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Mangy Jay Profile picture
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30 Sep, 7 tweets, 2 min read
I’m at a fair in rural PA and it is intense. For example, here is a game where you pay five dollars to break as many beer bottles as you can in a minute
An excess of riches
Great selection of knives and brass knuckles!
The thrill of this arena is unclear but I suspect it involves catching COVID
This seems well made
Fun crowd!
I ate some Pennsylvania cheese

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More from @magi_jay

Mangy Jay Profile picture
1 Oct
In my latest for @johnastoehr, I wrote about three key problems with the press's coverage of Biden's Human Infrastructure Bill. Contrasting the coverage of Biden's bill w/ coverage of LBJ's Great Society is also quite revealing editorialboard.com/joe-bidens-pla…
Problem #1. Biden's bill wouldn't just be transformative policy. The philosophy underlying the bill is revolutionary, as it attempts to redefine what kinds of infrastructure render society stronger. The press has failed to clearly express this game-changing philosophical debate. Image
When I look at the bill through the lens of "infrastructure," here's what I see: the strengthening of a wide network of human connections. Aid for children. Aid for the parents of children. Aid for those children's grandparents. We reinforce these networks & we reinforce society.
Read 16 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
1 Oct
Elections are complicated, as are shifting coalitions, but I think a lot of the preconditions for Trump's victory were in place in 2008/2012. The GOP just didn't realize it, nor had they found the right candidate. Their base was already the party of Palin/Trump, not McCain/Romney Image
I don't think white working class voters moved away from Dems after 2012 in substantial numbers b/c of specific policies. They were already moving away, but there were still some pockets of Blue Dogs in the Midwest who disliked GOP candidates more than the Democratic party.
Romney/Ryan were especially weak in this regard. The GOP base was not about conservative economics--they didn't really like these policies--they were already about culture wars. Trump as a candidate flipped a switch that was already years in the making.
Read 10 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
30 Sep
The worst thing about Sinema is not that she is a moderate, but that she is a terrible civic servant who seems flippant about her duty to the public. My politics are closer to Sinema's than to Lisa Murkowski's, but at least Murkowski treats her position w/ gravity.
The 3-4 relatively more decent Republicans distinguish themselves from the rest of their party b/c they actually seem to have a sense of civic duty as representatives in a democracy. Sinema-& no other Democrat-not even Manchin--acts more like the rest of GOPers. No sense of duty
Alaskans can call Murkowski up and know that she will at least listen. Maybe she'll still toe the party line, but there is open communication between her & her constituents. That line of communication just doesn't seem to exist for Sinema. There's no sense of accountability.
Read 7 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
30 Sep
My take: we should stop using the name of a specific logical fallacy to override linguistic usage & semantic change. Maybe we should say, "raising the question is how it's interpreted by natural language users" & employ one of the other available phrases for the fallacy.
It's not like "begs the question" is a particularly clear name for the fallacy. Nor is it a perfect translation of the original Greek

Aristotle used "asking the original point"/"assuming the original point," which was then translated to Latin as "petitio principii" Image
Then at some point English speakers started saying "beg the question" in variation w/ the fancier petitio principii. Maybe they were trying to be dramatic, who knows, but it's a lot less clear of a name for the fallacy than "assuming the original point." Image
Read 5 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
29 Sep
This is a point that has too often been missed about Human Infrastructure. The bill is an ingenious pre-midterm piece of legislation because it is *only* additive. People will see new benefits, but no disruption to their personal lives. Fundamentally different than the ACA.
Now, I am not saying we shouldn't have passed the ACA. But the ACA, like much expansive progressive policy, was politically risky b/c, though it was a longterm good, it produced short-term disruption for many Americans, making it a prime target for backlash.
An overall power asymmetry exists between conservatives & progressives b/c conservative policy introduces little short term pain & may even include small benefits (tax cuts). The pain manifests later on (entightlement cuts). This produces 1. less backlash & 2. less accountability
Read 6 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
29 Sep
I lightly disagreed with the "threaten to Kill the BIF" approach yesterday, but I found this opposing view by @joshtpm very compelling.
What I found compelling was the idea that passing the BIF w/out Human Infrastructure would be to the long term detriment of the party. I was also somewhat persuaded by the idea that threatening to kill the BIF was actually leverage against Sinema. Businesses want it passed.
Sinema does not strike me as a deeply principled person & it's hard to have leverage against a person w/out principles (cf. negotiating w/ the GOP). *But* if she is beholden to businesses on BIF, threatening to kill it could be real leverage.
Read 5 tweets

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