a stratovolcano) or in a number of new ways. But the key point is that unlike cutting emissions, it's not a collective action problem. One country can say "fuck it" and go it alone
The author of this piece is an enthusiast. I'm Slavic and tend to think that massive geoengineering stunts are a way to discover even worse unintended consequences in real time. But the author and I can both agree that this option will grow to dominate the conversation on climate
Read 10 tweets
30 Sep
One factor driving the urgency of this week's legislative drama is that the House is eager to send itself home on Friday for another 16 day vacation. Image
Congress's monthly vacations are usually given euphemisms like "District Work Period" or "Committee Work Period", but I like that in December they just give up any pretense. Image
One response I'd like to see tried against the filibuster is making the minority party actually do it. Keep the Senate in session 24/7 if they like to talk so much. The pre-emptive surrender to the tactic, while still allowing long Senatorial vacations, is a poor use of power.
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
Is there good expository writing anywhere about what would actually happen if the Treasury respected the 'debt ceiling' and defaulted on some payments for a few days?
I'm struggling to reconcile the averred cataclysmic consequences of a U.S. default (electrons would become unbound and the earth turn into plasma) with why Democrats won't take simple unilateral measures like minting the coin, amending senate rules, or ignoring the debt law.
If it's just a case of default kicking Wall Street in the nuts for a bit, then I'm all for calling this bluff. But I'd like to read something informed about the systemic effects of floating US treasury checks for a few days
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
I've been encouraging people to look at the mechanisms of the January 6 investigation independent of the merits of the case. Today a weird new twist, the US Post Office (!) runs its own intelligence arm which is apparently up in everyone's online business politico.com/news/2021/09/2…
The issue with half of government closely monitoring online "extremism" is that for most of our history, extremism was defined as stuff that today seems pretty laudable. The mass dredging of social media in this investigation is a troubling sign of things to come for all protest.
I see apparently intelligent people throw around words like sedition, insurrection, and even treason in the January 6 context with little care that these terms are defined at the discretion of the state. Shed a tear for the Jan 6 bumblers because the next time it may be you.
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
I am really enjoying the "surprise me!" nature of the Democratic agenda, where all we know is that it costs trillions, is due tomorrow, and is called a reconciliation bill. This kind of quality messaging maintains voter interest and keeps the opposing party on its back foot. Image
Why pass up a chance to call it the "Universal Preschool Act" or "Paid Family Leave Act" or "Free Community College For All Act" when you can call it the "$3.5 Trillion Reconciliation Bill"
If Democrats tried to give away ice cream to children it would be called the Pediatric Aseptic Aerated Milk Solids Distribution Scheme and the ice cream trucks would announce their presence with loud klaxons
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
Large aircraft carriers live in an interesting twilight zone. They would be instantly sunk in any real conflict, but we've grown fond of usin them as mobile airports for use against third world powers. There hasn't been a carrier engagement against real opposition since WWII
A contentious debate over whether large warships are vulnerable against air attack was settled over the course of six hours in 1941. We're likely to get an equally brisk and definitive answer about large ships vs. missiles when two major powers go to war. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinking_o…
In the meantime, we keep building the things, part of a dysfunction in the American military where all the major weapons systems are obsolete, designed to fight wars we never had, and being used at fantastic expense to blow up Toyota Hiluxes that look like they're up to something
Read 11 tweets

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