Catching up on the markets today, after a 2-week video-making blackout.

Here's what I gather so far:

β€’ Energy prices up: Crude hit $80 per πŸ›’οΈ, US Nat Gas highest since 2014.
β€’ Energy worsens China's ongoing supply chain issues πŸ‘‡
β€’ China coal supply falls (China stopped coal imports from Australia in 2020), exports surged, power outages and restrictions common
β€’ Supply chain issues fueling 🌍 inflation - US CPI is persistent around 5%
β€’ Eurozone inflation released today came 3.4% (vs 3.3% est, 3% prev)
β€’ Evergy crisis in the UK: UK Natural Gas futures highest for decades.
β€’ US Govt trying to raise a debt ceiling by Oct 18.
β€’ $SPX finished Sept πŸ”», around -5%
β€’ $SPX futures πŸ”» overnight ~-0.5%
β€’ JHEQX rolled their collar trade to Dec 31, strikes 3480-4135-4505
β€’ US 10Y yield traded above 1.5%
β€’ Stagflation is a concern.

Anything I've missed?

β€’ β€’ β€’

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More from @perfiliev

1 Oct
$500,000,000.

Half a billion dollars.

Currently, this is how much of $SPX index needs to be bought or sold for every 1% down or up move, respectively.

These flows are a result of a substantial options trade that was placed yesterday.

Let's have a look at what's going on πŸ‘‡
Once upon a time, there was a certain bank that shall remain unnamed.
This bank has an Asset Management unit.

One day, they embarked on a noble mission to help investors who might be concerned about a market correction.

Since many investors are, it looked like they could offer an attractive product.

And so, they launched a fund.
Read 44 tweets
29 Sep
A new video! (phew, finally! 😁)

It was supposed to take just a day to produce, but instead took a week and a half!

Even though it's not the hot story of the day anymore, I really hope it was worth it and you'll find it interesting.

Video link in the first comment below πŸ‘‡ Image
I also wanted to thank these smart people for writing Evergrande Twitter threads below, which I referred to when making this video:
@INArteCarloDoss
@Barton_options
@FabiusMercurius
@SahilBloom

For further information/analysis, feel free to check them out:
Read 8 tweets
8 Sep
Forget what you hear on CNBC or Bloomberg.

It’s the options market that drives the $SPX price action.

Options became the new underlying and $SPX - the derivative.

Understanding the impact of options flows is vital if you trade the $SPX.

Let’s have a look at how they work! πŸ‘‡
Meet Gary.

Gary is a market maker.

His job is to deal in $SPX options.

He makes it possible for hedge funds, pension funds, portfolio managers and other market players to trade their options against him.

He provides liquidity.
Oh, and he’s also a gorilla 🦍

And a pretty big one as well - quite a massive chunk of $SPX options volume goes through him.
Read 45 tweets
19 May
After four years as a Quant in Goldman Sachs, I left this month.

In that time, I worked on 3 different desks across Fixed Income & Equities and completed about 20 to 30 different projects.

Here are the 9 non-glamorous things you should know about working as a sell-side Quant. Image
Of course, this is based on my subjective judgement and experience.

Every bank/hedge fund/coffee shop is different and might not necessarily share the observations listed here.

Nonetheless, many items did resonate with other Quants that I met throughout my career.

Let's start!
1/ Primary responsibility of a quant/strat is to help traders calculate prices and risks of their books correctly.

Modelling or developing comes second.

If a trader thinks the PnL or risks are wrong, that becomes the primary focus for someone in the team.
Read 28 tweets

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